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Tue Aug 7, 2012, 01:50 PM

 

Colorado poll: Obama and Romney tied among likely voters (Rasmussen)

47%-47%

Conducted yesterday (August 6): http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2012/election_2012_presidential_election/colorado/election_2012_colorado_president

18 replies, 1694 views

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Reply Colorado poll: Obama and Romney tied among likely voters (Rasmussen) (Original post)
Marzupialis Aug 2012 OP
JoePhilly Aug 2012 #1
bigdarryl Aug 2012 #4
JoePhilly Aug 2012 #9
grantcart Aug 2012 #2
JoePhilly Aug 2012 #8
DCBob Aug 2012 #15
JoePhilly Aug 2012 #16
Politicalboi Aug 2012 #3
grantcart Aug 2012 #5
Broderick Aug 2012 #6
bluestateguy Aug 2012 #7
Jim__ Aug 2012 #10
thevoiceofreason Aug 2012 #11
ailsagirl Aug 2012 #12
progressivebydesign Aug 2012 #13
DCBob Aug 2012 #14
center rising Aug 2012 #17
fujiyama Aug 2012 #18

Response to Marzupialis (Original post)

Tue Aug 7, 2012, 01:56 PM

1. Which means Obama is up 4%.

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Response to JoePhilly (Reply #1)

Tue Aug 7, 2012, 01:57 PM

4. Yep you beat me to it

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Response to bigdarryl (Reply #4)

Tue Aug 7, 2012, 02:03 PM

9. Itchy trigger finger :-)

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Response to grantcart (Reply #2)

Tue Aug 7, 2012, 02:02 PM

8. Romney not leading in even one poll.

McCain had similar trends, got close, maybe a 1 or 2 point win in a given poll, but Obama won the vast majority, and his margins got up to 8, 9, 10 at times.

Romney is not winning CO.

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Response to JoePhilly (Reply #8)

Tue Aug 7, 2012, 08:29 PM

15. Perfect example of the Rasmussen RW fudge factor.

He knows CO is critical so he is doing his best to make it appear a toss up.

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Response to DCBob (Reply #15)

Tue Aug 7, 2012, 08:38 PM

16. exactly.

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Response to Marzupialis (Original post)

Tue Aug 7, 2012, 01:56 PM

3. Well Colorado

I guess it's Guns not Bongs for you. I know it's still early, and it is Rasmussen after all. Probably wrong.

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Response to Marzupialis (Original post)

Tue Aug 7, 2012, 01:58 PM

5. and here are PPP tweets showing unchanged results in their new poll

http://twitter.com/ppppolls

probably out tomorrow.

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Response to Marzupialis (Original post)

Tue Aug 7, 2012, 01:59 PM

6. Doesn't surprise me it's close there

Seems it is always close there, but with Ras you can assume it's more like a 2 point lead for Obama. All within the margin of error.

I don't see Obama losing Colorado.

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Response to Marzupialis (Original post)

Tue Aug 7, 2012, 02:00 PM

7. Tack on +5 to Obama because it is a Rasmussen poll

And that is about where I would expect things to be in CO.

Let's wait and see what the reputable pollsters say.

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Response to Marzupialis (Original post)

Tue Aug 7, 2012, 02:14 PM

10. New PPP poll - Obama up by 6% in Colorado.

50% more voters than the Rasmussen poll - http://www.democraticunderground.com/125165405

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Response to Marzupialis (Original post)

Tue Aug 7, 2012, 02:33 PM

11. Interesting - no change in Razzy 2 months

Except the # of undecideds droppedfrom 10 to 6%.

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Response to Marzupialis (Original post)

Tue Aug 7, 2012, 03:43 PM

12. I'm inclined to NOT believe Rasmussen, as

was pointed out:

"Rasmussen Reports, which is the house pollster for Fox News..."

http://electoral-vote.com/evp2012/Info/rasmussen.html

That's all I have to hear.

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Response to Marzupialis (Original post)

Tue Aug 7, 2012, 04:43 PM

13. Another Assmussen poll? Have they ever been right about anything?

What do they use? Fax machines? Carrier pigeons?

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Response to Marzupialis (Original post)

Tue Aug 7, 2012, 05:04 PM

14. Why do you even post this trash??

Last edited Tue Aug 7, 2012, 08:27 PM - Edit history (1)

at least you could have put a disclaimer.

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Response to Marzupialis (Original post)

Tue Aug 7, 2012, 11:28 PM

17. The House of Ras is totally unreliable

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Response to Marzupialis (Original post)

Wed Aug 8, 2012, 12:28 AM

18. I would be really surprised if Obama loses CO

It was one of the few states, where a Democrat actually won a statewide election in 2010 (winning the Senate seat).

Demographics have changed dramatically over the years. While the margin won't be 2008 (what was it 10 points?), I think he'll win it by a comfortable 5. For the same reason, I think he'll take VA. NC is a bit trickier, but there too, demographic shifts in large part due to Latinos and transplants, will make it competitive to the end. These states are the new battlegrounds. We're well beyond the '00 and '04 maps, which is a very sign.

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