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Hissyspit

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Member since: Fri Nov 12, 2004, 08:39 AM
Number of posts: 45,757

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Young Voters Flee Donald Trump in What May Be Historic Trouncing, Poll Shows ("Unprecedented")

http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/politics/elections/2016/08/14/donald-trump-historic-trouncing-among-younger-voters-hillary-clinton-president-poll/88666746/

Young voters flee Donald Trump in what may be historic trouncing, poll shows

Susan Page and Fernanda Crescente | USA TODAY
20 hours ago

WASHINGTON — Democratic presidential nominee Hillary Clinton is consolidating the support of the Millennials who fueled Bernie Sanders' challenge during the primaries, a new USA TODAY/Rock the Vote Poll finds, as Republican Donald Trump heads toward the worst showing among younger voters in modern American history.

The survey shows Clinton trouncing Trump 56%-20% among those under 35, though she has failed so far to generate the levels of enthusiasm Sanders did — and the high turn-out that can signal — among Millennials.

- snip -

The findings have implications for politics long past the November election. If the trend continues, the Democratic Party will have scored double-digit victories among younger voters in three consecutive elections, the first time that has happened since such data became readily available in 1952. That could shape the political affiliations of the largest generation in American history for years to follow.

In the new survey, half of those under 35 say they identify with or lean toward the Democrats; just 20% identify with or lean toward the Republicans. Seventeen percent are independents, and another 12% either identify with another party or don't know.

Trump's weakness among younger voters is unprecedented, lower even than the 32% of the vote that the Gallup Organization calculates Richard Nixon received among 18-to-29-year-old voters in 1972, an era of youthful protests against the Vietnam War.

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Weather Channel: Watson, LA Got More Rain in 3 Days Than Los Angeles Has Seen...

In 3 Years.

"The Apricot Hellbeast"

Saw that term used for you-know-whom in this Facebook thread:

https://www.facebook.com/theguardian/posts/10154422301911323

BREAKING: Katie Ledecky 1st woman since 1968 to sweep 200, 400 and 800 in a single Olympics

Source: Associated Press

@AP: BREAKING: Katie Ledecky sets world record in 800m freestyle, becomes 1st woman since 1968 to sweep 200, 400 and 800 in a single Olympics.

Katie Ledecky sets world record in 800m freestyle, becomes 1st woman since 1968 to sweep 200, 400 and 800 in a single Olympics

By Associated Press SportsAugust 12 at 9:33 PM

RIO DE JANEIRO — Katie Ledecky sets world record in 800m freestyle, becomes 1st woman since 1968 to sweep 200, 400 and 800 in a single Olympics.

Copyright 2016 The Associated Press. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributed.

Read more: https://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/katie-ledecky-sets-world-record-in-800m-freestyle-becomes-1st-woman-since-1968-to-sweep-200-400-and-800-in-a-single-olympics/2016/08/12/f5a6d252-60f5-11e6-84c1-6d27287896b5_story.html

Mike Luckovich TOON: Making America Great Again

Keith Olbermann: Each time he awakens from his asshattery hangover Donald Trump repeatedly...

@KeithOlbermann: Reminder: each time he awakens from his Asshattery Hangover @RealDonaldTrump repeatedly types and deletes this tweet


Patti Davis - 'To Donald Trump: I am the daughter of a man who was shot by someone who...'

To Donald Trump: I am the daughter of a man who was shot by someone who got his inspiration from a movie, someone who believed if he killed the President the actress from that movie would notice him. Your glib and horrifying comment about "Second Amendment people" was heard around the world. It was heard by sane and decent people who shudder at your fondness for verbal violence. It was heard by your supporters, many of whom gleefully and angrily yell, "Lock her up!" at your rallies. It was heard by the person sitting alone in a room, locked in his own dark fantasies, who sees unbridled violence as a way to make his mark in the world, and is just looking for ideas. Yes, Mr. Trump, words matter. But then you know that, which makes this all even more horrifying.

From Facebook


Bernice King: 'As the daughter of a leader who was assassinated...'

@berniceking

As the daughter of a leader who was assassinated, I find #Trump's comments distasteful, disturbing, dangerous. His words don't #LiveUp. #MLK

Nate Silver Election Update: Polls Show Pennsylvania Back In Clinton’s Firewall

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-polls-show-pennsylvania-back-in-clintons-firewall/

Election Update: Polls Show Pennsylvania Back In Clinton’s Firewall

By Nate Silver

Filed under 2016 Election
At FiveThirtyEight, we generally prefer state polls to national polls. So far, though, we haven’t had much of them to work with. If you’re getting dozens of national polls every week, but just a smattering of state-level surveys — and that’s what we’ve been getting — you’re better off inferring what’s going on in the states from the trend in national polls, rather than the other way around.

For example, Hillary Clinton has gone from having roughly a 3 or 4-percentage-point lead over Donald Trump in national polls in early July to more like an 8-point lead now. Therefore, we’d expect her to gain perhaps 4 or 5 points in polls of Pennsylvania, Florida, Ohio and other swing states if polls were taken in those states now, compared to the previous versions of those polls conducted a month ago.

On Tuesday, we finally got a bunch of state polls to test the theory — three polls each from Quinnipiac University and Marist College. And, in fact, the new data mostly confirms our hypothesis, although with some caveats. Clinton gained an average of 4 percentage points across the six surveys. The clearest trend toward Clinton is in Pennsylvania, which is now part of her path of least resistance to 270 electoral votes. Here are the new surveys:

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Josh Marshall: Clinton Polling Lead "No Longer a Bounce"

http://talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/no-longer-a-bounce

No Longer a Bounce
Josh MarshallAUGUST 8, 2016

The conventional wisdom is that you don't really know the impact of the conventions until everything settles out a week or two after the second convention. We're coming up on that threshold. And as you can see from the trend chart going back to July 1st, this is no longer just a bounce.



At the risk of stating the obvious, a bounce is something that goes up and then comes down, at least part of the way back down. But Clinton's trend line continues to rise.

Here's the key thing to keep in mind.

Historically, once the tumult of the conventions has settled, the polls tend to be fairly stable. There's sometimes a closing toward the end. Gore caught up with Bush at the end of the 2000 race. But again, people seem to make basic decisions during the conventions and they're usually hard to dislodge. That seems especially the case when the margin is substantial.

We're coming up on that period for Trump.

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