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steve2470

Profile Information

Name: Steve
Gender: Male
Hometown: Florida
Home country: US
Current location: US
Member since: Sat Oct 16, 2004, 01:04 PM
Number of posts: 23,628

Journal Archives

We the Sheeple (New Zealand humor)

Atlantic: TS Cristobal; Pacific: Tropical Storm Karina and Hurricane Marie

Atlantic:

Tropical Storm Cristobal



Last Updated 8/24/2014, 2:00:00 PM (Eastern Daylight Time)
Location 24.2N 72.9W Movement N at 7 mph
Wind 45 MPH Pressure: 1001 MB

Steve Gregory sees no threat to the mainland US from TS Cristobal.

ELSEWHERE in the Tropical Atlantic - a fairly strong disturbance off the West African coast is westbound - but is unlikely to develop for at least the next 5 or more days as the system is embedded within the dry and warm Saharan Air Layer (SAL).



Pacific:

Tropical Storm Karina



Last Updated 8/24/2014, 11:00:00 AM (Eastern Daylight Time)
Location 18.0N 131.4W Movement ENE at 8 mph
Wind 65 MPH Pressure: 993 MB


Hurricane Marie




Last Updated 8/24/2014, 11:00:00 AM (Eastern Daylight Time)
Location 16.0N 111.4W Movement WNW at 15 mph
Wind 150 MPH Pressure: 929 MB


I had a lovely birthday yesterday with my son ! We went out for a nice dinner, and then saw Sin City: A Dame to Kill For. The movie is pretty violent, so definitely not for all.

Invest 96L continues moving WNW



Last Updated 8/23/2014, 8:00:00 AM (Eastern Daylight Time)
Location 20.1 70.9W Movement WNW at 10 mph
Wind 40 MPH

Steve Gregory for Dr. Masters:

The intensity forecasts are equally difficult, although they have continued to be quite consistent with each other and between succeeding model runs. The odds are relatively high (70%-80%) the system will become a tropical storm either late today or on Sunday, with a fairly slow rate of intensification to near CAT 1 intensity on Monday or Tuesday. This continues to be a reasonably good forecast scenario all things considered, and a CAT 1 intensity threat for the east coast of Florida northward to the Carolinas is quite real – albeit a still very uncertain one.


Ignoring the Pacific for today, since it's my birthday !

No worries, nothing dangerous to land in the Pacific ! Have a great day, all WW subscribers !

Steve



Try Not To Laugh At These 20 Wildly Inappropriate Children's Spelling Errors

http://aplus.com/a/20-children-spelling-errors

Grumpy Cat in Vancouver to film Christmas movie

http://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/grumpy-cat-in-vancouver-to-film-christmas-movie-1.2742366

One of the internet's biggest stars is in Vancouver this week filming her first movie for the Lifetime channel — and she doesn't look very pleased about it!

Grumpy Cat, the pussy with the grumpy disposition and signature frown is on the set of Grumpy Cat's Worst Christmas Ever.

The feline superstar, whose real name is Tardar Sauce, was born with dwarfism, an underbite and dark patches under her eyes, all of which give her a trademark surly look.

That look has garnered her over 200,000 followers on Twitter and millions of 'Likes' on Facebook.

Atlantic: Invest 96L; Pacific: Tropical Storm Karina, Tropical Storm Lowell and TS Marie

Atlantic:

Invest 96L



Last Updated 8/22/2014, 2:00:00 PM (Eastern Daylight Time)
Location 19.4 67.7W Movement WNW at 30 mph
Wind 40 MPH

Dr. Jeff Masters' take on Invest 96L


Pacific:


Tropical Storm Karina



Last Updated 8/22/2014, 11:00:00 AM (Eastern Daylight Time)
Location 15.0N 135.6W Movement NE at 3 mph
Wind 70 MPH Pressure: 994 MB


Tropical Storm Lowell



Last Updated 8/22/2014, 11:00:00 AM (Eastern Daylight Time)
Location 22.1N 124.1W Movement NW at 10 mph
Wind 60 MPH Pressure: 993 MB



Tropical Storm Marie



Last Updated 8/22/2014, 11:00:00 AM (Eastern Daylight Time)
Location 13.1N 102.5W Movement WNW at 17 mph
Wind 50 MPH Pressure: 1002 MB

Flathead Lake, Montana is one of the cleanest in the populated world for its size and type




https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flathead_Lake

Flathead Lake (Salish: člq̓etkʷ ) is the largest natural freshwater lake west of the Mississippi River in the contiguous United States, taking Red Lake (Minnesota) and Lake of the Woods to be north of the Mississippi River, rather than west of the river. With a surface area of between 191.5 sq mi (496 km2) and 197 sq mi (510 km2), Flathead Lake is slightly larger than Lake Tahoe. The lake is a remnant of the ancient, massive glacial dammed lake, Lake Missoula of the era of the last interglacial. Flathead Lake is 27.3 mi (43.9 km) long and up to 15.5 mi (24.9 km) wide. Flathead lake has a maximum depth of 370.7 ft (113.0 m), and an average of 164.7 ft (50.2 m). This makes Flathead lake deeper than the average depths of the Yellow Sea or the Persian Gulf. Polson Bay, at the lake's outlet was raised 10 ft (3.0 m) by Kerr Dam. It is one of the cleanest in the populated world for its size and type.



pic from this twitter post: https://twitter.com/BetterUpdates/status/502623645454577664

Farmer's Almanac Predicts 'Super-Cold' Winter, More Snow In Eastern U.S.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/08/21/farmers-almanac-cold-winter_n_5695761.html

CONCORD, N.H. (AP) — The Old Farmer's Almanac, the familiar, 223-year-old chronicler of climate, folksy advice and fun facts, is predicting a colder winter and warmer summer for much of the nation.

Published Wednesday, the New Hampshire-based almanac predicts a "super-cold" winter in the eastern two-thirds of the country. The west will remain a little bit warmer than normal.

"Colder is just almost too familiar a term," Editor Janice Stillman said. "Think of it as a refriger-nation."

More bad news for those who can't stand snow: Most of the Northeast is expected to get more snowfall than normal, though it will be below normal in New England.

more at link

Stay tuned to WW for the latest weather news

After Climate Meeting, Scientists Still Aren’t Sure That Florida’s Governor Is ‘Climate Literate’

http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2014/08/21/3474248/rick-scott-meets-with-climate-scientists/



Five climate scientists gave Florida Gov. Rick Scott the rundown on climate change and how its affecting Florida and the rest of the globe on Tuesday.

But so far, it’s not certain how much Gov. Scott took out of the meeting. The governor, who’s running for re-election this year, didn’t ask any questions about the scientists’ presentations during the 30-minute meeting, and the scientists say he took up the first 10 or so minutes of the meeting making small talk — asking them what they taught at their respective universities and where they were from.

“We didn’t have that kind of discussion where there’s this important give and take that’s associated with actually, from my experience, absorbing the information,” Ben Kirtman professor of atmospheric science at the University of Miami, told ThinkProgress. “I don’t honestly believe the governor is climate literate, and I don’t think he is particularly interested in becoming climate literate.”

David Hastings, professor of marine science and chemistry at Eckerd College, told ThinkProgress that he thought the governor’s decision to take up “almost half” the meeting with small talk showed that he wasn’t truly interested in the meeting.

more at link above

VOTE GOVERNOR VOLDEMORT OUT OF OFFICE IN NOVEMBER ! He wasn't interested in the facts.

Atlantic: Invest 96L; Pacific: Tropical Storm Karina, Hurricane Lowell, and Invest 92E

Atlantic:

Invest 96L




Last Updated 8/21/2014, 2:00:00 PM (Eastern Daylight Time)
Location 16.4 57.7W Movement NW at 20 mph
Wind 40 MPH


Dr. Jeff Masters' discussion of Invest 96L:

Forecast for 96L

Despite 96L's disorganized appearance on satellite imagery, the Thursday afternoon flight of the Hurricane Hunters is underway, but the earliest I would expect 96L to become a tropical depression would be Friday morning. The 0Z Thursday runs of our three most reliable models for predicting tropical cyclone genesis, the UKMET, GFS, and European models, had one model, the UKMET, predicting potential development into a tropical depression by Saturday. The storm will pass through the Lesser Antilles Islands Thursday and Friday, bringing heavy rain showers and strong winds, which will also affect the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, and Dominican Republic Friday through Saturday. A Flash Flood Watch is in effect from late Thursday night through Saturday morning for the Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, Culebra, and Vieques. Rainfall amounts of 4 - 6" with locally higher amounts are expected.

The circulation center of 96L has jumped considerably to the northwest over the past day, resulting in northward shifts in the expected track of the system from all of the major models. On Saturday, 96L may pass near or over the islands of Puerto Rico and Hispaniola, whose rugged terrain would likely disrupt the storm. By Sunday, 96L is expected to be near the Southeast Bahamas and Turks and Caicos Islands, and both the GFS and UKMET models predict that 96L will be able to develop into a tropical depression by Sunday or Monday. The 8 am EDT Thursday run of the SHIPS model predicted that wind shear would stay in the moderate range, 10 - 20 knots, though Sunday, then rise on Monday. With dry air expected to be in the region, wind shear would likely be able to drive the dry air into the circulation of 96L, keeping any development slow. A trough of low pressure is expected to be over the U.S. East Coast early next week, and the GFS and European models predict that this trough will be strong enough to turn 96L north and then northeast, keeping the storm away from the Southeast U.S. coast. However, long-range model forecasts of disturbances that haven't formed into a tropical depression yet are unreliable, and we should not be confident that 96L will miss the Mainland U.S. yet. In their 8 am EDT Thursday Tropical Weather Outlook, NHC gave the disturbance 2-day and 5-day development odds of 50% and 70%, respectively.



Pacific:


Tropical Storm Karina



Last Updated 8/21/2014, 11:00:00 AM (Eastern Daylight Time)
Location 15.0N 136.9W Movement S at 2 mph
Wind 60 MPH Pressure: 999 MB



Hurricane Lowell




Last Updated 8/21/2014, 11:00:00 AM (Eastern Daylight Time)
Location 20.0N 122.1W Movement NW at 3 mph
Wind 75 MPH Pressure: 982 MB




Invest 92E




Last Updated 8/21/2014, 2:00:00 PM (Eastern Daylight Time)
Location 10.9 97.3W Movement WNW at 15 mph
Wind 30 MPH
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