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grantcart

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Member since: Sat Jan 5, 2008, 07:45 PM
Number of posts: 41,111

Journal Archives

Four Years and Three Days ago:



http://hotlineoncall.nationaljournal.com/archives/2008/02/obama_on_romney.php

OMAHA, NE -- Barack Obama called Mitt Romney's candidacy "ineffective" on the day that the former MA governor exited the presidential race.

Romney, who dropped out of the race for president today in Washington, said in his exit speech that the GOP must unify and not allow Democrats to allow the country to "surrender to terror."

"Well my reaction to Mitt Romney's comment that's the kind of poorly thought out comment that led him to drop out," Obama said during a press avail on his campaign plane. "It's a classic attempt to appeal to people's fears that will not work in this campaign. I think that's part of the reason he was such an ineffective candidate."




Nailed it then, still valid now.

You can take the candidate out of the ineffective but you can't take the ineffective out of the candidate.

More misery for Romney poll shows 3rd in Georgia, Paul might take Maine, Santorum leads MI


Man the damn is breaking on poor old Mitt;



Tomorrow Paul might win Maine. In 2008 Romney had 52% of the vote.

http://www.nationalreview.com/articles/289771/could-paul-win-maine-brian-bolduc



New poll shows Gingrich first, Santorum second and Romney a distant third in Georgia. He is only polling 16% in Georgia where he had 30% in 2008



http://savannahnow.com/latest-news/2012-02-10/poll-gingrich-santorum-lead-georgia#.TzWI4I45tNW

Gingrich leads in Georgia

ATLANTA - Former Georgia congressman Newt Gingrich is leading among primary voters in the state he represented for two decades, and ex-Sen. Rick Santorum is second in a poll released Friday.

Gingrich gets the nod from 35 percent while Santorum surged into second with 26 percent in the wake of his three primary wins this week in Missouri, Minnesota and Colorado.

Mitt Romney has 16 percent, putting him in third place a head of Ron Paul’s 5 percent. Another 18 percent were undecided when surveyed by phone Thursday evening.





And as posted in a separate thread.


In 2008 Romney took Michigan with 51% of the vote in a crowded early field of 7 candidates. It is the state he was born and raised in. His dad was a popular governor there. It fits Romney demographics as well as any remaining state.

I can't see how Romney continues if he gets trounced in Michigan. It would be a titatantic reversal of political fortune. Because it is one of his 'home' states its symbolic value is huge. A loss there would be a mortal blow to his candidacy.


PPP just tweeted that Santorum is ahead on their first night of polling.

PPP has been the most accurate pollster this year.

Here is their tweet

https://twitter.com/#%21/ppppolls/status/168143372454866944



Santorum topping Romney on the first night of our Michigan poll. This may be the biggest surge yet



Edited to add

If Ron Paul wins Maine tomorrow then Romney's campaign will be in a full fledged panic



http://www.thedailybeast.com/cheats/2012/02/10/ron-paul-has-shot-in-maine.html


Ron Paul Could Win Maine

Maine has been caucusing all week (who knew, right?) the results of which will be announced Saturday night. The turnout for Maine's caucuses are typically very low, making the results unpredictable and giving Ron Paul a real chance at his first primary win this year. Paul has been campaigning ferociously in Vacationland this week and plans to stay until the results are called. Mitt Romney, on the other hand, will arrive in Portland on Friday night for his first campaign in the state this year—though he did win the Maine caucuses in 2008.





It would be one of the greatest campaign collapses of all time.

Couldn't happen to a more deserving guy.

Holy Crap. PPP tweets that Santorum now leads Romney in Michigan. Could be the end of Mitt.

In 2008 Romney took Michigan with 51% of the vote in a crowded early field of 7 candidates. It is the state he was born and raised in. His dad was a popular governor there. It fits Romney demographics as well as any remaining state.

I can't see how Romney continues if he gets trounced in Michigan. It would be a titatantic reversal of political fortune. Because it is one of his 'home' states its symbolic value is huge. A loss there would be a mortal blow to his candidacy.


PPP just tweeted that Santorum is ahead on their first night of polling.

PPP has been the most accurate pollster this year.

Here is their tweet

https://twitter.com/#%21/ppppolls/status/168143372454866944



Santorum topping Romney on the first night of our Michigan poll. This may be the biggest surge yet



Edited to add

If Ron Paul wins Maine tomorrow then Romney's campaign will be in a full fledged panic



http://www.thedailybeast.com/cheats/2012/02/10/ron-paul-has-shot-in-maine.html


Ron Paul Could Win Maine

Maine has been caucusing all week (who knew, right?) the results of which will be announced Saturday night. The turnout for Maine's caucuses are typically very low, making the results unpredictable and giving Ron Paul a real chance at his first primary win this year. Paul has been campaigning ferociously in Vacationland this week and plans to stay until the results are called. Mitt Romney, on the other hand, will arrive in Portland on Friday night for his first campaign in the state this year—though he did win the Maine caucuses in 2008.





It would be one of the greatest campaign collapses of all time.

Couldn't happen to a more deserving guy.

Historic Intrade breakthrough investors now pick Obama 2:1 over Romney (updated)


edited to add new numbers

Obama at 59.3 and Romney at 27.5% the collapse continues.


https://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/?eventId=84326


At 9:49 Obama was at 59.0 and Romney was at 29.3 establishing a 2:1 ratio on investors of Obama over Romney.

Prchasing Obama at 59.0 you stand to only make 41 cents on an Obama victory while a Romney victory would net your 71 cents.

But what makes it such a staggering number is that it can be traded on a daily basis and with all of the variables you have to think that at some point Romney would likely to have at least a 1 in 3 chance to win and you could sell it at that time. I am 100% convinced that the President is going to have a strong victory but if I was investing in these markets I would have to think that Romney at 29.3 would have to go up at some time. Even if he only got up to 40% that would be a 33% return on your investment, and yet people continue to sell off Romney stock.

The only possible way to read this is that the political investment class is considering an easy path to nomination no longer possible and he either will not be the nominee or mortally damaged as a candidate if he does get it.





Played you like a fiddle



Things were going so well for ole Mitt.

Got rid of Perry and Bachman.

Carpet bombed Gingrich in Florida.

And remarkably, just when Santorum had three states come up on a level field, magically, Santorum gets a nonsensical issue of

religious intolerance to letting people decide on their own if they want birth control.

Santorum gets a lift.

Santorum now tied with or ahead of Romney in three polls;

Galllup https://twitter.com/#%21/fivethirtyeight/status/167815058552922112

PPP https://twitter.com/#%21/ppppolls/status/167775351718686720

FOX http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2012/02/10/fox-news-poll-santorum-surges-nationally-after-three-state-sweep/
(which also shows Obama's positive's going up)

Now Romney is faced with a do or die performance in his home state of Michigan where a loss would most likely end any real chance for getting the nomination.



Now among those that don't get it is the Donald





“Rick Santorum was a sitting senator who, in re-election, lost by 19 points,” Trump said. “To my knowledge — the most in the history of this country for a sitting senator to lose by 19 points. It’s unheard of. Then he goes out and says, ‘Oh, okay, I just lost by the biggest margin in history, now I’m going to run for President.’ Tell me, how does that work? How does that work?”



Well Donald just like you were played like a fiddle at the National Press Club dinner, Mitt is now being played.

I wonder how long it will take Mitt Romney to figure out that he was just played like a fiddle. Just at the point where Mitt was going to have to face Santorum on a one on one even playing field the White House hands Santorum a momentary chew toy.

Now I know that some get irritated by the idea that this was great chess playing.

So I am not going to say it. Just amazing how lucky Barack Obama is.

By the way, how do you like that fiddle playing?



Another reason that Romney shouldn't be President

He doesn't seem to know how to hire key executive staff needed for a campaign.

The puzzling thing about Romney's continued lackluster stump appearences and oddities, like continuing to sing 'America the Beautiful' is that it seems as if he doesn't have a Rove or Plouffe type that can speak with authority to the candidate.

Now key advisers are leaking their advice which is surprising on two fronts, a) that they are leaking their internal discussions with the candidate (something that has never happened on team Obama) and b) it is such poor advice.

The advice? He should "create 'small pictures' -- vivid imagery"

And there's more




http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/mitt-romneys-presidential-campaign-stuck-in-lukewarm/2012/02/09/gIQAhEMh2Q_story.html

One prominent adviser told the candidate to sharpen his use of conservative code words and create “small pictures” — vivid imagery, in other words — to connect with voters. Another flew to Boston to say that Romney’s message is too businesslike and broad to capture the passion of angry Republican voters. Still others have gone on television and written opinion columns to hammer home what is becoming a common theme this year: that Romney has not been able to ignite a cause when the GOP is primed to become part of one.



which has led to this observation



http://firstread.msnbc.msn.com/_news/2012/02/10/10372155-first-thoughts-what-a-difference-four-years-can-make

So we’ve gone from advisers taking credit (in the New York Times) for his turnaround in Florida, to now criticizing him (in the Washington Post) after his defeats on Tuesday. Folks, that isn’t characteristic of a winning presidential campaign…\\




The great 'inevitable nominee' candidate is now watching the wheels come off the wagon.

Incredibly if Romney does poorly in his birth state of Michigan (where the Republican Governor has not endorsed him and been dismissive of Romney) then that could spell the end of Romney being considered the 'front runner' and would just become the 'guy with the most money' running the year when having all that money isn't seen as such a good thing.

Remarkably Santorum seems to have been handed a gift by the White House. A ginned up controversy on Birth Control.

Now if that were to be the tipping point in derailing the Romney nomination and Santorum would become the candidate then an awful lot of commentators would remark how 'lucky' Barack Obama is because he is going to run against a guy who has one of the weirdest records in orator, stating that as a President he would campaign against birth control.

Right, lucky again. Just plain lucky. Funny how often he gets lucky.

No Jon Voight, Romney's family hasn't

Last night flipped through and caught the idiot Jon Voight struggling to try and bring the birther issue up on CNN. Watch the video and you can see him struggling to try and shout that Obama was born in Africa.

Instead he decides to go on about how Romney's family is the "true American" family that "has always followed the true American way . ."

No Jon that is not true.

Romney's family goes back to the extreme polygamy wing of the Mormon Church. Not all Mormons embraced polygamy willingly and some were shamed or coerced to do so. Many were happy to stop polygamy when the church started to discourage it and then banned it altogether

Some radical polygamists broke with the Church and went to Nevada, Arizona and Mexico to defy US laws against polygamy. Romney's great grand parents were part of that extreme radical movement



http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/George_W._Romney#Early_life_and_background

(George) Romney's grandparents were polygamous Mormons who fled the United States with their children due to the federal government's opposition to polygamy. His maternal grandfather was Helaman Pratt (1846–1909), who presided over the Mormon mission in Mexico City before moving to the Mexican state of Chihuahua and who was the son of original Mormon apostle Parley P. Pratt (1807–1857). In the 1920s, Romney's uncle Rey L. Pratt (1878–1931) played a major role in the preservation and expansion of the Mormon presence in Mexico and in its introduction to South America.
Romney's parents, Gaskell Romney (1871–1955) and Anna Amelia Pratt (1876–1926), were American citizens and natives of Utah. They married in 1895 in Mexico and lived in Colonia Dublán in Galeana in the state of Chihuahua (one of the Mormon colonies in Mexico) where George was born on July 8, 1907.



Here is Voight's transcript and the video with Piers Morgan whose on such a threadbare budget doesn't have the staff to fact check what his interlocutors are feeding him, leaving us with the question "Does CNN have Talent?".





http://piersmorgan.blogs.cnn.com/2012/02/08/jon-voight-on-mitt-romney-he-is-a-true-american/?hpt=pm_mid

As the race for the GOP nomination grows more competitive with each caucus, on Wednesday Piers Morgan invited actor Jon Voight to share his political views. In his first interview since publicly endorsing Mitt Romney, the Academy Award winner explained why he backs the Republican front-runner:

"He's a fellow who shoots from the hip. He's a very charitable fellow as you probably know. And he's warm, honest. He's got great virtues."

According to Voight, Romney's values can be traced back through generations: "He is a true American. He loves America. And his entire family has always followed the true American way of hard work and success."


As the sit-down continued, Morgan asked the Hollywood legend why Romney hasn't been all that accessible of late: "Can you put a good word in, because he won't come on again," said Morgan. "And I'm not sure why."

Voight promised to do his best: "I don't know. I'll talk to him about you."




It is stunning how ignorant Jon Voight is. He clearly is a racist who has lost his ability to think rationally.

I don't think that all of Romney's ancestors sins should be laid at the feet of Mitt Romeny, but if you start to remythologize that dispicable history into being the "true American way" then don't be surprised when the grenade blows up in front of you.

Leaving the US in order to avoid complying with the law of the US is not the "true American way"..

Putz

Boehner, your so close you can do it. Go for single digit approval rating

The worst Speaker of the House in US history has a chance to drive the positive view people have of Congress
to a low that really was beyond imagination, single digits.

John you can do it.



http://www.gallup.com/poll/152528/Congress-Job-Approval-New-Low.aspx?



Update 2/6 Intrade: President has gone from a 16.3 point to 18.4 to 22 point lead over Romney

http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/?eventId=84326

Now

2/6/2012 Intrade Obama 58 Romney 36

Was

2/4/2012 Intrade Obama 57 Romney 38.6 Completely batshit crazy 4.4

Previous

1/29/2012 Intrade Obama 54.9 Romney 38.6 Completely batshit crazy 6.5

The President has moved from a 16.3 point spread to 18.4

Intrade Update PBO 9/24 71; 9/25 73; 9/26 75; 9/27 77; 9/28 78

9/24 Now its 71 If you need a smile look at the curve.


Intrade continues to go to in favor of the President by big margins.


9/11 President 60 Romney 40



http://www.intrade.com/v4/home/



Keeps going up

Now Obama 60.2 Romney 32.6


In one week the President's spread has gone up 6 points.

Also whereever there has been a Republican primary the President's chances for winning the state has improved significantly.

Romney can say good bye to his 'home state' Hew Hampshire;

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/02/02/fav-obama_n_725997.html

http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/?eventId=84326

Now

2/6/2012 Intrade Obama 58 Romney 36

Was

2/4/2012 Intrade Obama 57 Romney 38.6 Completely batshit crazy 4.4

Previous

1/29/2012 Intrade Obama 54.9 Romney 38.6 Completely batshit crazy 6.5

The President has moved from a 16.3 point spread to 18.4
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