2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumuniversity with 100 percent accuracy record predicts Bernie is USA next president.
http://firebrandleft.com/university-100-accuracy-record-predicts-bernie-sanders-will-americas-next-president/When Western Illinois University puts together their annual mock presidential election, some pundits tend to perk up and pay attention. After all, they accurately predicted Barack Obamas presidential win in 2007, and his narrower reelection win in 2011, after the same system had been used to astonishingly predict every presidential election since 1975 with 100% accuracy.
The results of WIUs 2015 mock election are in, and if you tend to take the mainstream media seriously, the results of that election will more than likely surprise you: Bernie Sanders won the presidency, then the general election and he did both in a massive landslide.
The WIU mock election, in which thousands of students from multiple schools form parties and caucuses and play out a small-scale election over the course of several days, has Bernie Sanders beating Hillary Clinton in 22 out of 26 primary states; Hillary Clinton survives past Super Tuesday, but loses out before the month of March is concluded.
As Sanders running mate, the school picked Martin OMalley, though WIU hasnt had a perfect record with vice presidential candidates, nor with losing tickets; in 2007, they had a Barack Obama/ John Edwards, while saying the GOP ticket would be Giuliani/ McCain. The school made up for that however in 2011, when they (somehow) accurately predicted the losing Mitt Romney/ Paul Ryan ticket. Nobody saw that coming, but somehow, WIUs students did.
The Republican student body put together a Jeb Bush/ Marco Rubio ticket for 2016, and if you thought WIUs primary results were interesting, get a load of this: The Sanders/ OMalley ticket creams the Bush/ Rubio ticket heavy-handedly, with a blow-out landslide win in which Sanders/ OMalley takes home 404 electoral votes, to the measily 114 picked up by Bush/ Rubio.
more at the link
leftofcool
(19,460 posts)"Keep in mind, however, that the participating schools only usually accurately predict the next presidency; their record with picking electoral victories is about as shaky as their records with choosing vice presidential candidates and the candidates on the losing ticket."
So, they can only pick a winning president if their electoral victory has the correct outcome. My prediction is that their prediction will change as soon as Hillary wins the primary.
NurseJackie
(42,862 posts)rjsquirrel
(4,762 posts)The "University" doesn't predict anything.
Some people at a university did.
As a Bernie fan, this is getting silly. Predictions are cheap.
littlewolf
(3,813 posts)as noted predictions are cheap, and sometimes cheesy.
thought it might be fun to post this and see what happens.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)I am selling all my earthly goods, which admittedly aren't much, and using the proceeds to to go an offshore gaming site and bet it all on Bernie. I counsel everybody who believes in their prediction as I do to follow me.