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cali

(114,904 posts)
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 12:01 PM Aug 2015

By 61% to 34% voters in the newest Quinnipiac poll say Hillary is not honest

or trustworthy. That's even worse than Trump.

I don't think she's as admired or beloved as many of her supporters do.

Her favorable ratings is awful and the undeniable trend is clear

You can bla
me it on right wing attacks or the MSM or pernicious progressives or whatever, but it's a big problem.

http://www.ctpost.com/news/article/Q-poll-Trump-numbers-soar-Hillary-continues-6468552.php

116 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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By 61% to 34% voters in the newest Quinnipiac poll say Hillary is not honest (Original Post) cali Aug 2015 OP
it brings another word to mind....vulnerable virtualobserver Aug 2015 #1
I like your sig graphic and have a bumper sticker you may enjoy Dragonfli Aug 2015 #8
You can't defend yourself from smears when only ~34% believe you. Motown_Johnny Aug 2015 #2
In 2008, Obama said: "47 percent of the country against her. That's a hard place to start if you leveymg Aug 2015 #58
I saw this bumpersticker this morning roguevalley Aug 2015 #90
That's only because you can't trust her. morningfog Aug 2015 #3
Yawn ismnotwasm Aug 2015 #4
Quinnipiac poll is a respectable polling organization. MBS Aug 2015 #6
Many people would love it to be a "big problem", but it really isn't nor will it ever be. George II Aug 2015 #10
do post evidence of that claim cali Aug 2015 #13
The ballot will simply have the two names and their affilliation: George II Aug 2015 #19
... ismnotwasm Aug 2015 #24
And theres your problem right there Genghis Khan Aug 2015 #34
Because the only way voters could have an opinion about "unfavorability" jeff47 Aug 2015 #38
Where do you get that offensive "contempt" angle? Who do I have "contempt" for? George II Aug 2015 #52
It's entirely possible that the ballot will look like that tularetom Aug 2015 #63
Again, going back to the polls, Clinton is leading each of the republicans..... George II Aug 2015 #66
Kery is gonna win in a fucking landslide!! pocoloco Aug 2015 #79
Yes it is. 840high Aug 2015 #37
do tell. what does the MSM have to do with Quinnipiac? cali Aug 2015 #12
Sorry, it's not an enourmous problem -- since you mentioned MSM ismnotwasm Aug 2015 #25
What do you expect after months of relentless attacks moobu2 Aug 2015 #5
And the attacks will stop when she runs in the general?? Paka Aug 2015 #7
She's shown that she can successfully repel the attacks, and has been repelling them for........ George II Aug 2015 #15
She didn't repel them well enough to beat Obama. Lorien Aug 2015 #88
It was a totally different situation in 2008, and even then she barely lost. George II Aug 2015 #93
bwahaha. anyone who thinks that attacks by Sanders supporters cali Aug 2015 #14
Then why do you consistently post anti-Hillary OPs and very few pro-Sanders OPs? George II Aug 2015 #16
that is simply false, and proportionately there are far fucking more Bernie bashing cali Aug 2015 #21
Check your ignore filter Fearless Aug 2015 #28
Ohh those awful Bernie supporters! Fearless Aug 2015 #27
She wouldn't look so awful if the mirror Sanders is holding up to her candidacy weren't so clear. Ed Suspicious Aug 2015 #71
I expect better politics from her, moobu2. she has dragged out the email thing and it roguevalley Aug 2015 #91
Could be why Biden has been in_cog_ni_to Aug 2015 #9
Yet in the matchups, she still defeats the 'pugs, so it isnt the problem you make it out to be. stevenleser Aug 2015 #11
she is within the margin of error cali Aug 2015 #17
She hasn't even started campaigning. I'm not worried. Once there is a GOP nominee and folks get stevenleser Aug 2015 #20
She's been campaigning since 07, if not earlier n/t ram2008 Aug 2015 #31
That's a cute thing to say, but inaccurate. nt stevenleser Aug 2015 #35
So you admit she thinks she can coast to a nomination? Fearless Aug 2015 #32
I'm really not sure how you got that from what I wrote. nt stevenleser Aug 2015 #36
You said she hasn't really started campaigning yet Fearless Aug 2015 #40
Correct, she hasn't. And the "when" is a very good question. stevenleser Aug 2015 #45
She has all the money she needs. Fearless Aug 2015 #47
That you say that shows you really don't understand. nt stevenleser Aug 2015 #49
She didn't lose in 08 for lack of money Fearless Aug 2015 #51
She lost because she ran out of money early because of bad strategy. The same bad strategy caused stevenleser Aug 2015 #54
The mentality that money buys power is foolish Fearless Aug 2015 #55
Use of strawmen is also foolish. And you have done that several times now. nt stevenleser Aug 2015 #56
I stated fact, you changed the subject... Fearless Aug 2015 #59
You haven't stated any facts yet and have deliberately altered what I wrote several times to stevenleser Aug 2015 #68
Bad strategy was running despite her then high negatives (47%), now 13 points higher. Strategy is leveymg Aug 2015 #64
Bad strategy would be running despite the fact that 50% of the country will not vote for you, period stevenleser Aug 2015 #69
A couple months ago, I wrote it was really a 3-way tie between HRC, Jeb, and Sanders. leveymg Aug 2015 #70
Trust her or not, she's still way ahead of her competitors: George II Aug 2015 #95
Obama said she was "likeable enough" 6chars Aug 2015 #101
I wonder what the Hillary supporters are going to do? short circuit Aug 2015 #18
what is denial, Alex? cali Aug 2015 #23
It's Alec, not Alex, and you should apologize for your lack of accuracy here. (Just kidding) Vattel Aug 2015 #114
or the convenient Puzzledtraveller Aug 2015 #30
No worries, according to the many Bagdad Bobs of the HC campaign Puzzledtraveller Aug 2015 #22
And she has all the money! (nt) Ino Aug 2015 #33
and is universally loved by her Facebook and Twitter fans! short circuit Aug 2015 #85
Q poll: Trump numbers soar past Sanders' numbers, Hillary continues to outpoll all onehandle Aug 2015 #26
No one can will in the general with 'honesty issues' such as hers. eom Purveyor Aug 2015 #29
...and a sizeable chunk of those people are willing to vote for her. brooklynite Aug 2015 #39
Sort of depends on the Republican, doesn't it? brooklynite Aug 2015 #41
perhaps, but many are not. cali Aug 2015 #42
I'll go with polls that don't oversample Republicans please ericson00 Aug 2015 #43
Ohh ad homenium attacks are fun! Fearless Aug 2015 #50
The poll did oversample for Rethugs, as Q. polls usually do. pnwmom Aug 2015 #83
This can only go in one direction, prolonged decline. HappyPlace Aug 2015 #44
The problem here HassleCat Aug 2015 #46
Except she is not dishonest.... MaggieD Aug 2015 #61
I know HassleCat Aug 2015 #65
Post removed Post removed Aug 2015 #48
In time that will fester eroding her support and continue her downward trend. AtomicKitten Aug 2015 #53
So I will ask you since Cali hasn't answered.... MaggieD Aug 2015 #57
Point ismnotwasm Aug 2015 #60
That is exactly that - if she's SO bad why is she so far ahead of Sanders and the other candidates? George II Aug 2015 #62
Her support will continue to fade. Hence the Biden talk. morningfog Aug 2015 #67
I would like to see the polling broken down by gender. grasswire Aug 2015 #75
And looks like MaggieD is off the air ... (transparency page is shown) short circuit Aug 2015 #86
And you point this out ismnotwasm Aug 2015 #104
... SidDithers Aug 2015 #111
Welcome to DU. Bobbie Jo Aug 2015 #116
that stinks for the hillary fans retrowire Aug 2015 #72
61% including Republicans sounds really good to me. Whatever the negative comment the Thinkingabout Aug 2015 #73
The news media has been hammering her with the false email story for months. pnwmom Aug 2015 #74
Quite right. MSM and the 90% of talk radio that's RW think this is the only wiggs Aug 2015 #82
Propaganda works! liberal N proud Aug 2015 #76
Who needs propaganda? Lorien Aug 2015 #89
HillaryPublicOpinion.png fbc Aug 2015 #77
Yawn. ismnotwasm Aug 2015 #103
I'd be one of them PatrynXX Aug 2015 #78
That poll interviewed more REPUBLICANS than DEMOCRATS -- which doesn't reflect pnwmom Aug 2015 #80
Your chief complaint is that it used 19 more republicans out of 1,563 total polled? lol. morningfog Aug 2015 #84
When combined with the fact that Dems actually outnumber Rethugs, pnwmom Aug 2015 #87
It is not a "significant flip." morningfog Aug 2015 #92
What were polls on ACA? Benghazi? Gun control? Iran nuke deal? Oh yeah, they were positive BEFORE blm Aug 2015 #81
you know I find it insulting Keep-Left Aug 2015 #94
Welcome to DU, in two regards. First, good you're here. Second, your observation is the trend here George II Aug 2015 #98
Exactly how I feel. And I have been saying it as a longtime HRC critic. blm Aug 2015 #100
Why did you use a totally misleading (I won't say "dishonest") subject line? George II Aug 2015 #96
It's not remotely.dishonest cali Aug 2015 #97
I didn't say it was dishonest, in fact I pointed out that I wasn't GOING to say it's dishonest. George II Aug 2015 #99
I'm not going to call you ironically passive aggressive, but I will say a rose is a rose. Bluenorthwest Aug 2015 #106
Misleading ismnotwasm Aug 2015 #102
No TheFarS1de Aug 2015 #110
Many Sander's supporters, if asked, probably said she is untrustworthy. spyker29 Aug 2015 #105
Hilary - Biden friendfire Aug 2015 #107
Only because she's not, hifiguy Aug 2015 #108
she has billions to spend, and her gender Doctor_J Aug 2015 #109
It's only a flesh wound. Bonobo Aug 2015 #112
The uncertainty of polling Muldoon Aug 2015 #113
Some of this was posted in another thread, so it's not a new idea... Sancho Aug 2015 #115

leveymg

(36,418 posts)
58. In 2008, Obama said: "47 percent of the country against her. That's a hard place to start if you
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 01:42 PM
Aug 2015

want to win an election." She's down another ten to 15 points now. By Nov. 2016, there will be another ten percent who won't vote for her, no matter what. Time for Hillary to step aside while there's still time to sort out a viable Democratic candidate.

roguevalley

(40,656 posts)
90. I saw this bumpersticker this morning
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 03:54 PM
Aug 2015

Life's a b***h
Don't vote for Hillary.

You have to have steel bearings to run for elected office.

ismnotwasm

(41,976 posts)
4. Yawn
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 12:33 PM
Aug 2015

Last edited Thu Aug 27, 2015, 01:30 PM - Edit history (3)

It may be a "big problem" but nowhere near as big as some people make it out to be. Do we like or despise MSM today anyway. I can never keep track.

Oops--had to change a letter

MBS

(9,688 posts)
6. Quinnipiac poll is a respectable polling organization.
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 12:39 PM
Aug 2015

All polling is imperfect, almost by definition, but I personally take their polls seriously.

George II

(67,782 posts)
19. The ballot will simply have the two names and their affilliation:
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 01:01 PM
Aug 2015

Clinton (D0
XXXX (R)

Nowhere on the ballow will there be anything about "unfavorability".

jeff47

(26,549 posts)
38. Because the only way voters could have an opinion about "unfavorability"
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 01:17 PM
Aug 2015

is if it was literally on the ballot.

You have an amazing amount of contempt for the people you need to help you.

George II

(67,782 posts)
52. Where do you get that offensive "contempt" angle? Who do I have "contempt" for?
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 01:36 PM
Aug 2015

Does it have to deteriorate down to the level of insults again????

tularetom

(23,664 posts)
63. It's entirely possible that the ballot will look like that
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 01:57 PM
Aug 2015

But if it does, you should be prepared for President XXXX (R) to take office in Jan 2017.

Clinton could possibly bribe, buy or bully her way to the Democratic nomination, but she will not prevail in the general election.

George II

(67,782 posts)
66. Again, going back to the polls, Clinton is leading each of the republicans.....
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 02:11 PM
Aug 2015

....by a bigger margin than Sanders.

How is Clinton going to "bribe, buy, or bully" her was to the Democratic nomination - the delegates (other than Super delegates) are determined by the voters of each state - the SAME voters who, along with non-Democratic voters, who will be voting in the General Election.

To claim that Clinton will "bribe, buy, or bully" is irresponsible and offensive.

ismnotwasm

(41,976 posts)
25. Sorry, it's not an enourmous problem -- since you mentioned MSM
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 01:06 PM
Aug 2015

I couldn't tell if they were in favor or disfavor today.

George II

(67,782 posts)
15. She's shown that she can successfully repel the attacks, and has been repelling them for........
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 12:58 PM
Aug 2015

.....decades.

I really get a kick out of these "negativity" or "unfavorability" polls. "Unfavorability" won't be on the ballot in November 2016.

As much as some would like to think otherwise, the American electorate can see through all that garbage.

Lorien

(31,935 posts)
88. She didn't repel them well enough to beat Obama.
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 03:37 PM
Aug 2015

I didn't trust her then and I trust her even less now.

 

cali

(114,904 posts)
14. bwahaha. anyone who thinks that attacks by Sanders supporters
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 12:58 PM
Aug 2015

have anything to do with this, isn't living in the real world.

 

cali

(114,904 posts)
21. that is simply false, and proportionately there are far fucking more Bernie bashing
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 01:04 PM
Aug 2015

threads by you Hillary supporters than the other way around. And this isn't bashing. It's not a personal attack on her. It's poll findings.

Fearless

(18,421 posts)
27. Ohh those awful Bernie supporters!
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 01:07 PM
Aug 2015

Save Hillary from those awful opponent's of hers! Reality check, it's a primary and she's not the anointed one.

roguevalley

(40,656 posts)
91. I expect better politics from her, moobu2. she has dragged out the email thing and it
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 03:57 PM
Aug 2015

adds to her negatives. She is a terrible politicer. People will have their perceptions whether anyone feels its 'right' or not. What is she doing to undo that? Nothing. She's just digging that hole deeper every day. If she loses this it will be her own fault because she can't pivot to take things back in hand. If you run for office, that is essential.

in_cog_ni_to

(41,600 posts)
9. Could be why Biden has been
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 12:49 PM
Aug 2015

tossed into the mix. A little less baggage, but still represents everything the DNC wants in a candidate. Surely the DNC has done internal polling. They know Bernie's going to win the Primary unless they can stop him - enter Joe Biden.

 

stevenleser

(32,886 posts)
11. Yet in the matchups, she still defeats the 'pugs, so it isnt the problem you make it out to be.
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 12:52 PM
Aug 2015

That is an opinion that is subject to change. It's not a deeply held belief like, oh let's say, "I would never consider voting for a Socialist" like 50% of the country says now.

 

stevenleser

(32,886 posts)
20. She hasn't even started campaigning. I'm not worried. Once there is a GOP nominee and folks get
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 01:01 PM
Aug 2015

to examine them and what they believe, it's not going to be an issue.

 

stevenleser

(32,886 posts)
45. Correct, she hasn't. And the "when" is a very good question.
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 01:22 PM
Aug 2015

She is clearly trying to avoid the mistakes she made in 2008 where she spent a ton of money way too early and ran out after the first couple of primary contests and also did not build the infrastructure in caucus states past the first two weeks of the primary season.

I think her team is going to have her wait to spend any serious campaign money (and thus not do any serious campaigning) until it is likely to do the most good for her and that may not be for a while.

Fearless

(18,421 posts)
51. She didn't lose in 08 for lack of money
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 01:33 PM
Aug 2015

She had a lack of money because she'd LOST weeks before she quit.

And Sanders has much less money than her... So what's the logic of this argument?

 

stevenleser

(32,886 posts)
54. She lost because she ran out of money early because of bad strategy. The same bad strategy caused
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 01:37 PM
Aug 2015

her campaign to not think it needed an infrastructure in the caucus states past the third week or so.

The US is a massive media environment. A national campaign requires a huge amount of staff. There is no such thing as "enough money". Any money a national candidate gets has to be meticulously managed.

Fearless

(18,421 posts)
59. I stated fact, you changed the subject...
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 01:44 PM
Aug 2015

Rinse and repeat. Insert ad homenium attacks in between. All distractions. No content.

 

stevenleser

(32,886 posts)
68. You haven't stated any facts yet and have deliberately altered what I wrote several times to
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 02:21 PM
Aug 2015

attack points I did not make.

leveymg

(36,418 posts)
64. Bad strategy was running despite her then high negatives (47%), now 13 points higher. Strategy is
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 01:59 PM
Aug 2015

another term for the loss of confidence by key backers that she could win the General Election in 2008. Her prospects are even worse this time, and deteriorating by the day.

You're talking about campaign management, not strategy.

 

stevenleser

(32,886 posts)
69. Bad strategy would be running despite the fact that 50% of the country will not vote for you, period
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 02:22 PM
Aug 2015

That's Sanders, not Hillary.

Everything you wrote is wrong.

leveymg

(36,418 posts)
70. A couple months ago, I wrote it was really a 3-way tie between HRC, Jeb, and Sanders.
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 02:28 PM
Aug 2015

That is, if you calculate powerful and enduring negatives, the "I will never vote for him/her" factor, as I called it. http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251452687 Time is proving me right - a lot of people seem to have woken up to this, including Joe Biden.

Boy, you still really don't get it.

George II

(67,782 posts)
95. Trust her or not, she's still way ahead of her competitors:
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 04:17 PM
Aug 2015

Clinton Sanders Margin
National 49 23 2.1X
Iowa 51 27 1.9X
NH 40 44 0.9X
S Car 78 8 9.8X
N Car 54 21 2.6X
Florida 57 16 3.6X
Ohio 47 17 2.8X

Except for New Hampshire (naturally) she's leading her closest competitor by about 2-1 or more.

If that's the result of people not trusting her, I guess being mistrusted isn't such a bad thing.

6chars

(3,967 posts)
101. Obama said she was "likeable enough"
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 05:36 PM
Aug 2015

I don't expect her to ever win a popularity contest in this country. But people think she is strong, smart, effective. So they don't have to have a beer with her. If she gets the votes, she will be President.

 

short circuit

(145 posts)
18. I wonder what the Hillary supporters are going to do?
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 01:00 PM
Aug 2015

Even more deflection?

More denials? More showing irrelevant national polls showing that Clinton's numbers has not dropped? When was the last time a Democrat got nominated and won with such high unfavorable as Clinton?

 

Vattel

(9,289 posts)
114. It's Alec, not Alex, and you should apologize for your lack of accuracy here. (Just kidding)
Fri Aug 28, 2015, 07:34 AM
Aug 2015

Puzzledtraveller

(5,937 posts)
30. or the convenient
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 01:09 PM
Aug 2015

ignoring of Biden considering a run. Which that goes further in my opinion since Obama expressed his support for a Biden run I think it may very well be likely that there is more and potentially crippling stuff to come of the HC email affair. Biden has been greenlighted by the president. That in and of itself speaks volumes.

Puzzledtraveller

(5,937 posts)
22. No worries, according to the many Bagdad Bobs of the HC campaign
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 01:04 PM
Aug 2015

Everything is fine, she is running a perfect campaign and is putting on a clinic on how to run for president and she tops ALL the polls and has endorsements!

onehandle

(51,122 posts)
26. Q poll: Trump numbers soar past Sanders' numbers, Hillary continues to outpoll all
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 01:07 PM
Aug 2015

Fixed the actual headline of the article you linked to.

You're welcome.

 

ericson00

(2,707 posts)
43. I'll go with polls that don't oversample Republicans please
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 01:21 PM
Aug 2015

and polls not from 3rd rate party schools that need attention bc they can't move up USNWR

pnwmom

(108,977 posts)
83. The poll did oversample for Rethugs, as Q. polls usually do.
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 03:15 PM
Aug 2015

And some DUers choose to repeatedly post these skewed polls for some strange reason.

While Dems lead Rethugs in the overall population, Q polls usually flip the ratio.


http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2274

From August 20 - 25, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,563 registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The survey includes 666 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 3.8 percentage points and 647 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 3.9 percentage points.



http://www.gallup.com/poll/183887/democrats-regain-edge-party-affiliation.aspx

PRINCETON, N.J. -- In the second quarter of 2015, Democrats regained an advantage over Republicans in terms of Americans' party affiliation. A total of 46% of Americans identified as Democrats (30%) or said they are independents who lean toward the Democratic Party (16%), while 41% identified as Republicans (25%) or leaned Republican (16%).

 

HappyPlace

(568 posts)
44. This can only go in one direction, prolonged decline.
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 01:21 PM
Aug 2015

There are no remedies, her "positives" have been so epically overplayed that they're all exhausted.

Everyone has now heard of her, there's nothing left to be done.

Bernie has the advantage, there's a newness to him, the honesty and courage.

This won't, this can't, end well for Hillary Rodham Clinton.

I, for one, am ready for change.

 

HassleCat

(6,409 posts)
46. The problem here
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 01:23 PM
Aug 2015

Obviously, every single Republican respondent is going to list Hillary Clinton as the most untrustworthy person in the race. The hatred for her among Republicans fills the air like farts at a frat party. Among Democrats, her numbers may be slipping, but they're still pretty good. When the polls match her up against any of the Republican candidates, she does pretty well. Yes, I realize Sanders has better "I trust this person" numbers than Clinton, and I like that, but many people will still vote for Clinton even though they don't trust her. This helps Sanders, obviously, but people are still stuck on that, "I like him but he can't win..." thing, and that's OK because we still have some time in the primary season. I hope democrats decide they want a candidate who is honest and consistently stands up for Democratic ideals, but they could still give in to their pragmatic impulses and choose a candidate they don't trust who they feel can win the general election.

 

MaggieD

(7,393 posts)
61. Except she is not dishonest....
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 01:44 PM
Aug 2015

Do you go along with all the other things the right wing smear machine says and does, or just this one? Honest question. No disrespect intended. I am just stunned by how widely supposed Democrats have bought into the rethug smears.

 

HassleCat

(6,409 posts)
65. I know
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 02:09 PM
Aug 2015

As I pointed out, many of these polls include Republicans, every last one of whom is going to name her as the biggest liar on earth. Take them away, and many Democrats still perceive her as dishonest, slippery, conniving, etc. but say they will voter for her. When you compare her with her Republican counterparts, I would say she comes out at least as direct and forthright as any of them. She only suffers by comparison to Sanders, who is known for speaking directly, not beating around the bush, etc. Of course, both candidates have a public image, and part of that image is probably undeserved, because it's... well... image. Sanders is my favorite, but he's not a saint, even though it benefits Clinton's detractors to portray him that way for some added contrast. So this is probably the way in which the Sanders candidacy hurts Clinton the most. It enables this false comparison, this idea that it's a choice between good and evil, a false dichotomy. Without Sanders, Clinton would be more often compared to her Republican rivals, and that would be a more favorable comparison for her. "Hillary Clinton vs. Donald Trump: who do you feel is more trustworthy?"

Response to cali (Original post)

 

MaggieD

(7,393 posts)
57. So I will ask you since Cali hasn't answered....
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 01:42 PM
Aug 2015

What does it say about Bernie if she is still so far ahead of him given this stunning information? I mean WOW, they won't even vote for Bernie over someone they consider to be dishonest? Not a great endorsement for him, is it?

George II

(67,782 posts)
62. That is exactly that - if she's SO bad why is she so far ahead of Sanders and the other candidates?
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 01:53 PM
Aug 2015

And while her lead is presumably "falling" and we were told that the huge lead was because of Sanders' name recognition and the fact that the undecided category was so big. But the undecided voter number is dropping and Sanders has been all over the news the last month or more.

The fact is Hillary Clinton is still the most desirable candidate in the eyes of voting Democrats.

 

morningfog

(18,115 posts)
67. Her support will continue to fade. Hence the Biden talk.
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 02:15 PM
Aug 2015

The support will track and trail the dishonesty. As trust is lost, the voters will turn elsewhere and the polls will reflect it.

Would YOU vote for someone you don't trust? I'll wait 3 months for your answer.

grasswire

(50,130 posts)
75. I would like to see the polling broken down by gender.
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 02:57 PM
Aug 2015

It is very possible that Hillary's poll numbers remain high despite the distrust because of women voters. They might indeed be willing to vote for a woman even if they don't fully trust her.

 

short circuit

(145 posts)
86. And looks like MaggieD is off the air ... (transparency page is shown)
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 03:23 PM
Aug 2015

We'll see her (probably) in November.

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)
73. 61% including Republicans sounds really good to me. Whatever the negative comment the
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 02:55 PM
Aug 2015

Republicans poll yes so I don't worry. It is conspiracy theory and no proof.

pnwmom

(108,977 posts)
74. The news media has been hammering her with the false email story for months.
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 02:57 PM
Aug 2015

Not surprising that it's had an effect, but it's delusional to think that any of our candidates are safe from an unfair attack.

wiggs

(7,812 posts)
82. Quite right. MSM and the 90% of talk radio that's RW think this is the only
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 03:13 PM
Aug 2015

issue worth talking about with respect to Dem primaries. Accurate information and perspective is never discussed, only key buzz words. And when the propaganda moves the public opinion needle, it just rewards the behavior and encourages more.

We have almost no ability to work through an issue in public discourse anymore. There's no incentive for 'journalists', pundits, media outlets, candidates to logically discuss and resolve something like this...an inflamed, uninformed, ignorant, attentive public is more desirable.

Lorien

(31,935 posts)
89. Who needs propaganda?
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 03:39 PM
Aug 2015

When she says crap like "you'll find out where I stand on that issue when I'm President" it does NOT inspire trust or confidence! Hillary is Hillary's worst enemy.

 

fbc

(1,668 posts)
77. HillaryPublicOpinion.png
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 02:58 PM
Aug 2015

kinda says it all:



Any Hillary Fans want to add those up into positive and negative categories?

I'll start you off with the top 5...

liar, dishonest, untrustworthy: 394
experience, strong: 141

PatrynXX

(5,668 posts)
78. I'd be one of them
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 03:01 PM
Aug 2015

honestly. Two Conservatives. Running. Naturally people will take the one running as one than the fake one.. Getting more people to recognize that Conservatives control a large block of Democrats that takes longer.

pnwmom

(108,977 posts)
80. That poll interviewed more REPUBLICANS than DEMOCRATS -- which doesn't reflect
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 03:11 PM
Aug 2015

the population. So, as usual for this pollster, the results are a pile of Republican-skewed crap.

It isn't news that Rethugs don't like Hillary.

And it isn't new for you to post a Rethug-biased Quinnipiac poll without checking the internals.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2274

From August 20 - 25, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,563 registered voters nationwide with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. Live interviewers call land lines and cell phones. The survey includes 666 Republicans with a margin of error of +/- 3.8 percentage points and 647 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 3.9 percentage points.



http://www.gallup.com/poll/183887/democrats-regain-edge-party-affiliation.aspx

PRINCETON, N.J. -- In the second quarter of 2015, Democrats regained an advantage over Republicans in terms of Americans' party affiliation. A total of 46% of Americans identified as Democrats (30%) or said they are independents who lean toward the Democratic Party (16%), while 41% identified as Republicans (25%) or leaned Republican (16%).

pnwmom

(108,977 posts)
87. When combined with the fact that Dems actually outnumber Rethugs,
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 03:24 PM
Aug 2015

that is a significant flip of the results.

It is curious, also, that they don't report how many women vs. men were in their sample. That would be important information to know.

 

morningfog

(18,115 posts)
92. It is not a "significant flip."
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 04:05 PM
Aug 2015

The poll used 42.6% Repubs and 41.4% Dems.

Using your numbers of 46% Democrats and 41% identified as Republicans, the difference should be +5 points Dem.

The poll was about +1 point R, so a 6 point swing. Not a "flip" when the total number was 61% to 34%. You overstate the effect that the polling sample had.

blm

(113,047 posts)
81. What were polls on ACA? Benghazi? Gun control? Iran nuke deal? Oh yeah, they were positive BEFORE
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 03:11 PM
Aug 2015

the corpmedia ran with the GOP narrative nonstop for months. Even improved healthcare access and even the fvckin' Iran nuclear deal.

Applauding the successful efforts of the RW lie machine. Where's MediWhoresOnline when you need them?

 

Keep-Left

(66 posts)
94. you know I find it insulting
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 04:17 PM
Aug 2015

that I come on the Democratic underground and watch left leaning people be happy that RW lies hurt our front runner.

What is going on here? I love Sanders and would vote for him in a heart beat. But bashing on Hillary is the wrong way to do this. Even Sanders himself will not do it.

Your doing the RW machines work for them. There is a very good chance and I would say the most likely chance that Hillary will be our nominee. You don't bash other Dems like this or be happy the RW is hurting our leader. We should be defending her at this time.

Yes I agree more with Sanders then her on most issues but we should still disagree respectfully and don't let this email smear job hurt the odds on favorite to win the nomination.

blm

(113,047 posts)
100. Exactly how I feel. And I have been saying it as a longtime HRC critic.
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 05:32 PM
Aug 2015

The difference is that I also work on GOTV in a very purple state and would prefer my fellow Democrats make my job easier, not 10X harder.

I. Am. Not. Carelessly. Stupid.

George II

(67,782 posts)
96. Why did you use a totally misleading (I won't say "dishonest") subject line?
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 05:01 PM
Aug 2015

That's not even close to the headline of the article you reference, and isn't even directly said in the article.

It's an article about a POLL (but it doesn't even have a link to the poll or the actual question posed. Here is the link to the poll for everyone to see:

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/national/release-detail?ReleaseID=2274

Polls don't "say" anything, but this poll does indicate flaws.

The fact is that the poll didn't even ask the same questions about all of the candidates! What kind of poll would ask a series of questions about some candidates and not the same questions about the others running for the same nomination? Certainly not a very credible way to determine the opinions of the electorate.

Now here are a few interesting results of this poll.

Question: Would you say that - Hillary Clinton (Bernie Sanders) cares about the needs and problems of people like you or not?

Clinton 46%
Sanders 44%

Question: Is your opinion of Hillary Clinton (Bernie Sanders) favorable, unfavorable or haven't you heard enough about her (him)?

Clinton favorable 39, unfavorable 51, haven't heard enough 8, refused 2
Sanders favorable 32, unfavorable 28, haven't heard enough 39, refused 1

The way these polls are presented by some, one could also say that Clinton's favorability rating is higher than Sanders' by 39-32, and that would be true. Would it be fair? No. But then again who is to say that most of those 39% who haven't heard enough won't find him unfavorable?

As for the question about the word that first comes to mind, that was only asked about three of the more than 20 candidates:

Question: What is the first word that comes to mind when you think of (Jeb Bush) (Donald Trump) (Hillary Clinton)

All things considered, this is a very poorly constructed and conducted poll. It makes certain assumptions going in and doesn't even ask the same things about all of the many candidates.

But to get back to my original question - why is the subject line of this OP completely different from the subject and tone of the linked article, negatively skewed toward Hillary Clinton? It is basically a quote of a single line WAY down toward the bottom of the narrative.

George II

(67,782 posts)
99. I didn't say it was dishonest, in fact I pointed out that I wasn't GOING to say it's dishonest.
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 05:15 PM
Aug 2015

But it certainly isn't the crux of the article OR the poll, and the "result" that you report up top was to a question that wasn't even asked of any other Democratic candidate.

spyker29

(89 posts)
105. Many Sander's supporters, if asked, probably said she is untrustworthy.
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 06:03 PM
Aug 2015

Even though, if she wins primary most will still vote for her.

 

hifiguy

(33,688 posts)
108. Only because she's not,
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 07:03 PM
Aug 2015

honest, that is. And I care not one whit, jot or tittle about bogus sideshows like the e-mails and Benghazi. She simply doesn't stand for anything except perhaps reproductive rights - there's no real there there. It appears to me that she wants to be POTUS mainly because that's the only thing missing from her resume.

The Clintons believe in one thing and one thing only - the personal advancement of the Clintons by any means that happen to be available. If that means being joined at the hip to Wall Street or the MIC, they're the first ones to sign up for it. Power over principle 100 times out of 100. No, thank you.

 

Doctor_J

(36,392 posts)
109. she has billions to spend, and her gender
Thu Aug 27, 2015, 11:14 PM
Aug 2015

in her favor. On the issues she's either conservative or recently "evolved" - seems to be lacking in principle. But between her bankroll and the fact that many don't want a white male in the white house, I think she'll pull through.

Muldoon

(2 posts)
113. The uncertainty of polling
Fri Aug 28, 2015, 06:43 AM
Aug 2015

Interesting poll on this site showing Clinton and Trump in a face-off.Fiorina in third place.Highest polled career Republican is Kasich in fifth.You can vote and leave comments.


[link:http://www.rankopedia.com/Best-Candidate-to-win-the-2016-US-Presidential-Election/Step1/32775.htm?refresh=52913271|

Sancho

(9,067 posts)
115. Some of this was posted in another thread, so it's not a new idea...
Fri Aug 28, 2015, 07:55 AM
Aug 2015

If you had a poll on DU of progressive voters and asked if GW Bush was a "liar" (or any other descriptor) you'd get 90% + saying YES. Now, if you added another group from Free Republic - you'd get some, but most would say NO. How do you report that mix? It depends on if you want to bash Bush (or not).

The total would be about half saying either was a "liar" or not. Sampling and reporting controls poll results - and some are not representative of the population of interest. You can't assume, like they often do on TV, that this poll means everyone thinks Hillary is a liar. You can see that 50%-60% consistently would vote FOR Hillary. The descriptor is coming from a flaw in polling that asked GOP Hillary haters to describe Hillary. You'd get the same thing if you posted on DU a poll asking to describe Bush. You'd get similar negatives if you asked repubs to describe Bernie! You'd get an overwhelming majority call him "socialist", "communist", etc. Take that result and put it with a liberal sample of 10% saying the same thing, and you get a about half giving a negative about Bernie!!

Welcome to Quinnapiac polling. In fact, in all sampling there is something called the "non ignorable non respondent". That's the people who NEVER answer polls, because they are unavailable or refuse to answer. If you could actually get them to respond, it would CHANGE the RESULTS.

One classic case from years ago was Geraldine Ferrero who thought, because of BIG CROWDS that she would be a winner. She was on the losing ticket because she thought those crowds represented the actual voters. Unbiased polling was ignored, and biased polling was used to convince Geraldine that she was on the way to being the first female VP!! YEA!!

http://www.jstor.org/stable/1164602?seq=1#page_scan_tab_contents
"Eelworms, Bullet Holes, and Geraldine Ferraro: Some Problems with Statistical Adjustment and Some Solutions"

Bottom line: all this polling has weaknesses, bias, and often is simply wrong. That is particularly true of "open-ended" polls where you ask for descriptors (you have to interpret answers, it makes response time longer which limits the survey, etc.), depend on operators to prompt responders (bias in those asking the questions can easily confound the answers), and mixed group (repubs and liberals) polls where the stratified sample may be misleading.

It's simply wrong to take any one little part of one polls and exaggerate it into some kind of meme. Even though DUers and TV commentators do it all the time, it leads to misleading conclusions that are simply wrong. That's why I provided the example.

If you don't like Hillary, that's your choice, but using a misunderstanding of the process and results is a mistake. It's a stretch, doesn't change anyone's mind, and creates more divisiveness.

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