HomeLatest ThreadsGreatest ThreadsForums & GroupsMy SubscriptionsMy Posts
DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Main » Politics 2014 (Forum) » Good sign? The Obama ca...

Mon Jul 30, 2012, 11:47 AM

Good sign? The Obama campaign has stopped buying ads in Pennsylvania


A campaign only stops buying ads in a state when they are pretty sure they will win it, or pretty sure they will lose it.


I doubt that the Obama campaign feels that PA is a lost cause.... so I am guessing their internal polling in the state has been very good lately.


According to MSNBC' First Read:


*** Obama camp stops its PA ad spending, for now: By the way, the Obama campaign is no longer advertising in Pennsylvania -- at least for now. We’ll have more information on all the ad spending later. But their latest buy has them in 8 states: FL, VA, NH, OH, IA, NV, CO and NC.



5 of those 8 states were Red states in 2004. 7 of them werte Red states in 2000.


The Obama campaign is on offense, folks.

32 replies, 3613 views

Reply to this thread

Back to top Alert abuse

Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
Replies to this discussion thread
Arrow 32 replies Author Time Post
Reply Good sign? The Obama campaign has stopped buying ads in Pennsylvania (Original post)
scheming daemons Jul 2012 OP
Proud Liberal Dem Jul 2012 #1
HopeHoops Jul 2012 #2
elleng Jul 2012 #13
HopeHoops Jul 2012 #16
Politicalboi Jul 2012 #27
HopeHoops Jul 2012 #32
JustAnotherGen Jul 2012 #3
RedSpartan Jul 2012 #4
treestar Jul 2012 #5
elleng Jul 2012 #12
MADem Jul 2012 #17
cheezmaka Jul 2012 #22
Hawaii Hiker Jul 2012 #6
speedoo Jul 2012 #7
cap Jul 2012 #8
elleng Jul 2012 #10
elleng Jul 2012 #9
LiberalFighter Jul 2012 #26
Robbins Jul 2012 #11
qwlauren35 Jul 2012 #14
Liberal_Stalwart71 Jul 2012 #23
Wounded Bear Jul 2012 #15
Igel Jul 2012 #18
Drunken Irishman Jul 2012 #19
AlinPA Jul 2012 #20
mvd Jul 2012 #25
yortsed snacilbuper Jul 2012 #21
cheezmaka Jul 2012 #24
bluestateguy Jul 2012 #28
DFW Jul 2012 #29
Jessy169 Jul 2012 #31
hrmjustin Jul 2012 #30

Response to scheming daemons (Original post)

Mon Jul 30, 2012, 11:52 AM

1. I would assume that they feel good about it

I can't remember any polling that was looking extremely good for Mitt there. The fact that Republicans have been pretty brazen about the fact that- at least for them- their Voter ID law was about electing Romney is pretty disconcerting, however.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to scheming daemons (Original post)

Mon Jul 30, 2012, 11:56 AM

2. I'd say it's a good sign. The state is heavily red in areas, but rMoney is not liked here.

 

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to HopeHoops (Reply #2)

Mon Jul 30, 2012, 12:50 PM

13. What about voter ID, Hope?

How's that playing? People who THINK they have ID and who DON'T? Can we wait for decision from court(s?)

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to elleng (Reply #13)

Mon Jul 30, 2012, 01:10 PM

16. That's up to the courts now, but it's looking positive.

 

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to HopeHoops (Reply #16)

Mon Jul 30, 2012, 10:48 PM

27. You have to still know

That the Repukes will still play their games at the polls, and some will be turned or scared away. I hope team Obama knows what they are doing. Maybe they will go back to ads in Pa in October.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Politicalboi (Reply #27)

Tue Jul 31, 2012, 09:40 AM

32. Good news. The article in today's Patriot-News says they entered Turzai's comments into the record.

 

He's the one who said at a Republican fundraiser that the voter ID law was going to allow rMoney to win PA. The move to put it in the record was to point out that the Republicans aren't even trying to hide the fact that they passed the law strictly for political reasons to exclude likely Obama voters.

The on-line edition of the paper only has a short segment of the print version and doesn't mention that part.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to scheming daemons (Original post)

Mon Jul 30, 2012, 11:57 AM

3. Yeah

And it also looks like someone in the campaign is thinking that the PA disenfranchisement law is not going to stand up in court . ..

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to JustAnotherGen (Reply #3)

Mon Jul 30, 2012, 11:59 AM

4. I hope so. The voter ID laws have me concerned.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to scheming daemons (Original post)

Mon Jul 30, 2012, 12:04 PM

5. Use the money to get voter IDs rather than ads maybe

That'd be wise.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to treestar (Reply #5)

Mon Jul 30, 2012, 12:48 PM

12. VERY wise,

help PA people get to voter ID places, inform those who think they HAVE ID that they don't, etc.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to treestar (Reply #5)

Mon Jul 30, 2012, 01:36 PM

17. +1,000 nt

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to treestar (Reply #5)

Mon Jul 30, 2012, 09:54 PM

22. Sounds like a Winner

Actually the National Action Network have volunteers in PA doing all they can to "spread the word" to voters about the effect of the Voter ID law and the need for State Govt issued id...

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink



Response to Hawaii Hiker (Reply #6)

Mon Jul 30, 2012, 12:37 PM

7. Very solid poll #'s.

But that margin is not big enough to consider PA safe, unless there is other info that says MittWitt can't win there.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to scheming daemons (Original post)

Mon Jul 30, 2012, 12:40 PM

8. not a good sign

Rmoney has Money. Obama needs to conserve his cash for the onslaught by the Death Star in the fall.

Hate to say it folks but we gotta quit snarkin' and we gotta start sending dough. I am going to make some of those horrible campaign calls soon. I really hate phone banking but I do wonder if we are getting a Kerry redux.

Clueless candidate on the other side. We get our yucks by poking fun at him and then we lose the election.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to cap (Reply #8)

Mon Jul 30, 2012, 12:46 PM

10. With you, cap,

and did phone banking this weekend. Sending $ next week, for POTUS and cantor's opponent.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to scheming daemons (Original post)

Mon Jul 30, 2012, 12:43 PM

9. I wouldn't read any 'signs' at this point.

Still receiving solicitations, from POTUS and DCCC, etc, and I think its WAY to early. MOST of the 'important' voters, Independents and undecided, probably not paying attention.

AND there's the tampering PA repugs are doing w voting registration.

NOT breathing comfortably until November.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to elleng (Reply #9)

Mon Jul 30, 2012, 10:46 PM

26. I wouldn't breathe easy either.

I'm sure the campaign will be back in Pennsylvania when they figure the time is right to be. Probably right after the convention they will change their plan again. And wouldn't Romney in the news be just as good as for Obama as having their own ads?

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to scheming daemons (Original post)

Mon Jul 30, 2012, 12:47 PM

11. Also

Consider where Obama Isn't spending money

West-New Mexico
Midwest-Minnesotta,Wisconsin,Michigan

Let's deal where Obama Is focusing money on

West-Nevada(Lost to both Gore and Kerry) Colorado(Clinton In 1996+Gore and Kerry Lost)
Midwest-Iowa(State Gore won but Kerry lost) Ohio(Lost to both Gore and Kerry)
Northeast-NH(Gore lost but Kerry won)
South-Virginia(Obama first dem since LBJ to win) NC(Obama first Democrat since 1976 Carter to win) and Florida(Stolen from Gore
and lost by Kerry)

If Obama wins Co,NV,IA,and NH he wins election even If Romney wins Ohio,and Florida.Not that I think Romney will win both.

And Obama doesn't think NC Is lost cause like some think.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to scheming daemons (Original post)

Mon Jul 30, 2012, 01:02 PM

14. Here in Maryland, we're still making trips to PA.

And I don't see us stopping.

Ads aren't the only way to win an election.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to qwlauren35 (Reply #14)

Mon Jul 30, 2012, 09:59 PM

23. Marylander here. We're also working hard in Virginia. I am confidence that the Obama team know what

they're doing.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to scheming daemons (Original post)

Mon Jul 30, 2012, 01:04 PM

15. "For now".....

I seriously doubt he's totally abandoning PA yet.

So far their plan has been working at keeping WMitt off balance. Moving to formerly red states makes sense. If they can get the Repubs spread out too thin fighting on defense it could work out to offset the money advantage and be a big plus down the road.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to scheming daemons (Original post)

Mon Jul 30, 2012, 06:33 PM

18. Looks like ads for the last month have been ineffectual.

Status quo, probably to close to call if historical patterns persist this November.

Move on, come back when the ads are fresh and people are paying attention.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to scheming daemons (Original post)

Mon Jul 30, 2012, 07:34 PM

19. FOX News spin: OBAMA CONCEDES PENNSYLVANIA

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to scheming daemons (Original post)

Mon Jul 30, 2012, 08:54 PM

20. Not a good move. The voter suppression will take away a lot of votes. We need all the help

we can get here. Romney's billions from SuperPACs will hit us hard- they have been running ads for two or more months here.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to AlinPA (Reply #20)

Mon Jul 30, 2012, 10:45 PM

25. Well, I just saw an Obama ad on Channel 10 in Philly

Does this news mean they are stopping soon? That voter ID law worries me a lot. I think if Romney happens to win, the result should be challenged due to the suppression.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to scheming daemons (Original post)

Mon Jul 30, 2012, 09:02 PM

21. Obama will win Pennsylvania,

I guarantee it!

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to yortsed snacilbuper (Reply #21)

Mon Jul 30, 2012, 10:03 PM

24. I hope you're right

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to scheming daemons (Original post)

Mon Jul 30, 2012, 11:00 PM

28. Then I want Missouri back on the block again

You can't win a state if you don't try.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to scheming daemons (Original post)

Mon Jul 30, 2012, 11:39 PM

29. Take this as a sign that the Obama camp is keeping a close eye on ALL battleground states

Including PA. I was down in DC last Friday for a meeting with, among others, very top members of the
Obama campaign, and they are keeping close watch on every single battleground state, and allocating
their resources every bit as strategically as the Republican opposition. Some battleground states are
being saturated with as many as 40--as in FORTY--anti-Obama ads a DAY. Republicans troll DU, so
I won't get specific, but they know lots of stuff they don't say to the media, and they have statistics
that are as good (and hopefully as accurate or more so) as those Frank Luntz has.

Yes, we'll get outspent. That has been calculated into the equation. No, we can't afford a 50 state
strategy this election, at least not on a national scale. They know we'll not carry Oklahoma or Alabama,
but what else is new? Everybody knows that--THIS time at least. This time, we just need to win, get
justices on the Supreme Court who will listen to challenges to Citizens United and overturn it. For this,
we need the Senate, not the House.

The Republicans will pour insane amounts of money against us. We can't match it. But we can throw insane
amounts of numbers and dedication back at them. Their candidate is not fit to be president. Nor was their
candidate in 2000. In 2000, we didn't point that out enough. This time we will. The offense will continue
through election day. I'm not giving anything away by saying that.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to DFW (Reply #29)

Mon Jul 30, 2012, 11:56 PM

31. I love that fighting spirit!

oooh-rahhh!

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to scheming daemons (Original post)

Mon Jul 30, 2012, 11:41 PM

30. they must think they will win the court case. n/t

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink

Reply to this thread