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kpete

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Member since: Fri Sep 17, 2004, 03:59 PM
Number of posts: 43,254

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Sabato: Projection: Obama Will Likely Win Second Term

Projection: Obama Will Likely Win Second Term



http://www.centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/articles/projection-obama-will-likely-win-second-term/

With a slight, unexpected lift provided by Hurricane Sandy, Mother Nature’s October surprise, President Barack Obama appears poised to win his second term tomorrow. Our final Electoral College projection has the president winning the key swing states of Colorado, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, Ohio and Wisconsin and topping Mitt Romney, with 290 electoral votes.

This has been a roller-coaster campaign, though very tight ever since Romney dramatically outshone Obama in the first debate in Denver on Oct. 3. Yet for a challenger to defeat an incumbent, the fates must be with the challenger again and again. Who could have imagined that a Frankenstorm would act as a circuit-breaker on the Republican’s campaign, blowing Romney off center stage for three critical days in the campaign’s last week, while enabling Obama to dominate as presidential comforter-in-chief, assisted by his new bipartisan best friend, Gov. Chris Christie (R)?

Adding to the president’s good fortune was a final jobs report that was basically helpful because it wasn’t disastrously bad — that is, the unemployment rate failed to jump back above the psychologically damaging level of 8%. Romney could have used that number to build a crescendo for change. Instead, the final potential obstacle to Obama’s reelection passed by as a one-day story. While Romney surged after the first debate, he never quite closed the deal in the key swing states. And now, we believe he has run out of time.

Romney staff refusing to let frostbitten children leave PA rally

Source: America Blog

Romney staff refusing to let frostbitten children leave PA rally
11/4/2012 7:17pm by John Aravosis 108 Comments Print


This is happening right now at Mitt Romney’s rally in Pennsylvania. Apparently it’s freezing, and Romney’s staff is refusing to let rally-goers leave. People are begging reporters for help.

Absolutely incredible.

From the NYT’s Michael Barbaro:










Read more: http://americablog.com/2012/11/romney-staff-refusing-to-let-frostbitten-children-leave-pa-rally.html

Politico senior editors: Only white men give president "mandates"

Politico's Jim VandeHei and Mike Allen decide that only people who look like them can deliver mandates.

If President Barack Obama wins, he will be the popular choice of Hispanics, African-Americans, single women and highly educated urban whites. That’s what the polling has consistently shown in the final days of the campaign. It looks more likely than not that he will lose independents, and it’s possible he will get a lower percentage of white voters than George W. Bush got of Hispanic voters in 2000.

A broad mandate this is not.

http://dyn.politico.com/printstory.cfm?uuid=A01BF198-18DC-4E9A-9686-C29F615E0AF3

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/11/04/1155529/-Politico-senior-editors-Only-white-men-give-president-mandates

OUTSIDE: "we want to vote! Miami-Dade shuts down voting-Will reopen for voters by 5pm

Just going to repost the tweets about the mess that is currently going on down there. They can describe it better than I ever could. Absolutely a travesty what is happening right now. After the squiggly ..

Marc Caputo ‏@MarcACaputo
Miami-Dade voting P.R. fiasco: The county shuts down its limited early vote offer, citing too few workers & 1 printer ht @msanchezMIA

Kathleen McGrory ‏@kmcgrory
People staying in line, even though in-person absentee voting has been suspended for the day. Crowd chanting "let us vote!" @MiamiHerald

Kathleen McGrory ‏@kmcgrory
They just locked the doors at the Miami-Dade Elections Department. Nobody allowed in. @PatriciaMazzei @MiamiHerald

Kathleen McGrory ‏@kmcgrory
County elections office will no longer be providing absentee ballots today. People shouting. @PatriciaMazzei @MiamiHerald

Kathleen McGrory ‏@kmcgrory
Miami-Dade elections officials say they don't have the capacity to accommodate anyone else. @PatriciaMazzei @MiamiHerald

Marc Caputo ‏@MarcACaputo
Miami-Dade Mayor Carlos Gimenez is in hiding after his election office over-promised extra early voting and under-delivered.

Kathleen McGrory ‏@kmcgrory
Cars being towed from the parking lot across the street from Miami-Dade elections. "This is intimidation!" one woman yells. @MiamiHerald

Melissa Sanchez ‏@msanchezMIA
"we want to vote! We want to vote!" people scream outside locked doors #miamivotingfiasco2012

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2012/11/04/1155451/-Miami-Dade-shuts-down-voting

N.Y. Marathoners Run to Help in Storm-Ravaged Staten Island

Source: Bloomberg

“Our first reaction was it’s a shame and then we wondered what can we start to do to help,” said Metzl, a physician at the Hospital for Special Surgery in New York. “Let’s run into Staten Island.”

Staten Island was one of the hardest hit areas when Superstorm Sandy reached New York, accounting for about half the city’s 41 fatalities.

By 1 a.m. yesterday, Metzl, who still hadn’t taken off his white coat after work, had helped create the New York Runners in Support of Staten Island on Facebook. When he awoke in the morning, the site had more than 3,000 hits.

Today as many as 500 runners, wearing orange and carrying backpacks stuffed with essentials such as batteries, prepaid mobile phones, gift cards, baby wipes, personal hygiene items, medicine, garbage bags, hats and gloves, traveled on the 8:30 a.m. ferry to Staten Island.

Read more: http://www.businessweek.com/news/2012-11-04/new-york-marathoners-run-to-help-in-storm-ravaged-staten-island







Nine marathoners with backpacks were seen running down the sidewalk alongside Hyland Boulevard in Midland Beach in Staten Island on Sunday morning.

"We're running out to areas of Staten Island that need supplies," said Sarah Hammond, who was carrying 25 pounds of baby wipes, diapers, dog food, clothes and personal hygiene items on her back.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2012/nov/04/hurricane-sandy-new-york?CMP=twt_gu

Mitt Romney's campaign is finally admitting to itself that the election has slipped away

......... “At a rally this morning in New Hampshire, I asked a senior Mitt Romney campaign adviser what the campaign had planned in the final crucial days. His answer was swift. 'Praying'.”

And this: “One adviser this morning was even more candid: "I'm not saying (Mr. Obama) is definitely going to lose."

And finally this: "We're the challengers. We always knew we could lose," one aide told me here in Dubuque. "They (The Obama camp) never contemplated they could lose."

Mitt Romney’s lost the election. His own campaign team is starting to admit that to the world. Perhaps more importantly, they’re starting to admit it to themselves.

http://blogs.telegraph.co.uk/news/danhodges/100187732/mitt-romneys-campaign-is-finally-admitting-to-itself-that-the-election-has-slipped-away/

GOD ON OUR SIDE!!!



http://pamshouseblend.firedoglake.com/2012/11/04/the-smell-of-fail-is-emanating-from-camp-romney/

(PEW)Obama Gains Edge in Campaign's Final Days: Obama 50% - Romney 47%

Source: Pew

Obama Gains Edge in Campaign's Final Days
Obama 50% - Romney 47%


Barack Obama has edged ahead of Mitt Romney in the final days of the presidential campaign. In the Pew Research Center’s election weekend survey, Obama holds a 48% to 45% lead over Romney among likely voters.

The survey finds that Obama maintains his modest lead when the probable decisions of undecided voters are taken into account. Our final estimate of the national popular vote is Obama 50% and Romney 47%, when the undecided vote is allocated between the two candidates based on several indicators and opinions.

A week ago the race was deadlocked, with each candidate drawing support from 47% of the likely electorate. Interviewing for the final pre-election survey was conducted Oct. 31- Nov. 3 among 2,709 likely voters. The previous survey was conducted Oct. 24-28, before Hurricane Sandy made landfall along the East Coast.

Read more: http://www.people-press.org/2012/11/04/obama-gains-edge-in-campaigns-final-days/

President Of Florida-Based Company Threatens To Fire Employees If Romney Loses

Source: Think Progress

President Of Florida-Based Company Threatens To Fire Employees If Romney Loses
By Annie-Rose Strasser on Nov 4, 2012 at 2:35 pm


With fewer than 72 hours before polls begin to close, another report has emerged of a company owner strongly urging his employees to vote for Mitt Romney over Barack Obama, claiming that their jobs are potentially on the line if Obama wins re-election.

Cliff Otto, president of the Florida-based Saddle Creek Corporation, circulated an email to staff this week explaining that, while “we do not support candidates based on their political affiliation,” Romney’s positions are in “the best interest of our company, and therefore our jobs and our future”:

In the past, Saddle Creek has not felt it imperative that we communicate with our associates regarding the political issues that affect our business. This year the positions taken by the two presidential candidates with regard to these issues are starkly different. As such feel it would be wrong for us not to share with you the company’s position on just a few of the critical issues and, at the same time, how each of the two candidates compare to our position. … We do not support candidates based on their political affiliation. We do support candidates that share our positions with regard to the key issues facing our company and our country. Thank you for considering what Saddle Creek believes is in the best interest of our company, and therefore our jobs and our future.

An accompanying flyer, obtained by MSNBC’s Up With Chris Hayes, highlights by position — not candidate — which would be more beneficial for Otto’s employees’ jobs:

Read more: http://thinkprogress.org/election/2012/11/04/1136531/florida-ceo-romney/



Big Bird Votes Obama



“I checked with the head of the elections division, and he said that, no, it is not illegal to vote in a Big Bird outfit,” said Ginny Ballard, a spokeswoman for the Travis County clerk’s office.

Just putting the suit on back at the house was a challenge. I had to ask my wife, Kay, to help me put the thing on because I couldn’t figure out what went where. I’ve had less trouble with a tux. The bird suit is a three-piece, and if you put the pieces on in the wrong order, as I did, you end up being held prisoner in the suit. Also, there was no place to put my car keys.

“You’ve got it on upside down,” Kay said. “These are the arms, and this is the tail.” Who knew? “I did not see this in my future,” Kay added.

I didn’t pull this stunt because I’m a big fan of Big Bird. Nope, this one is Mitt Romney’s fault. If the Mittster hadn’t said during one of the presidential debates that he loves Big Bird, not likes but loves, I might have rented a Daffy Duck or a Tweety Bird suit instead. I prefer those two birds to Big Bird.

........................http://www.statesman.com/news/news/local/kelso-turns-out-voting-is-for-the-birds/nSwYC/

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