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nbsmom

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Member since: 2001
Number of posts: 440

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I don't think this is about math.

Yeah, I'm a little fired up. I've been looking at the delegate totals (using NYT and Politico primary maps showing delegates awarded to date), and I'm having trouble making the numbers add up in 28 of the states that have voted so far.

For example, Minnesota:

Bernie won 61.6% of the vote, but received 49 delegates (versus a total of 57 delegates in a proportional system).
Hillary won 38.4% of the vote, but got 42 delegates (compare to 38 delegates in a proportional allocation).

Then there's Wisconsin:

Bernie took 56.6% of the vote, and should have ended up with 54 delegates in a proportional system. He got 49.
Meanwhile, Hillary, although she received only 43.1% of the votes cast, was awarded 45 delegates instead of the 41 she should have received.

And THOSE ARE STATES WHERE BERNIE WON.

In New York, Hillary's take of the 291 delegates definitely exceeded her percentage of the votes.

With 58% of the vote, Hillary should have gotten 169 delegates. Instead, she got 178.
Bernie, on the other hand, got 108 delegates instead of 122 delegates that his 42% of the vote should have earned.

A similar scenario played out with the 252 delegates at stake in Texas.

It's easy to see why Hillary ended up with 165 delegates, because that does reflect her percentage (65.20%) there.
But Bernie, with his 33.20% of the vote, instead of being awarded 84 delegates, ended up with only 73.

I could go on. (Actually, I kind of did: I made a whole spreadsheet so I could understand why the numbers are so off.) What I finally realized is that someone needs to explain why enough votes have been moved from Bernie's column to Hillary's (in at least 28 states), so that instead of 1276 delegates, Bernie has 1149. And why Hillary, instead of having 1301 delegates right now, has 1386.

I'm sure I'm not the first one to notice this vote "misplacement," and how it has led to Bernie "trailing" by 268 delegates.

What do you want to bet that the gap would be under 50 if the delegates were awarded proportionately? Do you think the media would be ready to pull the trigger next Tuesday (before the polls close in CA) if the difference was less than 40 or 50?

Makes you wonder...

But, yeah, let's talk about the Orange One and his plans for giving the press corps a wedgie.

Please, please, please check the math, check my numbers, send me links.

These are the 28 states I looked at:
Colorado, Connecticut, Hawaii, Idaho, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Kentucky, Maine, Massachusetts, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New York, Ohio, Oklahoma, Oregon, Pennsylvania, Rhode Island, Texas, Virginia, Washington, West Virginia Wisconsin, Wyoming



Does anyone think charges will be brought against the dark money supporting Prop. 32 in CA?

Who would bring those charges? Is it an FEC violation or would it be litigated by the state? Would there be any chance at all of the Koch Brothers being culpable? It's easy to see that operatives farther down the food chain would be held responsible, but wouldn't it be fantastic if parties like the Koch Brothers and Karl Rove were actually found guilty as well?

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