Mon Oct 8, 2012, 09:20 AM

GALLUP: Obama Bouncing Back Already To 5-Point Lead (update)

Last edited Mon Oct 8, 2012, 09:43 PM USA/ET - Edit history (1)

Source: Washington Post/Gallup

The article I posted below, is from this morning, and it came out prior to the new Gallup numbers which are much much much more positive for Obama... Here is the link to the thread with the updated numbers, I will keep this thread open just because so many people have commented in this thread, and I don't want to delete the information that you posted, but please remember that this is an old article from this morning, the new article is at this link: http://www.democraticunderground.com/1014259947

Following last week’s debate, President Obama has lost his five-point lead in Gallup’s tracking poll of registered voters. In the first three days of polling since the debate, Obama and Mitt Romney are tied at 47 percent each.

In the poll’s seven-day rolling average Obama still has a three-point edge, but that includes three days before the debate. Clearly, the race has narrowed slightly but significantly in Gallup polling since.

Debate-watchers agreed that Romney beat Obama by a 72 to 20 percent margin. Even Democrats agreed that Romney did better than Obama, 49 to 39 percent.

Romney’s 52-point debate win is the largest Gallup has ever recorded. The closest was a 1992 town hall debate, in which voters agreed that Bill Clinton beat George H.W. Bush by a 42-point margin.

The tracking poll results come from a survey of 1,387 registered voters with a margin of error of plus-or-minus 3 percentage points. The debate results come from a poll of 749 debate watchers; the margin of error is plus-or-minus 4 points.

Read more: http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/election-2012/wp/2012/10/08/obama-loses-five-point-edge-in-gallup-poll/

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119 replies	Author	Time	Post
GALLUP: Obama Bouncing Back Already To 5-Point Lead (update) (Original post)	trailmonkee	Oct 2012	OP
Well	dennis4868	Oct 2012	#1
Wow. What was Obama thinking?	GOTV	Oct 2012	#2
Mitt still seems to be unable to get above 47%.	JoePhilly	Oct 2012	#3
From what I'm reading in the papers, the jobs report will not affect undecideds, because that's not	Baitball Blogger	Oct 2012	#15
The decline in UE from a high of 10.2% to 7.8%, and trending down should help Obama on the	JoePhilly	Oct 2012	#17
Joe Scarboro probably didn't get this meme.	Baitball Blogger	Oct 2012	#18
Scabby is a right wing hack. The only meme's he knows are anti-Obama memes.	JoePhilly	Oct 2012	#60
47%. Ironic, isn't it?	catbyte	Oct 2012	#54
Very much so.	JoePhilly	Oct 2012	#61
Yep the fix is in.	zeemike	Oct 2012	#4
It's laying foundation in order to steal it - just like they did from Al Gore.	closeupready	Oct 2012	#27
Do you think Nate Silver is a CTer?	demwing	Oct 2012	#37
And he based it on what?	zeemike	Oct 2012	#39
I think it is gloomy to assume	demwing	Oct 2012	#42
Not at all...there is plenty we can do	zeemike	Oct 2012	#51
He based it on historical data	Lisa D	Oct 2012	#44
And the data includes the 2000 and 2004 elections.	zeemike	Oct 2012	#53
It would only include those debates	demwing	Oct 2012	#70
You can both be correct.	sofa king	Oct 2012	#119
He's a number cruncher going off historical data trends	budkin	Oct 2012	#49
"survey of 1,387 registered voters"	NYC_SKP	Oct 2012	#5
The next Gallup poll comes out at 1:00PM there responding to a poll that was yesterdays news JESUS!!	bigdarryl	Oct 2012	#6
The next two days may well look bad	karynnj	Oct 2012	#26
This makes sense. Thank you, karynnj!	patrice	Oct 2012	#72
Oh doom, we are finished, it all over!	liberal N proud	Oct 2012	#7
lol we surrender.	hrmjustin	Oct 2012	#29
Meaningless since this is "registered voter" not likely voters...	rfranklin	Oct 2012	#8
exactly... LIV's also read these exagerated headlines and believe that Romney is clobbering...	trailmonkee	Oct 2012	#13
It isn't meaningless. To say so is being in denial. The polls indicate that something happened to	still_one	Oct 2012	#19
Agreed, Obama's debate performance was a disaster	budkin	Oct 2012	#59
and I really wish I didn't view it that way, but to ignore it is to become complacent	still_one	Oct 2012	#108
if it was 47% the three days after the debate	My Pet Goat	Oct 2012	#9
The sad and scary truth	RiverNoord	Oct 2012	#10
Relax, River. I still say the biggest takeaway is that Romney wants to kill Big Bird	catbyte	Oct 2012	#11
I agree	oswaldactedalone	Oct 2012	#14
Oh and one more thing....	LovingA2andMI	Oct 2012	#34
bingo Just like reverb in any sound system, potted up/down at the board, for effect on other sources	patrice	Oct 2012	#68
I'm still shaking my head	budkin	Oct 2012	#62
That is because you have been conditioned to believe	zeemike	Oct 2012	#23
Don't get scared. Volunteer!	JDPriestly	Oct 2012	#24
The debate didn't change that. It's ALWAYS been a close race, from day one.	NYC Liberal	Oct 2012	#43
I'm not worried about the next debate but like you I'm worried about the election	renate	Oct 2012	#101
The media strives for contention...	Evasporque	Oct 2012	#12
That may be, but if you believed in the polls several weeks ago, the same polls showing a different	still_one	Oct 2012	#20
At the end of the debate, I was speechless......	plethoro	Oct 2012	#16
How many hours have you volunteered for Obama thus far?	JDPriestly	Oct 2012	#21
Eight hours a day for four weeks now. I have sent out thousands of flyers to my diabetic website,	plethoro	Oct 2012	#28
I'm confused.	maddiemom	Oct 2012	#63
I said four weeks. When was the debate? Yes, you are confused...nft	plethoro	Oct 2012	#97
C'mon...	demwing	Oct 2012	#38
Welcome to DU plethoro.	FedUpWithIt All	Oct 2012	#46
Thanks. I mainly read as I don't have time to post a lot. I	plethoro	Oct 2012	#98
thank you very much for everything you're doing	renate	Oct 2012	#100
Inferring ALL of that from a smile??? And the distinct probability that you are wrong doesn't	patrice	Oct 2012	#69
I have worked in places at levels where most smiles mean something.	plethoro	Oct 2012	#99
You jumped from a smile to Obama and Robme are in collusion & that's not an inference? wow.	patrice	Oct 2012	#104
"most smiles mean SOMETHING"/i.e. CAN mean many different things & you picked the one &	patrice	Oct 2012	#105
Not into vagarious word salad, but thank for you post. Next	plethoro	Oct 2012	#107
Why don't you make good on the aspersion you just threw at me and point to exactly	patrice	Oct 2012	#117
With your obvious advanced intuitiveness maybe you should just accept	plethoro	Oct 2012	#118
NO SURPRISE! And worse is 50 million viewers are voting based on it.	torotoro	Oct 2012	#22
OMG!!!	LovingA2andMI	Oct 2012	#25
this is not what it says on its side.	graham4anything	Oct 2012	#30
I think the poll includes Fri and Sat	VirginiaTarheel	Oct 2012	#45
but if the article is bragging it is even including some before the debate, then it is wrong	graham4anything	Oct 2012	#48
Was this the tracking poll or did they do a stand alone poll.	hrmjustin	Oct 2012	#31
Ras has the race tied again meaning a gain of 2 points for O	Iliyah	Oct 2012	#32
this poll	heaven05	Oct 2012	#33
THIS ^^^^^	LovingA2andMI	Oct 2012	#35
if	heaven05	Oct 2012	#88
I'm not sure these poll numbers should be too worrisome	meadowlark5	Oct 2012	#36
I don't think it'll go down this way a second time.	FedUpWithIt All	Oct 2012	#40
Nation of Idiots	jzodda	Oct 2012	#41
Some people hate both candidates	davidn3600	Oct 2012	#50
I'm confused, Obama is up 49-46 in Gallup today	budkin	Oct 2012	#47
Gallup has a seven day rolling poll	oswaldactedalone	Oct 2012	#52
Actually they say the polling for the three days afterward is a tie	karynnj	Oct 2012	#55
I no longer know where I saw this early this AM	oswaldactedalone	Oct 2012	#64
I wonder if that was a reporter misstating what was in the Gallup release	karynnj	Oct 2012	#71
Good observation.	maddogesq	Oct 2012	#56
Ah ok, so it is actually tied... he'll go up again once the jobs numbers take hold	budkin	Oct 2012	#58
Notice how they didn't highlight a 3-day version when Obama was blowing Rmoney away	BumRushDaShow	Oct 2012	#66
No surprise-- Romney managed to undo some of the "painting" at the debate	andym	Oct 2012	#57
He didn't have to mock him, just be forceful that he changed all his opinions	budkin	Oct 2012	#65
Obama won,hands down. Mitt was a joke.	toby jo	Oct 2012	#67
GALLUP UPDATED	demwing	Oct 2012	#73
Interesting that nobody seems to be paying attention your post....	OldDem2012	Oct 2012	#81
^^ THERE IT IS. ^^	AtomicKitten	Oct 2012	#83
+1	Liberalynn	Oct 2012	#86
Thanks Demwing!	redwitch	Oct 2012	#113
The don't-vote-let-it-destroy-itself sowers are harvesting another crop. nt	patrice	Oct 2012	#74
amen and hell yes	DonCoquixote	Oct 2012	#76
I've seen some of them out there, talking about what's next on FB. I wanted to say, but didn't, that	patrice	Oct 2012	#78
amen and here is a hint	DonCoquixote	Oct 2012	#84
Right on, that!!! "Lack of discipline" & I've seen that up close & personal. A license to do whateve	patrice	Oct 2012	#89
Exactly	DonCoquixote	Oct 2012	#116
"Nobody ever went	sulphurdunn	Oct 2012	#75
"Spreading" - debating technique used by romney not allowed in serious debates.	Peregrine Took	Oct 2012	#77
Axelrod taking over all debate strategy. (Plouffe out??)	Peregrine Took	Oct 2012	#79
If so, so be it	DonCoquixote	Oct 2012	#85
It's interesting that debate wins are no longer based on truthfulness or facts...	OldDem2012	Oct 2012	#80
You nailed this horseshit! The question is how much of the public "mind" does it represent. nt	patrice	Oct 2012	#82
Don't worry...be happy! Things are going to be just fine.	Safetykitten	Oct 2012	#87
I guess you didn't see the actual full Gallup poll, did you?	MjolnirTime	Oct 2012	#91
This is about choices. I know people for whom those kinds of jobs ARE their choice IF they can get	patrice	Oct 2012	#92
You might want to get your facts straight before posting every piece of trash you stumble upon.	MjolnirTime	Oct 2012	#90
this is bad - what was O thinking to let Mitt the Shit get away with all those lies?	wordpix	Oct 2012	#93
Looking at the newer polls... looks like the jobs #'s are starting to kick in....	trailmonkee	Oct 2012	#94
He was so busy not giving Willard what Willard wanted to talk about that he didn't talk about what	patrice	Oct 2012	#95
LOL	Megahurtz	Oct 2012	#96
Old 'news,' NOT News.	elleng	Oct 2012	#102
looks like it... glad to see the numbers are up.... I am wondering if I should delete the post now?	trailmonkee	Oct 2012	#103
Dunno; nice of you to think about it.	elleng	Oct 2012	#106
Good suggestion, I'll go ahead and do that, thank you	trailmonkee	Oct 2012	#112
Good work.	elleng	Oct 2012	#114
thanks	trailmonkee	Oct 2012	#115
Just EDIT the initial post and label it UPDATED...	DavidL	Oct 2012	#109
I posted this early this morning when he was new new...	trailmonkee	Oct 2012	#111
Just Edit the post, and change "Gallup" to "Pew"	demwing	Oct 2012	#110

Response to trailmonkee (Original post)

Mon Oct 8, 2012, 09:25 AM

dennis4868 (9,627 posts)

1. Well

at least Obama can laugh and joke about his debate performance

GALLUP: Obama Bouncing Back Already To 5-Point Lead (update)

1. Well

2. Wow. What was Obama thinking?

3. Mitt still seems to be unable to get above 47%.

15. From what I'm reading in the papers, the jobs report will not affect undecideds, because that's not

17. The decline in UE from a high of 10.2% to 7.8%, and trending down should help Obama on the

18. Joe Scarboro probably didn't get this meme.

60. Scabby is a right wing hack. The only meme's he knows are anti-Obama memes.

54. 47%. Ironic, isn't it?

61. Very much so.

4. Yep the fix is in.

27. It's laying foundation in order to steal it - just like they did from Al Gore.

37. Do you think Nate Silver is a CTer?

39. And he based it on what?

42. I think it is gloomy to assume

51. Not at all...there is plenty we can do

44. He based it on historical data

53. And the data includes the 2000 and 2004 elections.

70. It would only include those debates

119. You can both be correct.

49. He's a number cruncher going off historical data trends

5. "survey of 1,387 registered voters"

6. The next Gallup poll comes out at 1:00PM there responding to a poll that was yesterdays news JESUS!!

26. The next two days may well look bad

72. This makes sense. Thank you, karynnj!

7. Oh doom, we are finished, it all over!

29. lol we surrender.

8. Meaningless since this is "registered voter" not likely voters...

13. exactly... LIV's also read these exagerated headlines and believe that Romney is clobbering...

19. It isn't meaningless. To say so is being in denial. The polls indicate that something happened to

59. Agreed, Obama's debate performance was a disaster

108. and I really wish I didn't view it that way, but to ignore it is to become complacent

9. if it was 47% the three days after the debate

10. The sad and scary truth

11. Relax, River. I still say the biggest takeaway is that Romney wants to kill Big Bird

14. I agree

34. Oh and one more thing....

68. bingo Just like reverb in any sound system, potted up/down at the board, for effect on other sources

62. I'm still shaking my head

23. That is because you have been conditioned to believe

24. Don't get scared. Volunteer!

43. The debate didn't change that. It's ALWAYS been a close race, from day one.

101. I'm not worried about the next debate but like you I'm worried about the election

12. The media strives for contention...

20. That may be, but if you believed in the polls several weeks ago, the same polls showing a different

16. At the end of the debate, I was speechless......

21. How many hours have you volunteered for Obama thus far?

28. Eight hours a day for four weeks now. I have sent out thousands of flyers to my diabetic website,

63. I'm confused.

97. I said four weeks. When was the debate? Yes, you are confused...nft

38. C'mon...

46. Welcome to DU plethoro.

98. Thanks. I mainly read as I don't have time to post a lot. I

100. thank you very much for everything you're doing

69. Inferring ALL of that from a smile??? And the distinct probability that you are wrong doesn't

99. I have worked in places at levels where most smiles mean something.

104. You jumped from a smile to Obama and Robme are in collusion & that's not an inference? wow.

105. "most smiles mean SOMETHING"/i.e. CAN mean many different things & you picked the one &

107. Not into vagarious word salad, but thank for you post. Next

117. Why don't you make good on the aspersion you just threw at me and point to exactly

118. With your obvious advanced intuitiveness maybe you should just accept

22. NO SURPRISE! And worse is 50 million viewers are voting based on it.

25. OMG!!!

30. this is not what it says on its side.

45. I think the poll includes Fri and Sat

48. but if the article is bragging it is even including some before the debate, then it is wrong

31. Was this the tracking poll or did they do a stand alone poll.

32. Ras has the race tied again meaning a gain of 2 points for O

33. this poll

35. THIS ^^^^^

88. if

36. I'm not sure these poll numbers should be too worrisome

40. I don't think it'll go down this way a second time.

41. Nation of Idiots

50. Some people hate both candidates

47. I'm confused, Obama is up 49-46 in Gallup today

52. Gallup has a seven day rolling poll

55. Actually they say the polling for the three days afterward is a tie

64. I no longer know where I saw this early this AM

71. I wonder if that was a reporter misstating what was in the Gallup release