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Thu Aug 16, 2012, 04:37 PM

CNN: Wisconsin now "toss-up" state (Obama +1 right now)

http://www.cnn.com/video/#/video/bestoftv/2012/08/16/exp-tsr-king-wisconsin-toss-up.cnn?hpt=hp_bn4


How long do you suppose this will last, though?

6 replies, 1309 views

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Reply CNN: Wisconsin now "toss-up" state (Obama +1 right now) (Original post)
Proud Liberal Dem Aug 2012 OP
Arkana Aug 2012 #1
Blue Owl Aug 2012 #2
My Pet Goat Aug 2012 #3
Proud Liberal Dem Aug 2012 #4
Tx4obama Aug 2012 #5
Samantha Aug 2012 #6

Response to Proud Liberal Dem (Original post)

Thu Aug 16, 2012, 04:38 PM

1. More fair and balanced goodness from CNN.

It won't last long. Obama will win Wisconsin, even if it's not by as much as he did in 2008.

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Response to Proud Liberal Dem (Original post)

Thu Aug 16, 2012, 04:41 PM

2. Take a fake poll, add a dash of Kathy Nickolaus in November, and PRESTO!

The Republicans have successfully lied, cheated, and stolen their way to office yet again.

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Response to Proud Liberal Dem (Original post)

Thu Aug 16, 2012, 04:44 PM

3. +1 ? I think you fell for CNN's horse race slant....

It is Obama +4.

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Response to My Pet Goat (Reply #3)

Thu Aug 16, 2012, 04:53 PM

4. I'm just reporting what's on the board via TPM Poll Tracker

n/t

It's another matter as to whether I believe it or not. Right now, the polling is so fluid.

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Response to Proud Liberal Dem (Original post)

Thu Aug 16, 2012, 05:07 PM

5. New poll: CNN/Opinion Research - Obama 49, Romney 45 (Obama +4)


Wisconsin: Romney vs. Obama

CNN/Opinion Research Obama 49, Romney 45 Obama +4

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/

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Response to Proud Liberal Dem (Original post)

Thu Aug 16, 2012, 05:19 PM

6. Okay, so I decided to check out Nate Silver's analysis

Here is the link:

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/author/nate-silver/
(updated yesterday, August 15)

Check out: the 538 forecast.

But in particular, two things make me really smile: State-by-State Probabilities

Massachusetts (yes, I know -- but I felt a sudden urge to see where its former Governor stands) -- 98.9 percent chance of Obama win. This leads me to think the Republican opponent does not realize this state does not think quite as much of Romney's record as Governor there as Romney does. The second smile? Maryland (the state where I live) 100% chance of Obama win. I know I live in the right state for my own comfort zone. If I leave, I should head out for Vermont.

He has Florida at 54.7 Obama win. And Wisconsin, 80.9 percent Obama win (nice going, Ryan!)

Sam

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