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AverageJoe90

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Member since: Tue Jun 28, 2011, 06:03 PM
Number of posts: 9,429

Journal Archives

"Shelter In Place Warning" EAS Alert issued in regards to the manhunt for Eric Frein.

Effective as of 8:06 p.m., EDT.

http://www.newsroomamerica.com/story/445389.html

BTW, if anyone has any friends or relatives in Eastern Pa., particularly in Monroe County, please don't hesitate to get a hold of them and let them know what's going on, in case they may not.

Pa. State Police Ask Residents In Price, Barrett Townships To Stay Inside Homes

Source: CBS Philadelphia

MONROE COUNTY, Pa. (CBS) — Around 7:30 p.m. Friday, the Pennsylvania State Police asked residents in the Price and Barrett Townships areas of Monroe County to stay inside their residences due to police activity in the area.

The public is also asked not to travel to this area.

State Police said they would not take questions.

Police have had a strong presence in the area as the manhunt continues for Eric Frein, who authorities say is being sought in connection with last week’s shooting at the Blooming Grove barracks that left one trooper dead and another wounded.

Eric Matthew Frein. (credit: Pennsylvania State Police)

Frein was placed on the FBI’s 10 most wanted list Thursday.

Read more: http://philadelphia.cbslocal.com/2014/09/19/manhunt-continues-for-suspect-in-pa-barracks-shooting/



Well, damn. This is starting to get a little scary, folks. I only hope that the cops can stop this guy before he takes any more lives.....

"Shelter In Place Warning" EAS Alert issued in regards to the Eric Frein problem in Penn.

Effective as of 8:06 p.m., EDT.

http://www.newsroomamerica.com/story/445389.html

This is getting goddamn serious, folks, and on a particularly scary level, too. If anyone has any friends or relatives in Eastern Pa., particularly in Monroe County, please don't hesitate to get ahold of them and let them know what's going on.

Fresh Focus on Siberian Permafrost as Hole Count Rises: DotEarth.

Okay, I realize this article is a couple of weeks old, but it's so good, I just had to share it. I'm sure many of you have been paying attention to the Siberian hole discoveries of late, whether out of worry, or curiosity, or perhaps, a mixture of the two. Well, in any case, Andrew Revkin of the impeccable DotEarth blog did an interview with Marina Leibman, one of the chief scientists of the Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, who happens to be a veteran permafrost expert with as much as 40 years' experience in her field.

http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2014/07/25/fresh-focus-on-siberian-permafrost-as-second-hole-is-reported/?_php=true&_type=blogs&module=BlogPost-ReadMore&version=Blog%20Main&action=Click&contentCollection=arctic&pgtype=Blogs®ion=Body&_r=0#more-52809

I had a Skype chat Wednesday about Siberian permafrost in the context of climate change with Marina Leibman, a top Russian permafrost expert who had just returned from examining the unusual crater spotted on the Yamal Peninsula in Siberia late last week.

We talked just before fresh reports circulated about reindeer herders finding another such hole in the region.....

Leibman, the chief scientist at the Earth Cryosphere Institute of the Siberian Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences, has studied permafrost since 1973 and has a remarkable publication record.

She describes how the first hole (and presumably the new one) appear to have formed as methane is released from a warming mix of ice, water and soil, building up pressure that explosively pushed out the top of the hole, heaving chunks of earth many yards in some directions.....

She said there were no signs of combustion, that the hole had to be at least a year old because there was fresh greenery from this summer season with no overlying layer of mud or the like.

Leibman stressed that there were no indications that such events were more than the normal process of lake formation in the area and predicted that the hole she inspected would end up being a lake in coming years.

She also stressed that she sees no signs of current or imminent warming producing a great destabilization of permafrost in the Arctic: “You can’t say in 20 years it will be 2 degrees warmer so permafrost will be thawing. It will make it 2 degrees warmer, but not thawing – at least in the far north.....


So, there we go. To be honest, this doesn't mean we shouldn't be concerned about permafrost anymore. We should be. However, though, this does shine some (much needed!) new light on the phenomenon and may hopefully bring the conversation a little bit back towards Earth.


Anybody else having issues with Rootsweb today?

For some reason.....I dunno what it could be, exactly.....I can't access Rootsweb at all. This is the address I normally use, btw: http://wc.rootsweb.ancestry.com

I hope the site hasn't been taken out; I heard there may have been a DDOS attack recently.

To be fair, this wasn't nearly as bad as the Miss Teen S.C. fiasco.

People do forget facts under pressure sometimes.....I know that's happened to me.

But I do know all 50 of the state capitals.

From west to east(P.S. not really in the exact order, however. ):

Juneau(Alaska)
Honolulu(Hawa'ii, our POTUS's hometown)
Olympia(Wash.)
Salem(Ore.)
Sacramento(Calif.)
Boise(Idaho)
Carson City(Nevada)
Salt Lake(Utah)
Phoenix (Ariz.)
Helena(Mont.)
Cheyenne(Wyo.)
Denver(Colo.)
Santa Fe(N.M.)
Austin(Texas)
Oklahoma City(Okla., of course)
Topeka(Kansas)
Lincoln(Neb.)
Pierre(S.D.)
Bismarck(N.D.)
St. Paul(Minn.)
Des Moines(Iowa)
Jefferson City(Missouri)
Little Rock(Ark.)
Baton Rouge(La.)
Madison(Wis.)
Springfield(Ill.)
Lansing(Mich.)
Indianapolis(Ind.)
Frankfort(Ky.)
Columbus(Ohio)
Charleston(W. Va.)
Nashville(Tenn.)
Jackson(Miss.)
Montgomery(Ala.)
Tallahassee(Fla.)
Atlanta(Ga.)
Columbia(S.C.)
Raleigh(N.C.)
Richmond(Va.)
Annapolis(Maryland)
Harrisburg(Pa.)
Dover(Del.)
Trenton(N.J.)
Albany(N.Y.)
Montpelier(Ver.)
Hartford(Conn.)
Boston(Mass.)
Providence(R.I.)
Concord(N.H.)
Augusta(Maine)

And then, San Juan is Puerto Rico's capital, as a bonus.





Fine, I'll say it. I'm a ("cis") male and guys can be feminists, too.

Well, okay, since others are getting into it, I will, too. Honestly, it does bother me quite a bit when some radfems say that guys can't be feminists, because we aren't women. Well.....that's not true. After all, isn't feminism about supporting equal rights, levelling the playing field as much as possible, etc.? Because, you know what? I support all of these things. Wholeheartedly. Then, if so.....am I not a feminist? Simply because I'm of the "wrong" gender?

BTW, I do realize this isn't so much a problem on DU as elsewhere, but I have heard this a few times on here as well and it IS a little unsettling, TBH. So, reply away, as you will.

Watching the severe weather outbreak unfolding across the South today.

For those of you who may not have been paying much attention, there is a *major* severe weather outbreak unfolding across the southern states right now and there's already been at least one strong, damaging tornado in Arkansas with multiple reports of serious damage in several communities.

This was the latest bulletin on the aforementioned tornado, as of 7:48 pm.

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
743 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2014

ARC045-085-119-145-280100-
/O.CON.KLZK.TO.W.0011.000000T0000Z-140428T0100Z/
FAULKNER AR-LONOKE AR-PULASKI AR-WHITE AR-
743 PM CDT SUN APR 27 2014

...TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR SALTILLO AND VILONIA...

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR SOUTHWESTERN WHITE...
EXTREME NORTH CENTRAL PULASKI...EXTREME NORTHWESTERN LONOKE AND
SOUTHEASTERN FAULKNER COUNTIES UNTIL 800 PM CDT...

AT 738 PM CDT...STORM SPOTTERS AND NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
METEOROLOGISTS WERE TRACKING A CONFIRMED TORNADO WITH REPORTS OF
DAMAGE. THIS POTENTIALLY DEADLY TORNADO WAS LOCATED 3 MILES EAST OF
LAKE CONWAY...OR 8 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CONWAY...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 50
MPH.

THIS IS A TORNADO EMERGENCY FOR SALTILLO AND VILONIA. TAKE COVER NOW.

* LOCATIONS IN OR NEAR THE PATH OF THIS TORNADO INCLUDE...
VILONIA... LAKE CONWAY... ENOLA...
SALTILLO... OTTO... HOLLAND...
HAMLET... EL PASO...

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TO REPEAT...A DAMAGING TORNADO IS ON THE GROUND. THIS IS AN
EXCEPTIONALLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. THIS STORM IS PRODUCING A LIFE
THREATENING...CONFIRMED TORNADO CAPABLE OF SIGNIFICANT DESTRUCTION.
TAKE COVER IMMEDIATELY.

&&

A TORNADO WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 PM CDT SUNDAY EVENING
FOR ARKANSAS.

LAT...LON 3494 9234 3503 9242 3528 9218 3506 9199
TIME...MOT...LOC 0043Z 227DEG 43KT 3505 9229

$$

44


TBH, I've been watching this all day and it's like a switch just flipped, right about 5 pm CDT. This is getting scary, folks. This one tornado might have been a violent tornado, too, according to some reports.

Other Voices: Earth Institute’s Steven Cohen Seeks a Post-Hysterical Approach to Climate Progress.

Found this excellent piece by Andrew Revkin on DotEarth:

http://dotearth.blogs.nytimes.com/2014/04/07/earth-institutes-steven-cohen-seeks-a-post-hysterical-approach-to-climate-progress/?module=BlogPost-ReadMore&version=Blog%20Main&action=Click&contentCollection=Climate%20Change&pgtype=Blogs®ion=Body#more-51943

I encourage you to read “Facing the Climate Crisis without Hysteria,” the latest Huffington Post piece by Steven A. Cohen, who is the executive director of Columbia University’s Earth Institute and whose career, including long stints at the Environmental Protection Agency, has given him an excellent vantage point on the mix of regulation, motivation, prosperity and innovation that drives environmental progress.

The piece appropriately decries caricatured, baseless attacks on climate science by conservative ideologues and those seeking to delay a shift away from fossil fuels. But Cohen also criticizes climate campaigners and some in the media for responding with oversimplified predictions of environmental doom. Here’s an excerpt and link, with some more background on Cohen:

I think the questioning of science by the American right wing and the political assaults funded by their rich benefactors are proving to be a distraction to those interested in moving the planet to a path of sustainable economic growth. It is turning analysts into advocates and advocates into hysterics. The IPCC report focused a great deal of attention on solutions, but the media accounts of the report focused on the possibility of food shortages. Here we go again: Chicken Little’s sky is falling in. Climate and ecological impacts are creating deep problems in agriculture. While there is no question that these are real problems, as in the past these will likely be addressed by new technologies and new techniques that will overcome the problems we now face.

The glass is either half empty or half full. I choose to believe it is half full. The history of the technological age we are in is that technology both creates unforeseen problems and then sets about solving them. My bet is on human ingenuity. Maybe the U.S. federal government was not capable of building a website to handle the traffic generated by the Obamacare deadline, but Amazon’s website copes pretty well with the massive traffic it generates in the days before Christmas. Maybe we can’t stop the sea waters from rising, but we can place our utility rooms on the second floor instead of the basement. As for agriculture and the food supply, it is always a bad idea to bet against the technology of food production.

I suspect we will survive, because we are not suicidal.

Like many, I’m sure, I’ve been much more familiar with the climate and energy policy preferences of Jeffrey Sachs, the institute’s director. The best recent representation of Sachs’s views is the paper he and others co-authored with James E. Hansen, the longtime NASA climate scientist who now has a climate policy position at Columbia, in which they build on Hansen’s longstanding call for a rising price on carbon.

To capture the full scope of thinking on this question, I think it’s important to consider Cohen’s ideas, too.


This is probably one of the most balanced climate science blogs out there, on a proverbial 'Net soup full of denialism and skeptics, even if some may be genuine, and with a fair share of needless pessimism and outright doomerism as the froth on top.

A dangerous severe weather outbreak may be underway in the Midwest today(High Risk, SPC).

Hey fellas. I've been looking at this setup for a while and it appears the Storm Prediction Center is starting to get a little cpncerned about the severe weather setup today. There is now a High Risk area including not only virtually the whole state of Indiana, but a good chunk of Ill. and western Ohio as well; the Moderate Risk area goes up thru most of the southern half of Lower Michigan, back out west to St. Louis and all the way out east as far as Buffalo, N.Y. and the Erie, Pa. area.

They were discussing the possibility of at least a few strong tornadoes as well as a widespread damaging wind(derecho?) event last night. Here's the Public Weather Outlook:

http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/pwo.html

ZCZC SPCPWOSPC ALL
WOUS40 KWNS 171639
ILZ000-INZ000-MIZ000-OHZ000-180200-

PUBLIC SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1039 AM CST SUN NOV 17 2013

...OUTBREAK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS OVER PARTS OF THE OHIO AND
MIDDLE MISSISSIPPI VALLEY REGION AND SOUTHERN GREAT LAKES REGION FOR
THE REMAINDER OF TODAY INTO TONIGHT...

The NWS Storm Prediction Center in Norman, OK is forecasting an
outbreak of severe thunderstorms, including strong tornadoes,
widespread damaging winds, and large hail, over parts of the Ohio
and middle Mississippi Valley region and southern Great Lakes region
for the remainder of today into tonight.

The areas most likely to experience this activity include:

eastern Illinois
Indiana
southern Lower Michigan
western Ohio

Elsewhere, severe storms are also possible from parts of Wisconsin,
Iowa, Missouri, Arkansas, Mississippi, Alabama, and Tennessee
northeastward across much of the Appalachians to the lower Great
Lakes and southern New England.

Numerous fast-moving thunderstorms, capable of producing strong
tornadoes along with widespread damaging winds and large hail, will
move across portions of the middle Mississippi and Ohio Valley
region and the southern Great Lakes region for the remainder of
today into this evening. Damaging winds will remain a concern as
storms move across the Appalachians and portions of the Northeast
tonight, while severe storms will also be possible this afternoon
into tonight across parts of the Tennessee and lower Mississippi
Valleys.

State and local emergency managers are monitoring this potentially
very dangerous situation. Those in the threatened area are urged to
review severe weather safety rules and to listen to radio,
television, and NOAA Weather Radio for possible watches, warnings,
and statements later today.

..Cohen.. 11/17/2013


Scary stuff. Tornado warnings already out for parts for Ill. and Ind. and it's not even noon yet.....

Stay safe, everybody. It looks like this could be possibly as bad as the 11/9/02 event or even May 31st of this year, possibly.
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