Tue Jul 17, 2012, 06:19 PM

DCBob (14,773 posts)

WMUR Granite State (NH) Poll: Obama 49 Romney 45

DURHAM, N.H. - Despite more Granite Staters disapproving of the job he has done, President Barack Obama still holds a slim lead over Republican Mitt Romney in a new poll.

The WMUR Granite State Poll shows that 49 percent of likely New Hampshire voters said they will vote for Obama, compared to 45 percent who plan to vote for Romney. In April, Obama held a 9-point lead over Romney.

The poll of 521 New Hampshire adults was conducted by the University of New Hampshire Survey Center by landline and cellphone from July 5 through July 15. The margin of sampling error for the survey is plus or minus 4.3 percentage points.

Read more: http://www.wmur.com/news/politics/Poll-shows-race-tightening-for-president/-/9857748/15576784/-/yxcpoq/-/index.html

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My comments:

NH is a bit of bellweather for independents/moderates. A 4 point lead is good news to me.

10 replies, 1002 views

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10 replies	Author	Time	Post
WMUR Granite State (NH) Poll: Obama 49 Romney 45 (Original post)	DCBob	Jul 2012	OP
I'm glad he's leading, but he was up 51-42 in their last poll...	Drunken Irishman	Jul 2012	#1
Yeah, but I wouldnt expect Obama to win NH again easily like in 2008	DCBob	Jul 2012	#2
Dems have won NH 4 out of the last presidential 5 elections	Marzupialis	Jul 2012	#4
Oh, I think he is going to win NH just not by double digits.	DCBob	Jul 2012	#5
and read this..	DCBob	Jul 2012	#6
That article doesn't say NH is right-leaning	Marzupialis	Jul 2012	#9
article title: "Obama to face a more right-leaning N.H."	DCBob	Jul 2012	#10
New Hampshire is hardly a lock for Democrats.	Daniel537	Jul 2012	#8
Hey, that was the pollster that called me last week!	mikeargo	Jul 2012	#3
Good news....	Wounded Bear	Jul 2012	#7

Response to DCBob (Original post)

Tue Jul 17, 2012, 06:22 PM

Drunken Irishman (24,587 posts)

1. I'm glad he's leading, but he was up 51-42 in their last poll...

So, he's lost significant support it appears.

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Response to Drunken Irishman (Reply #1)

Tue Jul 17, 2012, 06:27 PM

DCBob (14,773 posts)

2. Yeah, but I wouldnt expect Obama to win NH again easily like in 2008

Historically NH tends to be an R leaning state so being up by 4 is not bad at this point... imo.

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Response to DCBob (Reply #2)

Sat Jul 21, 2012, 08:43 AM

Marzupialis (398 posts)

4. Dems have won NH 4 out of the last presidential 5 elections

Last edited Sat Jul 21, 2012, 08:43 AM USA/ET - Edit history (1)

Their Republican-leaning ways are a thing of the past. You're a little behind.

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Response to Marzupialis (Reply #4)

Sat Jul 21, 2012, 09:35 AM

DCBob (14,773 posts)

5. Oh, I think he is going to win NH just not by double digits.

Whats with the snark??

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Response to Marzupialis (Reply #4)

Sat Jul 21, 2012, 09:47 AM

DCBob (14,773 posts)

6. and read this..

http://articles.boston.com/2011-11-22/news/30429964_1_granite-state-voters-new-hampshire-mitt-romney

so you dont get "behind" as well.

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Response to DCBob (Reply #6)

Sun Jul 22, 2012, 02:47 AM

Marzupialis (398 posts)

9. That article doesn't say NH is right-leaning

Last edited Sun Jul 22, 2012, 02:48 AM USA/ET - Edit history (2)

We're talking about Presidential elections, yet your "evidence" to back up the claim that NH is right-leaning is an article that states that NH is relatively more right-leaning now than it was in 2008 (as is the case in many states because Obama vs. McCain was not a tight contest).

NH is not a Republican-leaning state when it comes to Presidential elections. You are many years behind.

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Response to Marzupialis (Reply #9)

Sun Jul 22, 2012, 07:21 AM

DCBob (14,773 posts)

10. article title: "Obama to face a more right-leaning N.H."

LOL.

Here let me make it very easy to understand..

Suppose we had selected a weak candidate and the Republicans had nominated a more reasonable candidate that wasnt a complete idiot like Romney. In that scenario I think NH would be the only state that might be in danger of going R of all the NE states. Is that simple enough for you?

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Response to Marzupialis (Reply #4)

Sat Jul 21, 2012, 01:46 PM

Daniel537 (1,044 posts)

8. New Hampshire is hardly a lock for Democrats.

As recently as 2004, Kerry won NH by a mere 1.4%, when he basically had home court advantage living right next door. And of course in 2010 the teabagger Ayotte won her Senate race by more than 20%, and we lost both House seats. Dems would be foolish to take things for granted in that state.

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Response to DCBob (Original post)

Tue Jul 17, 2012, 07:50 PM

mikeargo (319 posts)

3. Hey, that was the pollster that called me last week!

I told them I strongly support the President.

Lots of questions about health care, too.

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Response to DCBob (Original post)

Sat Jul 21, 2012, 11:52 AM

Wounded Bear (2,887 posts)

7. Good news....

Not a lot of electoral votes, but yeah, somewhat of a bell weather for indies.

By rights, Pres Obama should be winning by a landslide, but I'll take any win.

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