Fri Jul 6, 2012, 11:37 AM
a kennedy (7,026 posts)
Intrade has droped POTUS getting re-elected to 55.0%
http://www.intrade.com/v4/home/ it was 56.4% yesterday.
must be the jobs numbers.
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11 replies, 1239 views
| Author | Time | Post | |
| a kennedy | Jul 2012 | OP | |
| Turbineguy | Jul 2012 | #1 | |
| budkin | Jul 2012 | #2 | |
| Rosanna Lopez | Jul 2012 | #10 | |
| DavidDvorkin | Jul 2012 | #3 | |
| WI_DEM | Jul 2012 | #4 | |
| Douglas Carpenter | Jul 2012 | #5 | |
| backscatter712 | Jul 2012 | #6 | |
| DavidDvorkin | Jul 2012 | #9 | |
| bigdarryl | Jul 2012 | #7 | |
| RBInMaine | Jul 2012 | #8 | |
| DavidDvorkin | Jul 2012 | #11 |
Response to a kennedy (Original post)
Fri Jul 6, 2012, 11:42 AM
Turbineguy (16,548 posts)
1. Voter suppression seems to be working.
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With a large number of voters disenfranchised in PA, Romney leads there. Repubs are clever about stealing elections.
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Response to a kennedy (Original post)
Fri Jul 6, 2012, 12:23 PM
budkin (3,086 posts)
2. Also because of PA Voter ID
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There's a decent chance Mitt wins it now.
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Response to budkin (Reply #2)
Fri Jul 6, 2012, 02:55 PM
Rosanna Lopez (308 posts)
10. Perhaps it's time . . .
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Perhaps it's time that the Democrats and the public fought back against Voter Fraud for a change?!
And even more to the point, perhaps it's time that the law be changed so that Secretaries of State (partisan political individuals) do not run elections, voting machines and the ballots? It should be run by an independent, non-partisan elections commission as it is in Canada, Britain and other Western countries. Allowing Secretaries of State to be in the position to steal elections for their parties makes America's electoral system not much better than that in 3rd-world countries. Just last month the Arizona Secretary of State was trying to keep Obama off the ballot there. And then there's the stories surrounding Katharine Harris in 2000 in Florida, and Ken Blackwell in 2004 in Ohio . . . |
Response to a kennedy (Original post)
Fri Jul 6, 2012, 12:30 PM
DavidDvorkin (12,071 posts)
3. He's up to 55.8% now
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There had been a general upward movement in Obama's number on Intrade recently. Maybe that drop was a temporary reaction to the job news.
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Response to a kennedy (Original post)
Fri Jul 6, 2012, 12:32 PM
WI_DEM (32,522 posts)
4. what a useless barometer this early on.
Response to a kennedy (Original post)
Fri Jul 6, 2012, 12:36 PM
Douglas Carpenter (15,145 posts)
5. it was down to 52.5% just two weeks ago so with it now at 55.8% that is still an over all increase
Response to a kennedy (Original post)
Fri Jul 6, 2012, 12:51 PM
backscatter712 (19,834 posts)
6. That's alright. Intrade got the SCOTUS decision on the ACA wrong. n/t
Response to backscatter712 (Reply #6)
Fri Jul 6, 2012, 02:54 PM
DavidDvorkin (12,071 posts)
9. No, it didn't
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The odds started dropping on Intrade the night before the decision was announced. By the time of the announcement, it was at 50% -- pretty accurate, considering that Roberts had changed his vote, but in any case not wrong.
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Response to a kennedy (Original post)
Fri Jul 6, 2012, 01:39 PM
bigdarryl (9,152 posts)
7. Its way to early to be making intrade predictions about November election
Response to a kennedy (Original post)
Fri Jul 6, 2012, 01:41 PM
RBInMaine (9,455 posts)
8. Posting this is a silly waste of time. This and most polls don't mean SHIT right now.
Response to a kennedy (Original post)
Fri Jul 6, 2012, 05:02 PM
DavidDvorkin (12,071 posts)

must be the jobs numbers.