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Intrade has droped POTUS getting re-elected to 55.0% (Original Post) a kennedy Jul 2012 OP
Voter suppression seems to be working. Turbineguy Jul 2012 #1
Also because of PA Voter ID budkin Jul 2012 #2
Perhaps it's time . . . Rosanna Lopez Jul 2012 #10
He's up to 55.8% now DavidDvorkin Jul 2012 #3
what a useless barometer this early on. WI_DEM Jul 2012 #4
it was down to 52.5% just two weeks ago so with it now at 55.8% that is still an over all increase Douglas Carpenter Jul 2012 #5
That's alright. Intrade got the SCOTUS decision on the ACA wrong. n/t backscatter712 Jul 2012 #6
No, it didn't DavidDvorkin Jul 2012 #9
Its way to early to be making intrade predictions about November election bigdarryl Jul 2012 #7
Posting this is a silly waste of time. This and most polls don't mean SHIT right now. RBInMaine Jul 2012 #8
Now it's jumped to Obama - 56.9%, Romney - 41.0% DavidDvorkin Jul 2012 #11

Turbineguy

(37,313 posts)
1. Voter suppression seems to be working.
Fri Jul 6, 2012, 11:42 AM
Jul 2012

With a large number of voters disenfranchised in PA, Romney leads there. Repubs are clever about stealing elections.

Rosanna Lopez

(308 posts)
10. Perhaps it's time . . .
Fri Jul 6, 2012, 02:55 PM
Jul 2012

Perhaps it's time that the Democrats and the public fought back against Voter Fraud for a change?!

And even more to the point, perhaps it's time that the law be changed so that Secretaries of State (partisan political individuals) do not run elections, voting machines and the ballots? It should be run by an independent, non-partisan elections commission as it is in Canada, Britain and other Western countries.

Allowing Secretaries of State to be in the position to steal elections for their parties makes America's electoral system not much better than that in 3rd-world countries. Just last month the Arizona Secretary of State was trying to keep Obama off the ballot there.

And then there's the stories surrounding Katharine Harris in 2000 in Florida, and Ken Blackwell in 2004 in Ohio . . .

DavidDvorkin

(19,473 posts)
3. He's up to 55.8% now
Fri Jul 6, 2012, 12:30 PM
Jul 2012

There had been a general upward movement in Obama's number on Intrade recently. Maybe that drop was a temporary reaction to the job news.

DavidDvorkin

(19,473 posts)
9. No, it didn't
Fri Jul 6, 2012, 02:54 PM
Jul 2012

The odds started dropping on Intrade the night before the decision was announced. By the time of the announcement, it was at 50% -- pretty accurate, considering that Roberts had changed his vote, but in any case not wrong.

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