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arely staircase

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Member since: Sun Dec 11, 2011, 05:54 PM
Number of posts: 11,881

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nate silver number nerds, check this out

awesome interview on data, political and otherwise:

Posted by arely staircase | Wed Oct 10, 2012, 07:37 PM (2 replies)

GOP: Gays Out of the Party

Here is one of those odd regularities that crop up in American politics: Every election year since at least 1996, about a quarter of gay voters (more precisely, of voters who acknowledge being gay in exit polls) have pulled for the Republican presidential candidate, rain or shine.

Perhaps this is because gay voters have not had a choice between rain and shine. Their choice has been between rain and drizzle. The Republican candidate preferred not to talk about gay issues (ugh! nasty!) and could be counted on, if the issue came up, to take the wrong side. The Democratic candidate, on the other hand, preferred not to talk about gay issues (eek! dangerous!) and could be counted on, if the issue came up, to chicken out and act like a Republican

President Obama started slow on gay rights. He opposed marriage equality, dragged his feet on the military-service ban, and let the Justice Department file a brief defending DOMA that could have been written by his predecessor. But then he made up for lost time. He went out on a limb jurisprudentially by abandoning his legal defense of DOMA. He and the Democratic Congress got the military ban repealed. He used executive authority to provide some benefits for same-sex partners of federal workers. Above all, he came out this year in support of gay marriage — and, in its platform, his party did the same.


We do know this: If any Republican in the 2012 field had the potential to lead the party away from its growing isolation on gay equality, it was Mitt Romney. By choosing instead to pander to the anti-gay right, he made gay voters’ choice easier, and Democrats’ future brighter.

Posted by arely staircase | Wed Oct 10, 2012, 01:52 AM (1 replies)

Does anyone remember mediawhoresonline?

aka mediahorse. that was a great website back in the early days of political intertubing. it had an aura of mystery as all the media whores were trying to figure out who was behind it. then it went away, with no explanation. does anyone know the back story?
Posted by arely staircase | Wed Oct 10, 2012, 01:07 AM (7 replies)

i knew john galt

i kicked john galt's ass in a bar fight in '73. you sir are no john galt
Posted by arely staircase | Tue Oct 9, 2012, 08:58 PM (1 replies)

recing my own posts

not knowing we could see who liked what threads i always followed this peronal rule:

i wouldn't rec myself first because i didn't want to be my only recomendation. but as soon as another reced my post i would rec it so people wouldn't think the first one was me.

i am an idiot
Posted by arely staircase | Tue Oct 9, 2012, 08:38 PM (31 replies)

CNN Poll: Ohio Stays In Obama Column After Debate

President Obama retained the lead in a big prize on the electoral map, Ohio, according to a poll released Tuesday by CNN.

Obama leads Romney 51 percent to 47 percent in the Buckeye State, a smaller advantage than the president has had in the state during the last few weeks of polling. But with Romney surging nationally on a good performance in the first presidential debate, the CNN numbers contradict four other polls fielded after the event that showed the race within 1 point, and Romney leading three of them.

CNN pointed to the gender gap as the reason for Obama’s lead — the president is up 22 points with women, while Romney leads men by 14 points. Obama also leads 50 percent to Romney’s 46 percent among independent voters.

The results put the overall PollTracker Average of the race in Ohio at a 1.9 percent lead for the president.

Posted by arely staircase | Tue Oct 9, 2012, 07:17 PM (2 replies)


Taliban attack wounds teen activist blogger

Islamabad, Pakistan (CNN) -- Malala Yousufzai's courageous blogging against the Taliban set her apart from other 14-year-old Pakistani girls.

Growing up in a region once dominated by the Islamic extremists, she knew the fear associated with the word Taliban.

One of her fears came to pass Tuesday, when gunmen sought her out and opened fire on her school van, leaving her seriously wounded along with two other classmates

Last year, Malala told CNN she feared "being beheaded by the Taliban because of my passion for education. During their rule, the Taliban used to march into our houses to check whether we were studying or watching television."
She described how she used to hide her books under her bed, fearing a house search by the Taliban.

Malala's online writing against the Taliban led to her being awarded Pakistan's first National Peace Prize last November. Former Prime Minister Yusuf Raza Gilani directed Pakistan's Cabinet to award the prize each year to a child under 18 who contributes to peace and education.

Posted by arely staircase | Tue Oct 9, 2012, 07:08 PM (0 replies)

perspective on debate "winners"

john kerry was widely viewed by the public and MSM as having kicked GWs ass in their first debate.

jimmy carter did the same to reagan.

and we all remember the kerry presidency and carter's second term, right?
Posted by arely staircase | Tue Oct 9, 2012, 07:00 PM (0 replies)

does ASSad really want a piece of the RAF, Luftwaffe, French: Armée de l'Air and the USAF?

feel froggy, assad? then jump, coward! the organizations listed in my headline are, unlike defenseless civilians, quite capable of applying some serious butt hurt - ask Slobodan Milosavich. Oh, that's right, never mind.

Nato backs Turkey in standoff with Syria

Secretary general says Turkey can rely on Nato solidarity and that 'all necessary plans are in place'

"Obviously Turkey can rely on Nato solidarity," Rasmussen said in advance of a meeting of Nato defense ministers in Brussels. "We have all necessary plans in place to protect and defend Turkey if necessary."

Posted by arely staircase | Tue Oct 9, 2012, 06:11 PM (18 replies)

hey teachers

what would you do about a principal who enforces rules like dress codes on the poor minority students while not saying a peep to the rich white kids about the same thing? He also told us we can't take away recess as a classroom management technique but then turns around and takes it away from poor hispanic kids without so much as telling us the policy has been changed.
Posted by arely staircase | Tue Oct 9, 2012, 05:26 PM (3 replies)
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