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applegrove

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Member since: Mon Feb 7, 2005, 02:14 AM
Number of posts: 73,808

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That's not good. Remember the 'shy elephants' who did not say they

voted for Bush in 2004 exit polls? Making Kerry look like he was winning in a landslide by 2PM. Keeping lazy democrats home after work. So Bush won?

Trump wasn't the first Republican to pull down the structure

of democracy. The GOP went after the notion that "politics stops when it comes to foreign policy" when Obama became President. They extended the election season to the whole time during George W. Bush's Presidency. They erased that 'government is here to help' under Ronald Reagan. And now they destroy how the Supreme Court works or threaten to. Don't let them fool us into blaming Trump for democracy's sudden precariousness when Trump loses. The GOP has been pulling down the norms of democracy for 30 years.

The Alt Right has joined Putin and his army of Russian trolls.

Trump is following Bannon. The alt right bullied Comey on all sides. Trump has been pulling down the shared human fictions that make a democracy run smoothly and the norms of civilization. And many people are falling into line including the Republican establishment. And undoing their norms of behaviour. And not following their human big picture: be that religion or humanism or maturity or science or the constitution or nature, interconnectedness in some way. But instead the siren call of strongman like Putin/Trump, who replace the human big picture with worship of belonging to a strongman. And with that a suddenly sharper and narrow view of the world and their place in it. Running an election but realky walking in lockstep. Trump but really Bannon. Strength but really destruction. Freedom, but really the slavery living in brutal times long past again.

The alt right has joined Putin and his army of Russian trolls. Trump is following

Bannon. They bullied Comey on all sides. Trump has been pulling down the shared human fictions that make a democracy run smoothly. And many people are falling into line including the Republican establishment. And undoing their norms of behaviour. And not following their human big picture: be that religion or humanism or maturity or science and nature, interconnectedness in some way. But instead the siren call of strongman like Putin who replace the human big picture with worship of belonging to a strongman. Trump but really Bannon. Strength but really destruction. Freedom, but really the slavery living in brutal times long past again.

Yesterday he was saying the system works. He started backtracking

on his 'rigged' meme from the weeks before. Now he is back at it full on conspiracy theory. Obviously his camp feel saying it is rigged will get the base out to vote.

I do not hear it on the news. Her anti-neoliberalism is not making it

to the news much. But Trumps anti-neoliberalism is. And he is a neoliberal. But he is acting like an anti-one in his vague statements. And he is running on that.

Hillary needs to amp it up against neoliberalism and austerity,

tax cuts, etc. And she needs to say it in a simple way. That trickle down has not worked for the last 30 years for the average worker. That trickle down is Trumps policy.

Here is Trump on the expression Drain the Swamp and how effective it is:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/video/politics/trump-explains-why-he-didnt-like-the-expression-drain-the-swamp-but-now-does/2016/10/26/4a2f257a-9be0-11e6-b552-b1f85e484086_video.html



Here is a link:


TRICKLE-DOWN ECONOMICS: FOUR REASONS WHY IT JUST DOESN'T WORK

By Mehrun Etebari at Fair Economy

http://www.faireconomy.org/trickle_down_economics_four_reasons

SNIP...........


2. Cutting the top tax rate does not lead to income growth.
tax_inc_2.gif



Again, we see inconclusive evidence for the power of tax cuts. We do see small peaks in median income growth, a good measure of how the average American household is doing, after top-bracket tax cuts in the mid-1960s and early 1980s, but we also actually see income decreases after the tax cuts of the late 1980s, and strong growth after the tax increase of 1993. It is true that in the year with the worst median income decrease (3.3% in 1974), the top tax rate was 70%. However, it was also 70% in the year with the highest median income growth (4.7% in 1972)! Once again, the lack of connection between the two measures is backed up by a correlation coefficient near zero: 0.06, to be exact. And yes, yet again, the coefficient is positive, indicating that income has gone up slightly (though negligibly) more in years with higher taxes. Two strikes. How about hourly wages?

3. Cutting the top tax rate does not lead to wage growth.
tax_wage_3.gif


Not surprisingly, we have mixed results yet again! Growth in average hourly wages did increase during the 1980s following the first Reagan tax cuts, albeit two years after the cuts took effect. But, just like GDP growth and median income growth, hourly wages decreased following the late 1980s tax cuts, and spiked upwards after the 1993 tax increase.

Furthermore, wages grew at a level of at least 1%, and usually much more, all throughout the period when the top income tax rate was 91%. In fact, it isn't until 1972 that we see a wage growth rate of less than 1%. However, if we look at the 19 years of the study period when the top tax rate was 50% or less, we see that 8 of the years saw an increase in wages of less than 1%. Thus, it seems that hourly wages grew more when taxes were higher - indeed, the correlation coefficient is 0.34, indicating a mild positive relationship between higher taxes for the rich and higher hourly wages. This finding flies in the face of the conservative theory. As if that's not enough, now let's see about what President Bush claimed would be the biggest result of tax cuts - job creation.

4. Cutting the top tax rate does not lead to job creation.
tax_emp_4.gif


Here, we see the change in the unemployment rate laid against the top tax rate from 1954 to 2002. Thus, negative values signify a decrease in unemployment -- in essence, job creation. Once again, while the top tax rate trends downward over the period, the annual change in unemployment doesn't seem to trend at all! Although the largest increase (2.9%) did occur in 1975, when the top marginal tax rate was 70%, three of the four largest decreases in unemployment occurred in years when the top rate was 91%. The mixed results do not bode well for those who see tax cuts for the richest as a sparkplug to incite job growth. The correlation coefficient between the variables here is 0.11 -- meaning that there have been slightly more jobs created in years with lower top tax rates, but this pattern is negligible -- nowhere near strong enough to signify a relationship.


.............SNIP

Republican claims they will start investigating Clinton right after the election

are to suppress the hopes of Democrats and make them apathetic. So too the claims that no supreme Court nominee will be accepted. People are beginning to get ziggy with Hillary as Trump has reveal himself to be just a bore who only plays one tune. People are remembering how likeable she was before the MSM made this a horse race by giving Trump so much free airtime. So the GOP is pulling out all the stops to keep people from imagining a great President Clinton implementing a progressive and great agenda focused on growing the middle class, to lower turnout and down-ballot voting for Democrats. They want to deny any visual of what a Hillary 'ship of state' will look like: powerful, steady and backed by engineers and other expertise as it plows forward. Instead they are painting a picture of one rubber dingy with one oar going around in circles.

All the people on Trump's team are space cowboys: people who are or are foreseeably

soon 'put out to pasture'.

How is Trump going to discern geopolitical risk better than the

generals when he could not discern, something as simple as, that Obama was born in the USA? He either has to say he was lying for all those years or explain it was really, really hard to read that birth certificate.
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