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Tue Oct 2, 2012, 12:27 PM

Obama Leads Romney by 18 Points Among Women

Source: Bloomberg

President Barack Obama has an 18- percentage-point lead over Republican challenger Mitt Romney among women voters in a poll released today, an advantage similar to his pre-election margins four years ago.

Thanks to Obama’s support among women, the survey of likely voters by Quinnipiac University shows the incumbent holding a 49 percent to 45 percent edge over Romney. Obama leads by 56 percent to 38 percent among women. Romney leads among men, 52 percent to 42 percent. Independent voters are divided, with 47 percent backing Romney and 45 percent Obama, within a margin of error of plus or minus 2.2 percentage points.

Obama was favored similarly among women four years ago, while Romney is faring better among men than the 2008 Republican nominee, Arizona Senator John McCain, polls showed.

Quinnipiac showed Obama with a 14-point lead, 54 percent to 40 percent, among likely women voters in a Sept. 11-16, 2008, poll, as McCain led among men, 50 percent to 43 percent. And a Pew Research Center poll of registered voters taken Sept. 27-29 put Obama ahead among women, 54 percent to 37 percent, while McCain led among men, 47 percent to 43 percent.

Read more: http://www.businessweek.com/news/2012-10-02/obama-leads-romney-nationally-with-18-point-edge-among-women

27 replies, 4014 views

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Arrow 27 replies Author Time Post
Reply Obama Leads Romney by 18 Points Among Women (Original post)
IDemo Oct 2012 OP
Deep13 Oct 2012 #1
davidn3600 Oct 2012 #7
Ash_F Oct 2012 #15
Posteritatis Oct 2012 #20
davidn3600 Oct 2012 #22
Ash_F Oct 2012 #27
BlueMTexpat Oct 2012 #24
Ash_F Oct 2012 #16
Deep13 Oct 2012 #25
Shadowflash Oct 2012 #2
olddad56 Oct 2012 #3
onehandle Oct 2012 #4
Quantess Oct 2012 #6
SoapBox Oct 2012 #10
BlueStreak Oct 2012 #5
budkin Oct 2012 #8
Bucky Oct 2012 #9
sofa king Oct 2012 #11
maxsolomon Oct 2012 #12
CoffeeCat Oct 2012 #13
Ash_F Oct 2012 #14
rtracey Oct 2012 #17
marions ghost Oct 2012 #19
Liberal_Stalwart71 Oct 2012 #18
torotoro Oct 2012 #21
Stewland Oct 2012 #23
Flatpicker Oct 2012 #26

Response to IDemo (Original post)

Tue Oct 2, 2012, 12:33 PM

1. Sadly, he trails among men by 10%.

Part of white, male gender and race identity appears to be tied up with avoiding candidates who are compassionate rather than "tough," whatever that might mean.

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Response to Deep13 (Reply #1)

Tue Oct 2, 2012, 12:46 PM

7. Or maybe the DNC payed so much attention to women, they forgot about keeping the men?

I remember a few people making that comment on here during the convention....and then catching hell for it.

Right now, what the Democrats gained in women, they've lost in men. According to the polls. For whatever reason...

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Response to davidn3600 (Reply #7)

Tue Oct 2, 2012, 02:31 PM

15. How could they have neglected the men?

I am not trying to be snarky(I am a man myself), but what do you think Dems should be doing to attract more men? I can't really think of any issues specifically relating to men that we have been neglected on.

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Response to davidn3600 (Reply #7)

Tue Oct 2, 2012, 05:33 PM

20. Yeah, us poor overlooked menfolk... oy. (nt)

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Response to Posteritatis (Reply #20)

Tue Oct 2, 2012, 06:01 PM

22. Democrats do overlook this voting block

White, working class men make up more voters than hispanics and blacks combined. Yet this group tends to be overlooked by Democrats while Republicans target them heavily. And when you compare today's polls to 2008, white men is a place where Obama has lost significant support. And no one really seems to have any idea why, nor does anyone seem to care.

2008 exit polls:
Women - Obama 56% - McCain 43%.
Men - Obama 49% - McCain 48%.

2012 polls right now:
Women - Obama 56% - Romney 38%
Men - Romney 52% - Obama 42%.

No question about it. Obama has lost male voters.

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Response to davidn3600 (Reply #22)

Tue Oct 2, 2012, 09:57 PM

27. I doubt no one cares.

My question is how do you think Dems should appeal to this demographic? I would argue that they do through supporting all working class individuals. How could they better appeal then?

As for why Obama would be loosing them, I have no educated answer for that. Perhaps some, a minority, feel that there are limited rights available and giving more to one group means less for others. It is a fallacious mode of thought, but I know some people think this way.

Keep in mind that you are comparing exit polls to opinion polls. The exit polls do not include undecideds, obviously, while the opinion polls do. It would be better to compare them to opinion polls for around the same part of the election cycle in 2008. And of course there is margin of error.

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Response to davidn3600 (Reply #7)

Tue Oct 2, 2012, 06:44 PM

24. Your "concern" has been noted.

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Response to Deep13 (Reply #1)

Tue Oct 2, 2012, 02:33 PM

16. "tough" = insecure /nt

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Response to Ash_F (Reply #16)

Tue Oct 2, 2012, 09:12 PM

25. That is often true...

...and the ostentatious display of toughness reveals insecurity in ones masculinity.

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Response to IDemo (Original post)

Tue Oct 2, 2012, 12:39 PM

2. That's all!?!

I guess a lot of women aren't paying attention. That gap should be much wider.

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Response to IDemo (Original post)

Tue Oct 2, 2012, 12:39 PM

3. Romney's lead over Obama is even larger among stupid people

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Response to IDemo (Original post)

Tue Oct 2, 2012, 12:40 PM

4. Time for GOP General, Donald Trump, to insult women's intelligence again. nt

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Response to onehandle (Reply #4)

Tue Oct 2, 2012, 12:45 PM

6. Right. Time for some patronizing comments from a RW pundit

about how women are foolish for supporting Obama. We just don't understand!

Go on, explain it to us, Donald Trump, Rick Santorum, or Sean Hannity. Ann Coulter already did her part, by saying that "stupid women are Obama's base".

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Response to onehandle (Reply #4)

Tue Oct 2, 2012, 01:05 PM

10. Maybe Mittens can insult a few million women during the debates.

Hope springs eternal!

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Response to IDemo (Original post)

Tue Oct 2, 2012, 12:41 PM

5. Romney's problem is that to attract any new constituencies he loses another

With the undecideds so low, it is looking like a zero sum game -- AT BEST -- for Romney. And considering that any embrace of women, Latinos, left-handers, or Cubs fans risks alienating misogynists, racists, right-handers, and Braves fans, he will probably lose ground if he turns to the trusty old Etch-A-Sketch too much.

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Response to IDemo (Original post)

Tue Oct 2, 2012, 12:49 PM

8. But Ann Romney loves the women!

And they love Mitt!

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Response to IDemo (Original post)

Tue Oct 2, 2012, 01:03 PM

9. You think the Fundies & Teapers will come after the 19th Amdmt next?

Without the wimmin folks ruining America, Romney would be coasting to coronation inauguration by now. Damn that Woodrow Wilson! And damn Teddy Roosevelt too!

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Response to IDemo (Original post)

Tue Oct 2, 2012, 01:18 PM

11. American women saving America... again.

You are awesome!

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Response to IDemo (Original post)

Tue Oct 2, 2012, 01:19 PM

12. Damn those Suffragettes!

Without their infernal meddling, Plutocracy would be much easier.

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Response to IDemo (Original post)

Tue Oct 2, 2012, 01:58 PM

13. Interesante!

I remember reading that the McCain camp went into full-blown, panic-on-steroids mode when their internal polling showed them down ten points with women. Steve Schmitt said that he knew that there was absolutely no way in hell that they were winning a General Election with a 10 percent deficit with women.

Also, Obama was behind with men in 2008 by 7 percent. He's behind 10 percent now.

So, if we are ahead with women by 18 percent now, and down 10 percent with men--that still leaves us +8 percent (with these gender figures.

In 2008, Obama was ahead with women by 14 percent and down among men by 7--that left us with +6. So, this year is looking even better than 2008.

Great news.

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Response to IDemo (Original post)

Tue Oct 2, 2012, 02:26 PM

14. Alienating everyone; this is what they get. /nt

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Response to IDemo (Original post)

Tue Oct 2, 2012, 02:58 PM

17. So these women

So these women supporting Romney, they are women who don't need healthcare, who don't need medicare, who don't need social security, who don't care about women issues, or are against gay, latino, senior, and any other women from age 1 - 99. So my question is WHO ARE THESE WOMEN....The Stepford Wives?....The Romney Wives?

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Response to rtracey (Reply #17)

Tue Oct 2, 2012, 05:03 PM

19. I know one of them

--an acquaintance, not a bud. In her case, the answer is easy--she doesn't need all that socialism--she's rich!

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Response to IDemo (Original post)

Tue Oct 2, 2012, 03:02 PM

18. Sadly he's not leading by more! I don't understand why ANY woman would vote for Robme!

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Response to IDemo (Original post)

Tue Oct 2, 2012, 05:35 PM

21. Still baffles me why White Males (majority) dont vote Democrat.

 

Even gay white males mostly vote republican. Huh??

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Response to torotoro (Reply #21)

Tue Oct 2, 2012, 06:30 PM

23. Majority of Gay white Males

 

Majority of Gay White Males vote Democratic.

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Response to torotoro (Reply #21)

Tue Oct 2, 2012, 09:48 PM

26. Because traditionallly

Until they became insane, the Republican party was a safe haven for the status quo.

White males didn't want change. Nobody at the top of the food chain would vote against their own self interest.

The R party has gone crazy, but the public usually has a lag time for voting patterns to be changed.

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