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Drunken Irishman

(34,857 posts)
Tue Aug 21, 2012, 09:00 PM Aug 2012

The fact Romney still hasn't been able to overtake Obama in most polls has to be concerning...

This election is almost over. We've got a bit over two months and let's be honest, by early October, the race almost always sets and if you're down at that point, you're probably going to lose. August was a tailor-made month for Romney - he picked his VP & is having his convention. So far, he's barely moved the needle and continues to trail Obama in almost every poll nationally. On July 21st, Obama's average lead over Romney was 1.2%. Today? It's 2.7%. Romney has actually lost ground.

If I'm working for Romney's campaign, I'm looking at these numbers and wondering when my candidate makes his move. It has to be at the convention because I guarantee you if Romney comes out of Tampa still without a lead over Obama, he's done. This race will be over. If he can't take the lead after his own personal week-long campaign advertisement, he ain't gonna take it in September or October and he certainly isn't going to take it in November...well I should tack on an 'unless' to that - unless something out his control happens. You know, an Obama gaffe (unlikely), an economic collapse (unlikely) or some unforeseen event that could dramatically bolster his campaign.

But you can't count on those unknowns. They rarely happen. So, his chance is this week and next and if he can't get it done then, he ain't gonna get it done at all.

It's a stark reality that has to leave him and his campaign concerned. I know I would be if I was a Romney supporter.

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The fact Romney still hasn't been able to overtake Obama in most polls has to be concerning... (Original Post) Drunken Irishman Aug 2012 OP
All Romney needs is to be close in a few key swing states. subterranean Aug 2012 #1
Add Wisconsin MightyMopar Aug 2012 #2
I am concerned because the lead for Obama is not that great and they have more money, are doing still_one Aug 2012 #3
Well the Corporate Media and even liberal commentators like Ed Schultz are citing the Gallup Poll Liberal_Stalwart71 Aug 2012 #4
Rmoney is still sitting on a HUUUUUUUGE reserve of cash. There is still work to be done. NT Grown2Hate Aug 2012 #5
Yeah Cosmocat Aug 2012 #6

subterranean

(3,427 posts)
1. All Romney needs is to be close in a few key swing states.
Tue Aug 21, 2012, 09:16 PM
Aug 2012

Vote suppression and black box voting will take care of the rest. Republicans are already hard at work on that in Florida, Pennsylvania and Ohio.

still_one

(92,060 posts)
3. I am concerned because the lead for Obama is not that great and they have more money, are doing
Tue Aug 21, 2012, 09:32 PM
Aug 2012

Everything to keep people from voting, and the MSM for the most part gives them more exposure

 

Liberal_Stalwart71

(20,450 posts)
4. Well the Corporate Media and even liberal commentators like Ed Schultz are citing the Gallup Poll
Tue Aug 21, 2012, 09:55 PM
Aug 2012

which has Romney up and has been trending Romney for a few weeks.

So, yes, depending on the poll, Romney hasn't taken Obama.

Cosmocat

(14,558 posts)
6. Yeah
Wed Aug 22, 2012, 07:28 AM
Aug 2012

we have the convention, when regardless of how robotic and clueless he will be, the media WILL try to give Romney a big boost, then tout that as the evidence that he is making a move.

The quick turnaround to the D convention and him being the train wreck he is, should bring it back to about a draw.

But, as others noted, they have a boatload of cash, and you will see HUNDREDS of millions poured into the "swing" states, and the voter suppression and and possible september/october issues.

I like BOs' chances, you are right that as of now, it is pretty much a baked cake, but at the same time they have played the long game and have the resources to make that late move.

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