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Wed Aug 1, 2012, 11:39 AM

 

Larry Sabato skeptical on today's Quinnipiac polls

He tweets: "Today's Q polls in OH, FL too pro-Obama. Their recent one in VA underestimated Obama vote (b/c of low minority %). What gives?"

https://twitter.com/LarrySabato/status/230683163536523264

8 replies, 1638 views

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Reply Larry Sabato skeptical on today's Quinnipiac polls (Original post)
Marzupialis Aug 2012 OP
Cognitive_Resonance Aug 2012 #1
WI_DEM Aug 2012 #2
Proud Liberal Dem Aug 2012 #8
Jennicut Aug 2012 #3
WI_DEM Aug 2012 #4
LineLineNew Reply Q
Robbins Aug 2012 #6
Proud Liberal Dem Aug 2012 #5
JHogan Aug 2012 #7

Response to Marzupialis (Original post)

Wed Aug 1, 2012, 11:54 AM

1. I think we're seeing the results of Romney's disastrous trip overseas. Imagery is critical, and he

looks like a Bozo.

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Response to Marzupialis (Original post)

Wed Aug 1, 2012, 11:59 AM

2. We Ask America also had Obama up at 8-points

they even went back in the field to verify it and it showed no change. I don't think Obama being up 6-8 points in Ohio is out of the question. Clearly, the president has been targeting the state with TV ads and appearances. His attacks on Bain appear to be working.

That said I don't necessarily put it past them to make this survey a tad more democratic in leaning so that their next polling after the GOP convention will be adjusted and suddenly show Romney gaining ground.

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Response to WI_DEM (Reply #2)

Wed Aug 1, 2012, 01:16 PM

8. Didn't they even say that REPUBLICANS were moving toward President Obama?

That's fairly significant IMHO and it shouldn't be unusual that other polls would reflect that as well.

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Response to Marzupialis (Original post)

Wed Aug 1, 2012, 12:01 PM

3. Quinnipiac is out of Connecticut and they have always had good results here.

They predicted the Gov race and other races very accurately here in CT. I have never heard of them being a bad poll. Sabato is an idiot. Just accept the fact that Romney is tanking.

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Response to Marzupialis (Original post)

Wed Aug 1, 2012, 12:03 PM

4. apparently he doesn't have a problem with the PA poll?

if so, great! It would be nice if we didn't have to spend a lot of time and $$ on PA.

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Response to WI_DEM (Reply #4)

Wed Aug 1, 2012, 12:24 PM

6. Q

The pundits don't their polls when they help their memo of close race.

Plus this Is likely voter polls.Remember all this talk Likely voter poll would doom Obama.

After some badmouth PPP's polling someone on right will want to use their polls since their likely voter poll has Obama up by 1.

And this all shows the bain stradegy has worked.

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Response to Marzupialis (Original post)

Wed Aug 1, 2012, 12:23 PM

5. Is he equally skeptical of polls potentially being "too-pro-Romney"?



Or is he unable to accept the possibilities that Romney is a bad candidate and/or that President Obama's defeat at the polls in November is NOT a foregone conclusion.

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Response to Marzupialis (Original post)

Wed Aug 1, 2012, 01:03 PM

7. Someone

sounds mad

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