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democrattotheend

Profile Information

Member since: Wed Jan 30, 2008, 03:33 PM
Number of posts: 9,791

About Me

I'm a lawyer representing workers and consumers and a longtime Democratic activist. Nothing I say on here, including any comments about legal topics, should be construed as legal advice or creating an attorney-client relationship.

Journal Archives

Bad Fox Polls: Trump leading in OH, NV, NC

I am tempted to discount these because it's Fox, but their polls are not always terrible. The polls themselves don't seem to have a strong GOP bias, just the way they report them. But they used landlines and cell phones, did bilingual in Nevada, and did it over a 3 day period (September 18-20), so I won't dismiss them out of hand.

Here are the numbers:

Nevada: Trump 43, Clinton 40, Johnson 8 (Stein not on ballot in NV)
North Carolina: Trump 45, Clinton 40, Johnson 6 (Stein not on ballot)
Ohio: Trump 42, Clinton 37, Johnson 6, Stein 2

Sorry to put a damper on a day of good polls

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2016/09/21/fox-news-poll-trump-tops-clinton-in-battlegrounds-nevada-n-carolina-ohio.html
Posted by democrattotheend | Wed Sep 21, 2016, 06:49 PM (57 replies)

The NBC poll is here...

new NBC/WSJ national poll, likely voters in 4-way race: Clinton 43%, Trump 37%, Johnson 10%, Stein 3%

Okay, I can breath now.
Posted by democrattotheend | Wed Sep 21, 2016, 05:03 PM (7 replies)

Charity watchdog calls Trump foundation 'unfocused,' Clinton's 'transparent'

Donald Trump's and Hillary Clinton's non-profit foundations reflect the presidential challengers' publicly perceived styles "improvisational" versus "systematized" a new analysis by a charity watchdog concludes.
...
"All told, the data at hand would suggest that the Clinton family has at least over the last several years donated more money (and at a far higher proportion of their wealth) than the Trump family," the Guidestar analysis concluded.

Clinton critics have argued that fundraising for her family's foundation compromised her role when she served as secretary of State from 2009 to 2013. There appears to be "little evidence to support this claim," the analysis said, noting that the foundation signed a 2008 memorandum of understanding that Clinton would not have a role with the foundation during her Obama administration tenure.

http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2016/09/21/charity-watchdog-calls-trump-foundation-unfocused-clintons-transparent/90775120/
Posted by democrattotheend | Wed Sep 21, 2016, 03:36 PM (1 replies)

Marquette University Wisconsin Poll - Clinton +2 LV, +5 RV

Never seen such a hyped poll! Watching their video where they are bloviating before getting to the numbers.

Not much changed from last time, where Clinton was +3 LV and +5 RV last month.
Posted by democrattotheend | Wed Sep 21, 2016, 01:19 PM (19 replies)

Monmouth NH Poll: HRC 47 Trump 38 (but Ayotte +2 for Senate)

BREAKING: New Hampshire
HRC 47
DJT 38
GJ 10
JS 1

#NHSen
Ayotte 47
Hassan 45

#NHGov
Sununu 49
Van Ostern 43

http://www.monmouth.edu/polling-institute/reports/MonmouthPoll_NH_092116/
Posted by democrattotheend | Wed Sep 21, 2016, 01:07 PM (1 replies)

YouGov Weekly Tracking Poll: Clinton+2

If the 2016 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, Donald Trump, the Republican, Gary Johnson, the Libertarian, and Jill Stein, from the Green Party, who would you vote for?

Hillary Clinton: 40% (-2)
Donald Trump: 38% (-2)
Gary Johnson: 7% (+2)
Jill Stein: 2% (-1)
Someone else: 2%
Not sure yet: 9%
Probably won't vote: 2%

This poll seems to still use registered voters, not likely voters.

https://today.yougov.com/news/2016/09/20/yougoveconomist-poll-september-18-19-2016/
Posted by democrattotheend | Tue Sep 20, 2016, 09:18 PM (2 replies)

Rasmussen Poll (R): Trump +3 in Nevada

Not clear if this was a 2 or 4 way poll.

The survey of 800 Likely Voters in Nevada was conducted on September 16-18, 2016 by Rasmussen Reports. The margin of sampling error is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence. Field work for all Rasmussen Reports surveys is conducted by Pulse Opinion Research, LLC. See methodology.


http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/nevada/election_2016_nevada_president
Posted by democrattotheend | Tue Sep 20, 2016, 03:36 PM (9 replies)

Does anyone know anything about the stonetear reddit thing ?

Yesterday this seemed like a bunch of right wing nonsense, but now the Washington Post and The Hill are posting about it and I am a little worried.

It seems like it could be fabricated...it just seems too convenient, and anyone can fabricate an archived Reddit post. Or potentially hack Reddit. Even if it is legit, all it seems to show is that they didn't want to make Hillary's private e-mail address public.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-intersect/wp/2016/09/20/hillary-clintons-it-guy-asked-reddit-for-help-altering-emails-a-twitter-sleuth-claims/

The Hill says the House committee is going to investigate this, but I don't put much stock in it because they are looking for anything to take Hillary down with.

Is this a potential bombshell or just right wingers grasping at straws?
Posted by democrattotheend | Tue Sep 20, 2016, 02:53 PM (28 replies)

Hashtag Proposal: #HowDidHeKnow

Trump is now bragging that he "knew" it was a bomb/terrorist attack before the NYPD had even investigated the scene. I find that rather curious. It is probably just his typical bluster, but it was so soon after the attack, before the MSM had really started reporting it, that either he is irresponsible and starts talking about unsubstantiated rumors on Twitter, or he knew before it happened.

Let's use the hashtag #HowDidHeKnow to call attention to this.
Posted by democrattotheend | Mon Sep 19, 2016, 11:45 AM (0 replies)

Per Twitter: Suspect in NY/NJ bombings captured

https://twitter.com/AmyALaPorte/status/777890673865424897

Tweeter said it was announced on CNN. Will post link when there is one.
Posted by democrattotheend | Mon Sep 19, 2016, 11:25 AM (0 replies)
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