Member since: 2002
Number of posts: 11,417
Number of posts: 11,417
Political science professor, G. Terry Madonna, has been the well-respected guru of political polling in Pennsylvania since the early 90's. Politicians in both parties take his work deadly seriously. But in today's Trib-Review, there's a report that GOP Gov. Corbett's campaign team is desperately accusing Madonna of fudging the statistics in the latest Franklin-Marshall poll, which shows Corbett trailing challenger Wolf by 25 points.
“It's typical of what happens,” Madonna said. “Pollsters get attacked if the campaign's not doing well.”
Checking up on Madonna, I came across an absolute jewel of a website for detailed analysis of Pennsylvania politics, i.e., Madonna's Politically Uncorrected Column. Here are excerpts from one of the most recent columns, titled "Give 'em Hell, Tom" which analyzes Corbett's pathetic attempt to run against Harrisburg when he's been governor for 4 years, and both chambers of the legislature are controlled by Republicans.
The entire article is a good read, as are other columns on the blog. IMHO, Madonna truly understands the history and culture of Harrisburg and politics in the state and within each party, and writes about them in a very accurate, yet also entertaining way. I'll be eagerly following this blog between now and November.
Posted by Divernan | Sat Aug 30, 2014, 07:44 AM (1 replies)
Which are in hope and anticipation of HRC in the Oval Office. Cheney only gets $50,000, and he did as much as Clinton for the MIC. And when you think about it, if you are right about these fees being payoffs for past favors, what does it say about whose interests Bill Clinton was promoting if he can collect up to $750, 000 for a single gig. Corporate giants don't squander 3/4 of a million dollars to reminisce about the good old days. At this point the Clintons are so bought and paid for by so many One Percent special interest groups and corporate sources of One Percenters' income, that her biggest problem as president would be in prioritizing which sponsor to reward first.
Re Bill Clinton's fees:
The most lucrative was a November speech in Hong Kong to Swedish-based telecom giant Ericsson -- $750,000. Clinton also earned $700,000 for a March speech to a local newspaper publishing company in Lagos, Nigeria, and $550,000 for a November speech to a business forum in Shanghai, China. He earned $500,000 apiece for three events in Austria and Holland in May and in the United Arab Emirates in December.http://www.cnn.com/2012/07/03/politics/clinton-speaking-fees/
Prior to 2011, the most Clinton had earned from a single event was $525,000 for a 2008 speech in Edmonton, Alberta. Those astronomical speaking fees will be Gone With the Wind, should Hillary announce she's not running.
Here's one set of ranges, from 2012:
$5,000 – $10,000. This would be the typical range for top keynote speakers – people who have given numerous keynote speeches in the past and/or have serious career accomplishments.
$10,000 – $20,000. Most of the major conferences pay their keynote speakers something within this range. Even for some of the more well-known keynote speakers, this is no fee to sneeze at; and if it is, keynoting the conference is probably an honor in itself as well.
$20,000 – $50,000. This is the range for most celebrity speakers. When I say celebrity speakers, I mean actual celebrities that are household names or alternatively, category experts that are such big draws that it simply makes economic sense to pay this fee.
$50,000 – $100,000. The top celebrity speakers’ fees are in this ballpark. There are only a few dozen folks that would be priced above this range. Typically, an organization paying a fee like this one can do so because the keynote speaker is such a big draw that ticket sales far exceed the amount of the speaker fee.
$100,000+. Interested in hiring Bill Clinton? Richard Branson? Donald Trump? You’ve found your range.
- See more at: http://evanbailyn.com/keynotespeakers/the-ultimate-guide-to-keynote-speaker-fees/#sthash.tQFe3jv1.dpuf
The minute HRC announces she is NOT running - if that comes to pass, all the Clintons' fees will drop like stones and the phone will stop ringing in their agent's offices.
Posted by Divernan | Fri Aug 29, 2014, 03:25 PM (2 replies)
It's amazing to me that the Tribune-Review would trash a GOP Governor like this. And although the piece went on line at 11 p.m. last night, not a single rabid conservative reader has come to Corbett's defense in the comments section. With his approval ratings down to 24% in the latest poll, combined with a voter turnout that will likely be under 30%, one hopes for a REALLY low GOP turnout, resulting in the most epic loss ever in a PA. Governor's race, and boost to Democrats running down-ticket from Wolf.
Rubber, Corbett expected to hit road as polls show likely loss in governor's race
Thursday, Aug. 28, 2014, 11:06 p.m.
Updated 13 hours ago
The smell of burning rubber is wafting through Pennsylvania. It is the scent that results when the accelerator is floored, but the vehicle remains in park with its tires squealing. It is the scent of Gov. Tom Corbett's re-election campaign.
Despite there being more than two months before Election Day, a sense of inevitability is pooling under the Governor's Mansion like leaking oil collecting beneath an aging Chevy. Corbett faces nearly insurmountable odds in defeating Democratic challenger Tom Wolf in November.
After his abysmal polling numbers in late spring, Corbett needed to gain considerable ground on Wolf over the summer. Instead of moving forward, the governor was pushed off the spring line of scrimmage as easily as a lightweight offensive lineman with an eating disorder.
In June, a Franklin & Marshall University poll had Wolf in the lead, 47 percent to 25 percent with 27 percent of respondents undecided. The latest Franklin & Marshall poll released on Thursday had Wolf ahead 49 percent to 24 percent, with 25 percent undecided. There's more. Corbett's favorability declined to 24 percent in the latest poll, down from 27 percent in June. Corbett's unfavorability increased to 56 percent, up from 49. Corbett's unlikely path to victory seems clear at this point: Somehow persuade the entire undecided demographic to vote for him, while maintaining hope that a small percentage of Wolf supporters tragically perish in a rare autumnal avalanche in Colorado.
Follow us: @triblive on Twitter | triblive on Facebook
Posted by Divernan | Fri Aug 29, 2014, 12:47 PM (7 replies)
That could explain HRC's choice to stay with Bill. Raised by a domineering Republican father to have low self esteem, combined with identifying one's worth as a woman to being married, and one's husband's status.
But I'm of her generation & when hubby cheated on me (I forgave him the first time, not the second), I kicked his sorry, executive, MBA-d ass out the door, enrolled myself in law school & successfully raised 3 kids all on my own. To me, any woman who stays with a serially adulterous husband, is seriously lacking in self-esteem - unless she realistically sees herself as totally unable to make a decent living on her own & she & the kids would be financially destitute. However, a woman who has a Harvard law degree, and when her husband was Governor, was making more money than him at a major law firm? And don't anyone come up with that garbage of staying for the children's sake. What a role model for kids! Daddies can cheat and lie and waste family resources on the bimbo du jour and expose Mommies to STDs - funny I never heard any true feminist promoting this role model for marriage and parenthood.
Posted by Divernan | Fri Aug 29, 2014, 12:13 PM (1 replies)
like a sackful of demented rattlesnakes. Motivated me to leave the following comment there:
Although I lived (and very happily so, on Alfresco Place, just off of Bardstown Road) in Louisville until the age of 9, when my Dad got promoted/transferred to Chicago, this is the first time I've looked at the Courier-Journal. Having seen national coverage of the McConnell/Koch Brothers story, I was curious to see how the locals were reacting. Oh my goodness! The irrational, hate-filled commentary from the Tea Party/Conservative contingent does not speak well for the Bluegrass State. As another commenter said, the rest of the country is counting on y'all, Kentuckians. Our democracy is in desperate need of campaign finance reform, to nullify Citizens United and put the decision-making back in the hands of the voters, and not the One Percenters. That will be a hard battle, given the deep pockets of the Koch Brothers and their ilk, but it can never even begin to happen until McConnell is removed from leadership.
To quote Stephen Foster's lyrics, "By 'n by hard times come a-knocking at the door. Then my old Kentucky home, good night." Without liveable wages and the safety net of unemployment compensation, those hard times are knocking at doors in Kentucky and throughout this nation. I think this Senate election in Kentucky is the most important one in 2014. Unless you are a One Percenter, do right by yourselves, your kids and grandkids, your state and the whole country, and elect Grimes.
Posted by Divernan | Thu Aug 28, 2014, 09:12 PM (2 replies)
A fire broke out at BP’s largest U.S. refinery on Wednesday night after a compressor exploded in one of the refinery’s units, sending shakes through local homes and injuring one worker, according to media reports.
The explosion is the latest mishap at the company’s Whiting Refinery in Whiting, Indiana, which in March was responsible for leaking up to 1,638 gallons of oil into Lake Michigan. That incident occurred less than two weeks after the U.S. lifted BP’s ban on seeking new oil leases in the Gulf of Mexico.
The Whiting refinery is a huge operation, producing up to 423,500 barrels of oil every day. It’s the seventh-largest refinery in the United States, and was recently upgraded to process oil from the Canadian tar sands.
BP said it had contained the fire as of Thursday morning, and that the plant continued to operate.
The plant itself has drawn opposition from environmentalists because of its proximity to Lake Michigan, which supplies drinking water for seven million people in the Chicago area alone.
Read more: http://thinkprogress.org/climate/2014/08/28/3476659/explosion-bp-whiting-refinery/
Thanks, Obama, for lifting BP's ban on drilling in the Gulf of Mexico. Cause we can see from the series of spills and explosions at BP's largest US refinery that the corporation has really cleaned up its act regarding operating safely! NOT!
Posted by Divernan | Thu Aug 28, 2014, 09:54 AM (27 replies)
Not to worry - his approval rating is already so low, the Pirate Parrot could beat him next November.
He is the quintessential clueless old white male Republican.
Pennsylvania Gov. Tom Corbett (R) thinks his state should reform its liquor laws. That way, he argued, women would have an easier job making dinner.
Posted by Divernan | Wed Aug 27, 2014, 06:31 PM (11 replies)
Where have you been hiding for the past couple of months - tons and tons of posts about the Clintons' accumulation of wealth since leaving the White House. But here you go, in excruciating detail, courtesy of HRC's State Department filing.
And these numbers are BEFORE her recent multi-million speaking fees, and also don't include the multi-million vanity family non-profit, which is totally under the control of the Clintons and pays them undisclosed amounts in salary and benefits, not to mention 5 star luxury travel accomodations - private jets, personal assistants, presidential suites at hotels, etc. That's why I call it a VANITY non-profit.
HRC: Average Net Worth: $13,130,504*
Minimum Net Worth: $710,008
Maximum Net Worth: $25,550,999
Average 2011 Income: $13,801,055**
Min. Gross Income: $13,737,009
Max. Gross Income: $13,865,100
Name: Hillary Clinton
Last Filing: May 31st, 2012
Title: Secretary of the State
Term Start: January 21st, 2009
Term End: January 20th, 2013
JP Morgan Custody Account (Cash) $5,000,001 - $25,000,000
Real Property, California (Spouse) $500,001 - $1,000,000
National Life Insurance Company (Cash Value - Universal Life Policy) (Spouse) $100,001 - $250,000
US Treas NTS 4.875% 8/15/16 BOND $50,001 - $100,000
Northwestern Mutual Life Insurance (Cash Value - Whole Life Policy) (Spouse) $15,001 - $50,000
Northwestern Mutual Life Insurance (Cash Value - Whole Life Policy) $15,001 - $50,000
Fed Home Ln MTG 4.875% 11/15/13 Bond $15,001 - $50,000
US Treas NTS 4.625% MAT 2/29/12 Bond $15,001 - $50,000
US Treas NTS 5.00% 2/15/11 BOND Less Than $1,001
Abu Dhabi Global Environmental Data Initiative (AGEDI) (Spouse) Abu Dhabi, UAE $500,000
Bank Administration Institute (Spouse) Chicago, IL $200,000
HSM Americas, Inc. (Spouse) New York, NY $175,000
Deloitte Services LP (Spouse) New York, NY $200,000
Starwood Hotels & Resorts Worldwide, Inc. (Spouse) New York, NY $200,000
Highland Capital (Spouse) New York, NY $175,000
TD Ameritrade (Spouse) Las Vegas, NV $200,000
American Express (Spouse) New York, NY $200,000
World Market Center SPE, LLC (Spouse) Las Vegas, NV $175,000
UBS Wealth Management (Spouse) Dallas, TX $165,000
Jeffries & Company, Inc. (Spouse) New York, NY $200,000
Magic Dreams Productions, Inc. (Spouse) Panama City, Panama $325,000
Fundo Comunitario of Keren Hayesod Sao Paulo (Spouse) Sao Paulo, Brazil $200,000
World 50, Inc. (Spouse) New York, NY $175,000
Wells Fargo Bank, N.A. (Spouse) New York, NY $200,000
UBS Wealth Management (Spouse) Los Angeles, CA $150,000
Bank of America Merrill Lynch (Spouse) $200,000
Ontario Chamber of Commerce (OCOC) (Spouse) Toronto, Canada $175,000
Beaumont Health Systems (Spouse) Troy, MI $260,000
HCL America, Inc. (Spouse) Orlando, FL $200,000
Hualuo CEO Forum (Spouse) Shanghai, China $550,000
Telefonaktiebolagel LM Ericsson AB (Spouse) Hong Kong, China $750,000
Masie Center (Spouse) Orlando, FL $200,000
Association for Financial Professionals (AFP) (Spouse) Boston, MA $175,000
Defense Research Institute (DRI) (Spouse) Washington, DC $204,000
Silicon Valley Information Business Alliance (SVIBA) (Spouse), Santa Clara, CA $200,000
City of Surrey (Spouse) Surrey, BC, Canada $175,000
American Society for Clinical Pathology (ASCP) (Spouse) Las Vegas, NV $200,000
Achmea (Spouse) Achlum, Holland
Yum! Restaurants International (Spouse) Vancouver, Canada $160,000
Highstar Capital (Spouse) Washington, DC $175,000
Internet Corporation for Assigned Names and Numbers (ICANN) (Spouse) $255,000
Cambridge Energy Research Associates $175,000
Business and Finance Media Group (Spouse) $125,000
The Philharmonic Center for the Arts (Spouse) $200,000
Kuwait America Foundation (Spouse) $175,000
RSA, Security Division of EMC (Spouse) San Francisco, CA $175,000
Hualuo CEO Forum (Spouse) New York, NY $200,000
Barclays Capital (Spouse), Davos, Switzerland $325,000
Tanmiah Commercial Group (Spouse) Riyadh, Saudi Arabia $300,000
Bridgestone America Tire Operations (Spouse) Huntington Beach, CA $175,000
Association of Fundraising Professionals (AFP) (Spouse) Chicago, IL $170,000
Cisco Systems, Inc. (Spouse) Kiawah Island, SC $210,000
Leaders and Company Ltd. (THISDAY Newspaper Group) (Spouse) Lagos, Nigeria $700,000
Center for Global Dialogue and Cooperation (CGDC) (Spouse) Vienna, Austria $500,000
Ilau BBA USA Securities, Inc. (Spouse) New York, NY $175,000
TD Bank (Spouse) Fredericton and Antigonish, Canada $260,000
Fidelity Investments (Spouse) Orlando, FL $175,000
The National Council for Community Behavioral Healthcare (NCCBH) (Spouse) San Diego, CA $260,000
HSBC Securities (USA) Inc. (Spouse) Key Largo, FL $200,000
Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers Association (PhRMA) (Spouse) Jersey City, NJ $200,000
Goldman Sachs (Spouse) New York, NY $200,000
Whisky Productions (Spouse) Grand Cayman $225,000
Nideias Comunicacao Ilimitada Ltda (Spouse) Manaus, Brazil $390,000
JP Morgan Custody Account (Cash) $50,001 - $100,000
Random House (Spouse) - My Life $50,001 - $100,000
Northwestern Mutual Life Insurance (Cash Value - Whole Life Policy) (Spouse) $5,001 - $15,000
Northwestern Mutual Life Insurance (Cash Value - Whole Life Policy) $5,001 - $15,000
Simon & Schuster, Inc. - Living History $2,501 - $5,000
US Treas NTS 4.875% 8/15/16 BOND $2,501 - $5,000
US Treas NTS 4.625% MAT 2/29/12 Bond $1,001 - $2,500
Fed Home Ln MTG 4.875% 11/15/13 Bond $201 - $1,000
US Treas NTS 5.00% 2/15/11 BOND $201 - $1,000
CitiMortgage, Inc., Sioux Falls, SD Mortgage on Personal Residence $1,000,001 - $5,000,000
Charitable gift assignment regarding the literary work "Invitation to the White House" White House Historical Society 12/99
Publishing Agreement regarding the literary work "Invitation to the White House" Simon & Schuster, Inc. 12/99
Charitable gift assignment regarding the literary work "Dear Socks, Dear Buddy" National Parks Foundation 9/98
Publishing Agreement regarding the literary work "Dear Socks, Dear Buddy" Simon & Schuster, Inc. 9/98
Publishing Agreement Regarding the Literary Work "Living History" approved by Senate Committee on Ethics Simon & Schuster, Inc. 1/01
Publishing Agreement Regarding the Literary Work "It Takes a Village" Simon & Schuster, Inc. 12/06
Positions Held Outside U.S. Government
The Clinton Family Foundation, Chappaqua, NY Non-profit Charity Secretary/Treasurer 12/2001-Present
William Jefferson Clinton Irrevocable Life Insurance Trust Life Insurance Trust Trustee 07/1996-Present
William J. Clinton 2010 Irrevocable Trust Life Insurance Trust Trustee 12/2010-Present
William J. Clinton 2010 Residence Trust Residence Trust Co-Trustee 12/2010-Present
Hilary Rodham Clinton 2010 Residence Trust Residence Trust Co-Trustee 12/2010-Present
Estate of Dorothy E. Rodham Estate Co-Personal Representative 12/2011-Present
Type Asset Amount Date Partial
Sell JP Morgan US Treasury Money Market Fund (consolidated with the JP Morgan Custody Account - Cash) $5,000,001 - $25,000,000 3/2/2011 N
-value of personal residence not included in this filing
-bulk of the Clinton's family income is generated by Bill's speeches
-Bill Clinton's taxable pension of $191,300 is not included in this filing. The former President also receives a number of other perks, including travel expenses, staff salaries, rental payments (office) and Secret Service protection
-Teneo Holdings LLC, Varkey GEMS Foundation and Laureate Education, Inc. all listed "other income" of "Nonemployee compensation over $1,000"
Source: US Department of State
*Average Net Worth = (Max Net Worth + Min Net Worth) / 2
**Average Income = (Max Net Worth + Min Net Worth) / 2
Includes Salary, Doesn't Include Deductions
Note: Assets and Income are given in ranges, which is why there is a minimum and maximum net worth and income figure.
Posted by Divernan | Sun Aug 24, 2014, 09:52 AM (0 replies)
I hang onto my lab results from my annual exams. Can't help but notice how readings which once were in the "normal" range have now been reclassified into abnormal - re blood pressure, blood sugar, cholesterol, etc. necessitating lifelong prescriptions. As many others have observed, Big Pharma has no interest in cures, only in lifelong treatments. Antibiotics fall into the "cure" class, and infectious disease experts have been warning us for years that as bacteria mutate to overcome existing antibiotics, the pharmaceutical industry has fallen way behind in developing new antibiotics.
A huge moneymaker for Big Pharma is HGH (Human Growth Hormone). One couple I know, on their pediatrician's advice, had both their sons injected weekly with HGH for years. Dad is 5'8"; Mom is 5'4" and both sons - now adults - are six feet four inches tall. That's eight inches taller than their father (or their grandfathers or uncles).
Treatments, not being medically necessary, were not covered by insurance, so no oversight re approval/necessity of treatment. The expense was $15,000 per child per year. "Dad" liked the idea that his boys could be jocks (which he never was) if they were tall, and more attractive to girls. Oddly, both boys have extremely long legs and are awkward - neither of them ever played even Little League, let alone team sports in grade school or high school. Once I learned what had happened to these young adults, I took a closer look at the teens at the local Y. A lot of the girls had legs like giraffes, out of proportion to their torsos - we're talking 5'10" - 6' tall, while their moms were 5'2"-5'6". Suddenly I got the picture of a popular pediatrician in a well-to-do community hyping HGH like mad and getting lots of perks from Big Pharma.
Here are some of the researched side effects for prescribing HGH to "normal" kids.
If HGH is given to children with normal growth, serious side effects may occur because levels in the body become too high (http://www.msnbc.com/news/785625.asp?cp1=1#BODY). They include development of diabetes; abnormal growth of bones and internal organs such as the heart, kidneys and liver; hardening of the arteries, and high blood pressure (http://www.msnbc.com/news/785625.asp?cp1=1#BODY). New research also suggests a link to colorectal cancer later in life (http://www.msnbc.com/news/785625.asp?cp1=1#BODY). Long-term over-dosage could result in symptoms of acromegaly, or excessive bone growth (http://www.msnbc.com/news/785625.asp?cp1=1#BODY). HGH injections should not be given to children with normal growth because they could get diabetes and develop malformed growth of bones and internal organs, hardening of the arteries, and high blood pressure (http://www.msnbc.com/news/785625.asp?cp1=1#BODY).
Posted by Divernan | Sat Aug 23, 2014, 09:04 AM (1 replies)
Most of us rode our bikes to and from school - weather permitting; too snowy/rainy for biking? - we walked. No school buses for our parochial school. I walked home for a hot lunch every day, unless it was snowing, and had to hustle to get home, eat and back in time. No lunch room at my school - kids could buy white or chocolate milk, and brought lunches in brown bags. And no gym facilities or gym classes.
Recess was totally unorganized, but sex segregated. Also unsupervised cause the nuns were grabbing a quick lunch in the convent. I recall an old guy who was the custodian was available if anyone had an accident. The boys played baseball or basketball. The girls played tetherball, baseball, dodgeball, hopscotch or jumped rope. We all had stay-at-home moms, but nobody had 2 car families. The dads took the cars to work. Moms did grocery shopping on Saturday mornings. There was not a single car waiting to pick anyone up after school. But hey! at least this was a perfectly flat midwestern town - so we weren't walking uphill both ways, as the folk lore goes.
And with no electronic games - and we got our first television set when I was 11, we spent a lot of time after school skipping rope, roller skating, climbing trees, playing tennis, walking to and from the town library or local YMCA for swimming lessons.
That was life for a kid in small-town, 1950's America, and it was damned good. Thanks for this OP - I've had fun recalling that life.
Oh, and when the weather was too bad to go out for morning or noon recesses, the nuns had us stand, stretch and do group exercises in our classroom. They didn't have PhDs in education, but evidently knew instinctively that kids need to move to let off steam.
On edit: Just thought of that line from Out of Africa - lightfoot lads and golden girls.
Posted by Divernan | Sat Aug 23, 2014, 05:31 AM (1 replies)