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Member since: Fri Sep 17, 2004, 03:59 PM
Number of posts: 46,274

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Intelligent Design?

wisdom from the tubes...

Nate Silver's Statistical Analysis - Sends IRS Critiques To "The Fainting Couch"

In the table below, I’ve estimated the number of taxpayers in each income group who were audited in 2012, as derived from statistics in the I.R.S.’s 2012 Data Book. It is also possible to estimate how many Mitt Romney and Barack Obama voters would have been audited last year. The calculation assumes that an individual’s chance of being audited was related to their income, but not to their political views.

I estimate the number of voters in each income bracket from the 2012 Current Population Survey. I then estimate the share of the vote in each income bracket that went to Mr. Romney and Mr. Obama based on last year’s national exit poll. (Note that the income brackets used in the exit poll and the Current Population Survey do not exactly match the income brackets listed in the I.R.S.’s audit data, so I use the closest available approximations.)

This results in an estimate that about 380,000 of Mr. Romney’s voters were audited last year, as were about 480,000 of Mr. Obama’s voters.

It’s almost like the IRS audits low-income Americans far more than the wealthy because there are far more low-income Americans to audit, and they are much more likely to receive a refund from the government, and that these low-income Americans are primarily Obama voters. It’s also almost like Peggy Noonan found a couple people who had been audited and concluded, without any evidence whatsoever, that they had been deliberately targeted because of their political views, and that she then dismissed every other possible explanation for the audits.

And then Nate Silver came along and said “Wow, this woman is insane, TO THE NATE CAVE” and then squished her. Then he probably had a tasty beverage.

It tasted like victory and Noonan tears.


Poor GOP: CNN Confirms Gallup's Poll: The Obama Bounce Continues

SUN MAY 19, 2013 AT 06:31 AM PDT
CNN Confirms Gallup's Poll: The Obama Bounce Continues
by joelgp

Well, CNN confirms the bounce Gallup found in yesterday's tracking. Check out this breaking poll from CNN:

1. 53% of Americans say they approve of the job the president is doing, with 45% saying they disapprove. The president's approval rating was at 51% in CNN's last poll, which was conducted in early April.

2. 70% say at the targeting by the Internal Revenue Service of tea party and other conservative groups that were applying for tax exempt status was unacceptable.

3. But 60/35 say that O’s statements about the IRS scandal are completely or mostly true

4. 55% say that IRS acted on its own, with 37% saying that White House ordered the IRS to target tea party and other conservative groups.

5. 53% say they are dissatisfied with Benghazi response but is virtually unchanged from November.

6. Only 44% say statements made by the Obama administration soon after the attack were an attempt to intentionally mislead the public..

7. More Republicans than Democrats or Independents say these three issues are very important to the nation

8. 56% say they have a great deal or some confidence in the system of government.


The one real reason behind the Benghazi obsession


2016 sure came fast: "Hillary Seen At Mosque"

Repukes Fixing Their Talking Points...

From Chris Hayes at MSNBC-Obama to deliver speech on drones, Gitmo

From Chris Hayes at MSNBC:

All right, this week, a scoop, a new bit of information that caught my eye in Newsweek by reporter Daniel Cladman that suggest the White House is about to do something it has resisted for years. The President is now about to deliver a speech, probably three weeks, on drones, Guantanamo , the national agenda and legal foundation for the continued global war on terror. He writes, "In coming days, Obama plans to lay out a legal framework for the administration's evolving strategies on targeting, detention and prosecution. The delicate process of putting together such a major Presidential statement has apparently taken months and involved arduous wrangling. There is also increased domestic pressure on the President to close Guantanamo, where it has now been 100 days since 102 prisoners held there launched a hunger strike. Today, protesters demanding closure of Guantanamo submitted a petition to the White House, a former military prosecutor at Guantanamo and the person who started an on-line petition on-line.


Reporter To Rumsfeld:"I sorta can’t believe these words are coming out of your mouth 10 years later"

FRI MAY 17, 2013 AT 01:27 PM PDT
Kai Ryssdal asks Rumsfeld some of the questions we've all wanted to ask
by Kalil

Kai Ryssdal, mild-mannered reporter for NPR APM's Marketplace, sat down with Donald Rumsfeld to discuss his new book, "Rumsfeld's Rules", a guide for 'effective leadership' (required reading for anyone who wants to know the fastest way to lead downhill). As soon as Rumsfeld walked through the door, Mr. Ryssdal tore his shirt off, revealing the yellow and red 'S' emblazoned on his muscular chest.


Some good excerpts:

Ryssdal: It’s easier, you say, to get into something than it is to get out of it. And I, I can’t help but wonder where we would be in this country today if you guys had been thinking of that ten years ago.

Rumsfeld: I thought of that when I was President Reagan’s Middle East envoy and we had 241 Marines killed at Beirut (in 1983), at the airport. And I concluded then that the United States has to be careful about putting ground forces in because we’re such a big target. And I also over the years came to the conclusion over the years that the United States really wasn’t organized, trained and equipped to do nation-building. So if you think of Afghanistan…

Ryssdal: Yeah, wait, hang on a minute. I sorta can’t believe these words are coming out of your mouth, ten years later. So this was on your mind as Iraq was burbling up?

Rumsfeld: Absolutely.

Ryssdal: And yet here we are.

Ryssdal: I do wonder whether you read Robert McNamara's memoirs when they came out. Obviously, the secretary of defense during Vietnam.

Rumsfeld: Yah, I have not. I served in congress during that period.

Ryssdal: Hmm, alright, well, here's why I asked. You know, that was, that book was widely seen as an apology for his role in Vietnam, and I looked in this book, uh, pretty hard, for any rule that you might have had about apologizing, and I couldn't find one.

Rumsfeld: ...And? What's your question?

Ryssdal: Did you ever think about apologizing?

Rumsfeld: Well, my goodness, as Napoleon said, "I've been mistaken so many times, I don't even blush for it anymore."

MORE & audio:

List Of Bush Scandals:

How quickly the GOP forgets:
HERE: (cuz it is TOO much for me to cut & paste this one)

Yeah, but Benghazi is worse than all those
together times forty quadrillion bazillion.

no, nothing wrong with talk radio....move along...

forget Obama, they lost that battle & don't care anymore -
they are shooting for Hillary -


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