HomeLatest ThreadsGreatest ThreadsForums & GroupsMy SubscriptionsMy Posts
DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Main » Politics 2014 (Forum) » An observation about Obam...
Introducing Discussionist: A new forum by the creators of DU

Thu Jul 12, 2012, 03:44 PM

An observation about Obama and Romney

Thinking back over the past few months, Obama has had good weeks and he's had bad weeks (which can be interpreted as good for Mitt). But Romney, as far back as I can see, has only had bad or neutral weeks. I cn't think of anything he's said or done which has resulted in positive a positive reflection on his own campaign.

10 replies, 1159 views

Reply to this thread

Back to top Alert abuse

Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
Replies to this discussion thread
Arrow 10 replies Author Time Post
Reply An observation about Obama and Romney (Original post)
brooklynite Jul 2012 OP
Politicalboi Jul 2012 #1
Rosanna Lopez Jul 2012 #10
democrat_patriot Jul 2012 #2
grantcart Jul 2012 #3
democrat_patriot Jul 2012 #4
arbusto_baboso Jul 2012 #6
TheDonkey Jul 2012 #8
Proud Liberal Dem Jul 2012 #5
qwlauren35 Jul 2012 #7
ellisonz Jul 2012 #9

Response to brooklynite (Original post)

Thu Jul 12, 2012, 03:45 PM

1. You're right, and with all that

They show us polls that are close. I find it hard to believe those polls are that close.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Politicalboi (Reply #1)

Fri Jul 13, 2012, 08:07 PM

10. But it probably IS close

The country is still split very much down the middle, regardless of whether the nominee may be bad. When there's a 2-party system, the opposing party is always guaranteed to win a large chunk of the vote. So except in rare cases, the Republicans are always going to get at least 45% of the vote.

Even in a terrible year in 2008, McCain still managed to get 46%

Nate Silver, who is a smart and objective analyst, only predicts Obama to get about 50-51% of the vote in November and predicts Romney will get about 48%.

Obama can still win by a large margin in the Electoral College, but winning the popular vote by a large margin is much more challenging.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to brooklynite (Original post)

Thu Jul 12, 2012, 03:49 PM

2. Feels like McCain all over again - without a VP to energize the base.


How is this thing even close?

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to democrat_patriot (Reply #2)

Thu Jul 12, 2012, 03:56 PM

3. Romney needs a game changer

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to grantcart (Reply #3)

Thu Jul 12, 2012, 04:13 PM

4. T-Paw baby! That guy can light up a room.


A small room.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to democrat_patriot (Reply #4)

Thu Jul 12, 2012, 05:35 PM

6. A broom closet, maybe.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to democrat_patriot (Reply #2)

Fri Jul 13, 2012, 01:53 PM

8. McCain stayed close to Obama until Palin and Financial Meltdown were on the scene.

During the summer McCain was up mostly while Obama and Clinton still battled it out.

We have yet to have a real "game change" moment for Obama like when it became apparent that Palin was a clear disaster (what reading materials do you read?) and the financial meltdown took a turn for the worse (I'm postponing my campaign!).

We have many more weeks to go but the truth is that Obama has had more good weeks than not. But the media is still pounding Obama hard because the do-nothing Congress refuses to help the job situation. Unemployement still is a serious issue, more serious than Rove's super PACs.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to brooklynite (Original post)

Thu Jul 12, 2012, 05:07 PM

5. His "coronation" gave him a bit of a bump (at first)

Other than that, I can't think of anything exceedingly "positive" that has happened for his campaign (so far). He'll get a lot of press coverage when he picks a VP and, depending on who that ends up being, may (or may not) give his campaign a bit of a boost, as will the RNC. I'm not quite sure exactly what will give Romney a little momentum. His strategy seems to mainly to chip away at President Obama's support among his key demographics- enough to slide into the WH. I doubt that it will be enough to do the trick. If any African-Americans might have been enticed to vote for Romney, his *performance* at the NAACP was hopefully enough to ruin those hopes, President Obama's mini-Dream immigration policy change seems to have undone his hopes at bringing down Hispanic support for President Obama. His campaign seems to be going after women now but IMHO he's going to have to give them more of a reason not to support President Obama other than the economy sucks (and most people remember who's to blame for that and it's not President Obama).

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Proud Liberal Dem (Reply #5)

Fri Jul 13, 2012, 01:29 PM

7. But I Keep Hearing

That he's beating Obama in fundraising every month. That worries me.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to brooklynite (Original post)

Fri Jul 13, 2012, 07:50 PM

9. Stick a fork in him, he's done. n/t

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink

Reply to this thread