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Thu Jul 12, 2012, 05:39 AM

LIST of links of Senate and Presidential Forecasts

Senate: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_Senate_elections,_2012#Latest_predictions
(Compilation/Chart of several political websites)


Presidential:

Five Thirty Eight: http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/
(on the right side of the page)

Electoral-Vote: http://www.electoral-vote.com/

Election Projection: http://www.electionprojection.com/2012elections/president12.php

270 to Win: http://www.270towin.com/

Cook Political: (List of maps) http://cookpolitical.com/node/10543
July 2nd: http://cookpolitical.com/charts/president/ev_scorecard_2012-07-02_16-11-49.php

Frontloading HQ: http://frontloading.blogspot.com/
(I do not see a 2012 forecast map there 'yet')

Real Clear Politics: http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/2012_elections_electoral_college_map.html

CNN: http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/ecalculator#?battleground

Huffington Post: http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/2012/romney-vs-obama-electoral-map?hw

And one of the best ones...
DemConWatch: http://www.demconwatchblog.com/
(Note: when DCW starts posting presidential forecast compilations there will be a link at the top left side of the page)


p.s. If you find this OP helpful please give it a kick




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Reply LIST of links of Senate and Presidential Forecasts (Original post)
Tx4obama Jul 2012 OP
66 dmhlt Jul 2012 #1
ProgressiveEconomist Jul 2012 #2
flamingdem Jul 2012 #3
Rhiannon12866 Jul 2012 #4
Rosanna Lopez Jul 2012 #5

Response to Tx4obama (Original post)

Thu Jul 12, 2012, 08:59 AM

1. Some you may want to add ...

Talking Point Memo just released their new "Poll Tracker" - so not really a Electoral Vote tally, but a state-by-state polling list:
http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/

Dave Leip's been pretty accurate in the past. BUT it's a bit confusing because he assigns BLUE to Repubicans, and RED to DEMOCRATS
http://www.uselectionatlas.org/

And Princeton U. just started a new one - not much detail, but a running tab:
http://election.princeton.edu/

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Response to Tx4obama (Original post)

Thu Jul 12, 2012, 11:01 PM

2. k&r, We need a lot more LINK posts like yours. Thank you.

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Response to Tx4obama (Original post)

Fri Jul 13, 2012, 12:48 AM

3. Good to have all those links in one place

Wish we had "sticky" capability here

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Response to Tx4obama (Original post)

Fri Jul 13, 2012, 01:03 AM

4. K&R! Thanks so much!

Bookmarking!

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Response to Tx4obama (Original post)

Fri Jul 13, 2012, 01:53 AM

5. Similarity of Projections

Almost all the Electoral College projections are basically the same, whether it's Huffington Post, CNN, New York Times, etc.

Eg. they almost all say that Obama is favored in NM, NV, CO, PA etc., Romney is favored in IN, NC, MO etc., and that states like FL, OH etc are tossups.

They all seem to give Obama a 50-70 vote EV lead.

The one that gives Obama the biggest EV win at the moment appears to be Princeton:

Obama: 312

Romney: 226

http://election.princeton.edu/

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