Thu Aug 2, 2012, 09:27 AM
WI_DEM (32,875 posts)
Obama is up by 8 in Connecticut (PPP)
Barack Obama doesn't appear to be in any danger of actually losing Connecticut this fall, but it might be up there for the state where he falls the furthest from 2008. PPP's newest poll finds him ahead by just 8 points there, 51-43. He won it by 23 points against John McCain.
There are a couple of groups in particular that Obama's struggling with that are leading to the close race in the state. Only 41% of independents approve of the job he's doing to 53% who disapprove, and as a result he trails Romney47-40 with that group. He's also doing poorly with white voters, trailing Romney 48-46. You see the extent of Obama's issues with white voters when he's not winning them even in New England states.
Obama has a narrowly positive approval rating in Connecticut with 50% of voters approving of him to 46% who disapprove. The race in the state might be even closer if not for the fact that Romney is pretty unpopular there, with only 41% of voters rating him favorably to 53% with a negative opinion.
It speaks to Condoleezza Rice's unique appeal that even in a strongly Democratic state like Connecticut she has a 57/32 favorability rating. She's at 73/21 with Republicans, 55/32 with independents, and 46/40 even with Democrats. If she was on the ticket she'd pull Romney to within 5 points of Obama in the state, 48-43.
To those who think PPP is just a partisan hack democratic pollster, they have been pretty hard on Obama this time around. Even when he is leading they always add a little something of how he is struggling compared to 2008. And they always seems to be pushing Condi. Every poll they do shows how Condi cuts into an Obama lead and helps Mitt if she is added to the ticket.
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Response to WI_DEM (Original post)
Thu Aug 2, 2012, 10:41 AM
Robbins (2,921 posts)
4. Here's the problem
I seriously doudt the VP selection will matter much If at all.There Is no modern proof of VP choice changing people's oporion.
expecilly for a unlikably guy like Romney.