2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumColorado poll: Obama and Romney tied among likely voters (Rasmussen)
47%-47%
Conducted yesterday (August 6): http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/colorado/election_2012_colorado_president
JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)bigdarryl
(13,190 posts)JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)grantcart
(53,061 posts)JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)McCain had similar trends, got close, maybe a 1 or 2 point win in a given poll, but Obama won the vast majority, and his margins got up to 8, 9, 10 at times.
Romney is not winning CO.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)He knows CO is critical so he is doing his best to make it appear a toss up.
Politicalboi
(15,189 posts)I guess it's Guns not Bongs for you. I know it's still early, and it is Rasmussen after all. Probably wrong.
grantcart
(53,061 posts)Broderick
(4,578 posts)Seems it is always close there, but with Ras you can assume it's more like a 2 point lead for Obama. All within the margin of error.
I don't see Obama losing Colorado.
bluestateguy
(44,173 posts)And that is about where I would expect things to be in CO.
Let's wait and see what the reputable pollsters say.
Jim__
(14,063 posts)50% more voters than the Rasmussen poll - http://www.democraticunderground.com/125165405
thevoiceofreason
(3,440 posts)Except the # of undecideds droppedfrom 10 to 6%.
ailsagirl
(22,887 posts)was pointed out:
"Rasmussen Reports, which is the house pollster for Fox News..."
http://electoral-vote.com/evp2012/Info/rasmussen.html
That's all I have to hear.
progressivebydesign
(19,458 posts)What do they use? Fax machines? Carrier pigeons?
DCBob
(24,689 posts)Last edited Tue Aug 7, 2012, 08:27 PM - Edit history (1)
at least you could have put a disclaimer.
center rising
(971 posts)fujiyama
(15,185 posts)It was one of the few states, where a Democrat actually won a statewide election in 2010 (winning the Senate seat).
Demographics have changed dramatically over the years. While the margin won't be 2008 (what was it 10 points?), I think he'll win it by a comfortable 5. For the same reason, I think he'll take VA. NC is a bit trickier, but there too, demographic shifts in large part due to Latinos and transplants, will make it competitive to the end. These states are the new battlegrounds. We're well beyond the '00 and '04 maps, which is a very sign.