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kpete

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Member since: Fri Sep 17, 2004, 03:59 PM
Number of posts: 43,583

Journal Archives

Sam Wang at Princeton Election Consortium---Gives Dems 70% Chance Of Holding Senate.

Sam Wang over at the Princeton Election Consortium does a very nice job of analyzing polls. Mr. Wang's forecast differs from a lot of other work, including the fine work the people here at Dkos are doing.

One of the first questions he asks is what's up with the Dems?:

Senate Democrats are doing surprisingly well. Across the board, Democratic candidates in the nine states above are doing better in the polls-only estimate than the mainstream media models would predict. This is particularly true for Alaska, Arkansas, and North Carolina. In these three states, Democrats are outperforming the expectations of the data pundits (The Upshot’s Leo, Nate Silver, Harry Enten, John Sides, etc.). Why is that, and will it last?

http://election.princeton.edu/2014/08/28/senate-democrats-are-outperforming-expectations/#more-10629

He also presents this chart to demonstrate the differences between some of the different people looking at the polls and other factors.


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MORE:
http://election.princeton.edu/2014/08/28/senate-democrats-are-outperforming-expectations/#more-10629
http://www.dailykos.com/story/2014/08/29/1325603/-Sam-Wang-Gives-Dems-70-Chance-Of-Holding-Senate

Another Way Of Looking At The World...


John Matherly
‏@achillean
Pinged all devices on the Internet, here's a map of where they're located pic.twitter.com/G3fiNcKCul

https://twitter.com/achillean/status/505049645245288448/photo/1

Five of Cliven Bundy’s grandchildren pulled from school over ban on carrying pocket knives

Five of anti-government rancher Cliven Bundy’s grandchildren were removed from their Nevada schools because of a ban on bringing knives onto their respective campuses, KSNV-TV reported.

Bundy’s son Ryan Bundy pulled the children after officials with the Clark County School District informed him that his 15-year-old daughter would not be allowed to bring her pocket knife to Virgin Valley High School because it fell under the district’s zero-tolerance policy against weapons.

“They’re trying to make my child a criminal – and any other child a criminal – for simply having something, and that is not right,” Ryan Bundy told KSNV, adding that he planned to speak to the school’s principal and ask that she be allowed to circumvent the policy.



the disgusting rest:
http://www.rawstory.com/rs/2014/08/28/five-of-cliven-bundys-grandchildren-pulled-from-school-over-ban-on-carrying-pocket-knives/

Jon Stewart: "Perry’s gonna make a bit of a creepy inmate-Little bit of Orange Is The New Blecch.”

“Ah, the priceless ‘rebrand,’” Stewart said. “From ‘forgetful doof’ to ‘possible felon.’ The same trick that worked when, after the BP Gulf oil spill, they renamed themselves ‘Amalgamated asbestos and c*ck punch, incorporated.’”

While the thought of Perry’s indictment made Stewart worry that it could derail his presidential prospects for 2016 — “You can’t just give this to me and take it away,” he protested — he eventually reasoned that there were both Republicans and Democrats supporting it, because it would ensure that Perry would “ultimately lose in an entertaining fashion.”


Instead of being charged with being, as Stewart said, “criminally handsome” in his mugshot, Perry is accused of coercion of a public servant and abuse of public capacity for threatening to veto funding for the state public integrity unit, based out of Travis County.

“Not to mention a misdemeanor for stealing MSNBC’s glasses,” Stewart observed. “They need to see, Rick.”



MORE:http://www.rawstory.com/rs/2014/08/29/jon-stewart-creepy-inmate-rick-perry-looks-like-hes-in-orange-is-the-new-blecch/

Burgers and Bullets shutters Four days after a 9 year old girl accidentally killed an instructor

Burgers and Bullets shutters

Four days after a 9 year old girl accidentally killed an instructor on the Burgers and Bullets range with a fully automatic Uzi sub machine gun, and one day after the range operator told Chris Hayes that his business would stay open, it closes indefinitely.

VIDEO & MORE:
http://www.msnbc.com/all-in/watch/burgers-and-bullets-shutters-323020355921

Front page of Courier Journal has Mitch McConnell's promises to Koch brothers in their secret mtg

Front page of the Courier Journal has Mitch McConnell's promises to the Koch brothers in their secret mtg
https://twitter.com/JustinBarasky/statuses/505002629467242497




Bill Maher supports ALS, but wants Cheney to take the ‘douse yourself in gasoline challenge’



“Hi, Bill Maher, ready to take the Ice Bucket Challenge to knock off ALS,” the comedian explains in a Funny or Die video before pouring a bucket of water on himself.

“And having done so, I like to pass the challenge along now to Mr. Kirk Douglas — not Kirk Douglas — Dick Cheney!” he adds. “But let’s be honest, folks, ALS is a bad disease, but there are diseases that kill more. Malaria has killed more people than all the wars, famines and natural disasters in history. It demands an even greater response.”


“This is a gallon of gasoline, and I challenge other people to take the ‘set yourself on fire challenge’ to wipeout malaria in our lifetime.”

After lighting himself and bursting into virtual flames, Maher again encourages people to take the “douse yourself in gasoline challenge.”

“And challenge others to do it too! I challenge Dick Cheney!”




VIDEO & MORE:
http://www.rawstory.com/rs/2014/08/28/bill-maher-supports-als-but-wants-cheney-to-take-the-douse-yourself-in-gasoline-challenge/

What’s the harm of bombing them at least for a few weeks and seeing what happens?

"Someone said, 'we can't just bomb,'" (Kristol) said, speaking about an ABC panel he was on. "You know, why don't we just (bomb?) We know where ISIS is. What’s the harm of bombing them at least for a few weeks and seeing what happens? I don’t think there’s much in the way of unanticipated side effects that are going to be bad there. We could kill a lot of very bad guys!"
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/08/27/bill-kristol-bomb-isis_n_5721582.html?&ncid=tweetlnkushpmg00000021



How not to react when your child tells you that he's gay




'You have made a choice, independent of what you've told your daddy,' Daniel's mother is heard saying.

'You can deny it all you want to but I believe in the word of God. And God creates nobody that way, it is a path that you have chosen.'

Even though Daniel tells his mother he cannot change his sexuality, and that is scientific proof, basic biology, she won't listen.

'Since you have chosen that path, we will not support you any longer. You will need to move out and find wherever you can to live and do you want to. I will not let people believe I condone what you do.'

- See more at: http://www.gaystarnews.com/article/how-not-react-when-your-son-tells-you-hes-gay280814#sthash.l32zg4jO.dpuf
http://www.gaystarnews.com/article/how-not-react-when-your-son-tells-you-hes-gay280814


Kid Comes Out, Family Disowns Him
http://slog.thestranger.com/slog/archives/2014/08/27/kid-comes-out-family-disowns-him

James Foley Was Among 1 of 4 Prisoners Who Were Waterboarded By ISIS (Using CIA Techniques)

At least four hostages held in Syria by the Islamic State, including an American journalist who was recently executed by the group, were waterboarded in the early part of their captivity, according to people familiar with the treatment of the kidnapped Westerners.

James Foley was among the four who were waterboarded several times by Islamic State militants who appeared to model the technique on the CIA’s use of waterboarding to interrogate suspected terrorists after the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks.


http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/national-security/captives-held-by-islamic-state-were-waterboarded/2014/08/28/2b4e1962-2ec9-11e4-9b98-848790384093_story.html
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