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Member since: Fri Sep 17, 2004, 03:59 PM
Number of posts: 50,902

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Fewer people are responding to polls this year-compared to 2012 & more expect greater polling error

found this:

It seems like SCOTUS just moon-walked Same Sex Marriage into law.

“Many say fewer people are responding to polls this year, compared to 2012, and more expect greater polling error — that is, the difference between what the latest pre-election polls show and actual vote margins — in the upcoming election, than expect less error."


Marriage equality today, marriage equality tomorrow, marriage equality forever

Same sex marriage is about to be legal in the state of Utah. Utah! Ponder that for a minute. If you were going to pick one of the very last states that would legalize same sex marriage, it would have been this conservative state.

The fact that the Supreme Court, without saying a peep, is letting court-ordered same sex marriages go forward in Utah is a huge deal. Now you may think that this could well be reversed once there is a circuit split, perhaps in a case from the 5th or 6th Circuit. But remember, there will now be all of these children from legal same sex marriages performed until the Supreme Court could decide to take a case from another circuit. The idea that Justice Kennedy would let that happen, knowing there could well be a reversal down the line seems unlikely.

Instead, the conservatives on the Court probably see same sex marriage as inevitable, and will wait for a circuit split to make their last stand.



KRUGMAN: "Nature of the budget debate means Republican leaders need to believe in the ways of magic"

Voodoo Economics, the Next Generation
Paul Krugman


........voodoo economics has dominated the conservative movement for so long that it has become an inward-looking cult, whose members know what they know and are impervious to contrary evidence. Fifteen years ago leading Republicans may have been aware that the Clinton boom posed a problem for their ideology. Today someone like Senator Rand Paul can say: “When is the last time in our country we created millions of jobs? It was under Ronald Reagan.” Clinton who?

Second, the nature of the budget debate means that Republican leaders need to believe in the ways of magic. For years people like Mr. Ryan have posed as champions of fiscal discipline even while advocating huge tax cuts for wealthy individuals and corporations. They have also called for savage cuts in aid to the poor, but these have never been big enough to offset the revenue loss. So how can they make things add up?

Well, for years they have relied on magic asterisks — claims that they will make up for lost revenue by closing loopholes and slashing spending, details to follow. But this dodge has been losing effectiveness as the years go by and the specifics keep not coming. Inevitably, then, they’re feeling the pull of that old black magic — and if they take the Senate, they’ll be able to infuse voodoo into supposedly neutral analysis.

Would they actually do it? It would destroy the credibility of a very important institution, one that has served the country well. But have you seen any evidence that the modern conservative movement cares about such things?

the rest:

PBS Science Correspondent Slams FOX: "A level of ignorance we should not allow in our media”

PBS Science Correspondent Miles O’Brien Calls Out Fox News’s Irresponsible Coverage of Ebola
“A level of ignorance we should not allow in our media”

Science journalist (and former CNN correspondent) Miles O’Brien excoriated Fox’s hyperbolic media coverage of ebola on CNN’s Reliable Sources Sunday, calling it irresponsible given the increasingly technological nature of the world, and pleaded for large media outlets to develop more science-specific reporting units.

“I wish everybody could take a deep breath and take a break from trying to pull viewers in by scaring them,” O’Brien said. “It borders on irresponsibility…But there is a perception that by hyping up this threat you draw people’s attention. It’s a shame to even say that, and I get embarrassed for our brethren in journalism.”

More plus VIDEO:

Gov. Rick Snyder's Michigan Tax Plan: Businesses pay less, you pay more

Four years into Gov. Rick Snyder's first term in office, that's the net effect of the signature tax reforms he pushed through the Legislature in 2011.

Snyder's plans relied heavily on the premise that lower taxes for businesses would create a stellar turnaround, ending the depression that gripped the state when he took office. And many of his changes made good policy sense.

But a close analysis of tax incomes shows that the cost of funding state government has shifted to those who can least afford it, and the job growth that would have justified that shift hasn't materialized.

That's a hard sell for a governor seeking re-election in a competitive race with a challenger who vows to reverse some of Snyder's most significant changes.



Georgia U.S. Senate candidate David Perdue: Yeah, ‘I spent most of my career’ outsourcing

During a July 2005 deposition, a transcript of which was provided to POLITICO, Perdue spoke at length about his role in Pillowtex’s collapse, which led to the loss of more than 7,600 jobs. Perdue was asked about his “experience with outsourcing,” and his response was blunt.

“Yeah, I spent most of my career doing that,” Perdue said, according to the 186-page transcript of his sworn testimony.

The Georgia Republican then listed his career experience, much of which involved outsourcing:

“At Kurt Salmon Associates, some of my experience there was helping footwear companies develop the ability to import shoes from Asia, specifically Taiwan, Korea, China, Indonesia, Malaysia,” Perdue noted, referring to his 12 years working for that management consulting company that specialized in outsourcing manufacturing for apparel companies. Perdue eventually became a partner with the firm.

“Later with Haggar Corp. — sorry, with Gitano and Sara Lee, having lived there, I lived in Singapore with Gitano and in Hong Kong with Sara Lee — sourcing was my primary responsibility in both of those locations.”


Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2014/10/david-perdue-georgia-senate-race-2014-111589.html#ixzz3FN4yIZz1
DEPOSITION HERE: https://www.documentcloud.org/documents/1308750-deposition-full-text-recognized-1.html

"...And They Wonder Why The ACTUAL Military Struggles With Mental Health Issues"

Chuck Todd attempts to twist guest's words to bash President and fails

If there is any clear evidence that the media in America for all practical purposes is a monolith controlled by one drumbeat it should be evident with today's morning shows. It was evident they were all following one narrative, a narrative to bash President Obama implicitly and explicitly on competence.
The narrative today was competence. A quoted story from Politico was "Can anyone fill the competency gap." The insinuation was clear. President Obama is not competent. They tried to create this incompetency thread by blaming the President for ISIS / ISIL, Ebola, and on many other issues that he had little control of. Where they could not blame they attempted to get surrogates to blame.

Such was the case with Chuck Todd on Meet The Press. You could see him searching former Senator Jim Webb's words for some gotcha moment to tie some failure to the President. This exchange was classic.

Jim Webb: And in foreign policy what you are hearing from this former soldier is something we are seeing a lot of countrywide and that is we have not had a clear articulation of what American foreign policy is basically since the end of the Cold War. SO when you are looking at places like Iraq and Syria you are seeing policies that can't be clearly articulated

Chuck Todd: You are basically saying that the President doesn't have, you're basically saying President Obama doesn't have a foreign policy.

Jim Webb: I am saying that in terms of a clear doctrine we have been lacking that for a very long time.


The Solution is to abolish elections and just do perpetual war:

Senator Says Obama Is Only Fighting ISIS To Help Democrats, Will Abandon War After Midterm Elections

New Hampshire Sen. Kelly Ayotte (R) argued on Sunday that President Obama has declared war against ISIS in Iraq and Syria in order to help Democrats win the midterm elections in November and expressed concern that he would abandon the fight in the new year.

“I think we have a problem where the president’s foreign policy is being trapped by his campaign rhetoric,” Ayotte began during an appearance on Fox News Sunday. “I’m very fearful as we look at the current military strategy that it is surrounding the November elections and he won’t have the resolve to follow through with what needs to be done in a sustained effort to destroy ISIS, and we’re about to repeat the same thing with Afghanistan,” she added, referring to the effort to withdraw American troops from that country.

Asked directly by host Chris Wallace if she was “suggesting that after the November election and acting tough and talking tough, that he will pull back from confronting ISIS,” Ayotte responded that she was.

“I’m very concerned about that, Chris, and his resolve in this regard.”


‘Pro-Life’ Sociopath Todd Kincannon Has Simple Solution For Ebola: Execute All Patients

Former executive director of the South Carolina GOP, Trayvon Martin clairvoyant, ethics-free attorney, and avid penis self-photographer Todd Kincannon is proudly pro-life — with one exception, of course, in that he wishes Wendy Davis had been aborted. But he also recognizes that sometimes, in the face of a serious health crisis, you just need to man up and kill everyone who’s been infected or exposed. At Wonkette, we are sometimes given to exaggeration. But this is not an exaggeration: in a series of tweets on Saturday, Todd Kincannon, not satisfied with rightwing prescriptions like travel bans or embargoes on affected nations, literally advocated killing all Ebola patients, and napalming their villages for good measure, too. And we mean literally literally, not Joe Biden literally:

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