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Profile Information

Gender: Male
Hometown: Detroit Area, MI
Home country: USA
Current location: San Francisco, CA
Member since: Wed Oct 29, 2008, 01:53 PM
Number of posts: 14,106

About Me

Partner, father and liberal Democrat. I am a native Michigander living in San Francisco who is a citizen of the world.

Journal Archives

Begala: Pence threw Trump under the bus.

Saying he set himself up for 2020 at Trump's expense.

538 Election Update: North Carolina Is Becoming A Backstop For Clinton

One particular area of concern for Trump is North Carolina, where the polls we added on Tuesday were the fourth and fifth since the debate to show Clinton ahead there. They also had favorable trend lines for Clinton, with SurveyUSA showing her with a 2-point lead rather than a 4-point deficit in their early August poll, and Elon University showing her up by 6, instead of down by 1 point in their mid-September poll.

North Carolina is not a state where you want to be trailing in the polls in October, hoping for a late comeback.1 That’s because it typically has high rates of early and absentee voting. In 2012, for example, about 60 percent of ballots in North Carolina were cast before Election Day. Absentee voting is already underway there, while in-person early voting begins on Oct. 20.

Our forecast models, which don’t make any specific assumptions about early voting,2 see North Carolina as being important for another reason. Namely, because of the state’s demographics, it acts as a potential hedge for Clinton in the event of a collapse in her support among white voters without college degrees, especially in the Midwest. That’s why our models show North Carolina as the fourth-most important state, ahead of more heralded ones such as Ohio and Colorado.


KAINE is coming on strong now

He's calmed down and is taking Trump apart.

Weld Will Now Focus on Stopping Trump

Libertarian vice presidential candidate William Weld told the Boston Globe “that he plans to focus exclusively on blasting Donald Trump over the next five weeks, a strategic pivot aimed at denying Trump the White House and giving himself a key role in helping to rebuild the GOP.”

“Weld’s comments in a Globe interview mark a major shift in his mission since he pledged at the Libertarian convention in May that he would remain a Libertarian for life and would do all he could to help elect his running mate, Gary Johnson, the former Republican governor of New Mexico.”


Interesting Tweet about North Carolina..from a Hillary hater

User Actions

Steve Deace
Early voting in NC's second most populous county. Turn out increased by 940% over 2012. 18 point swing to the Democrats in party.


Chuck Todd: NC is starting to look bad for Republicans

Chuck Todd told viewers to ignore the polls that have Hillary ahead, and look what's happening on the ground. Her time and money spent early on voter contact and GOVT is already starting to pay off in voter registration and early voting numbers.

Fox News is NOT happy with Assange's informercial.

Anyone who stayed up late or got up early anticipating an "October Surprise" from WikiLeaks heard no bombshells from the organization's founder in an overnight appearance via video.

Julian Assange, who was originally planning to make an announcement from the balcony of the Ecuadorean Embassy in London where he has lived for five years, instead appeared via videolink at a Berlin conference commemorating the leaked email clearinghouse's 10-year anniversary.

Despite widespread speculation he would reveal game-changing information on Democratic presidential candidate Hillary Clinton, Assange's 3 a.m. ET appearance featured no new revelations, although he did promise to publish information regarding the presidential election “every week for the next 10 weeks.”

Assange said he will publish documents regarding at least three governments before the end of the year.


The AP is now reporting on Trump ogling his daughter.

Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump repeatedly made inappropriate comments, which referenced his daughter Ivanka’s appearance, to women on his NBC show “The Apprentice.”

An Associated Press report published Monday details the sexism female contestants and crew experienced from Trump while working on the show. Eight former “Apprentice” crew members told the AP Trump once compared a camerawoman’s beauty to his daughter’s, making repeated comments about the camerawoman’s behind.

A former contestant on the show, Poppy Carlig, said Trump once asked her to twirl in front of him so he could look at her figure.

“I don’t immediately jump to the conclusion that people are having bad intentions with what they are saying,” Carlig told the AP. “He said I reminded him of his daughter and I thought that was really touching because I know how much he values his family.”


First Set Photos Confirm Netflix’s ‘The Punisher’ Series Has Started Filming

ust Jared has posted a batch of new images featuring actor Jon Bernthal as Frank Castle aka The Punisher. The images feature the actor on set of his eventual Punisher series, allegedly coming to Netflix in 2017 – at least according to the streaming media program’s app – and confirm what we’ve all been speculating, that The Punisher is officially filming.

The images show Bernthal sporting a rugged, unshaven face. He is wearing a black jacket with what looks like a hoodie on under it, and is carrying a backpack – he looks eerily reminiscent to Henry Cavill during the first half hour of Man of Steel. There hasn’t been much plot information released, but my best guess is that the series is going to follow Castle after meeting Matt Murdock in Daredevil‘s second season, as his origin has already been established. Or, it could possibly be a more detailed look at his origin as a vigilante. As of right now the plot is still a shot in the dark. The images were (naturally) taken in Brooklyn earlier this afternoon.

Netflix & Marvel has just released their third collaborative original series, Luke Cage, on the heels of two seasons of Daredevil and a single season of Jessica Jones. Luke Cage will be followed by both Iron Fist and The Defenders, and The Punisher will serve as Marvel & Netflix’s sixth series to date.


I don't know what to say about this.

“We were in the boardroom one time figuring out who to blame for the task, and he just stopped in the middle and pointed to someone and said, ‘You’d fuck her, wouldn’t you? I’d fuck her. C’mon, wouldn’t you?’ Everyone is trying to make him stop talking, and the woman is shrinking in her seat.”

— A former crew member for “The Apprentice,” quoted by the AP, on Donald Trump’s behavior toward a cast member.

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