Wed Jun 27, 2012, 02:25 PM
WI_DEM (32,863 posts)
PPP: Obama beating Romney 55-39 in MA
Mitt Romney's chances of winning Massachusetts in the election this fall continue to look pretty minuscule. He trails Barack Obama 55-39 in the state where he served as Governor. That at least represents some tightening from our last poll in March when he was down 58-35, but it doesn't suggest much of a chance to make the state competitive.
Romney does not have a good image in Massachusetts. Only 39% of voters have a favorable opinion of him to 56% with a negative one. When they reflect on Romney's tenure as Governor, only 40% say they approve of the work he did to 46% who disapprove. That represents a downturn since 3 months ago when voters in the state approved of his time in office by a 48/40 spread, suggesting that the Obama's campaigns attacks on his tenure are having an impact.
Massachusetts voters don't even really regard Romney as one of their own despite his time as Governor- only 25% say they consider him to be a Bay Stater, while 65% say they do not. There doesn't seem to be a state that wants to lay claim to Romney- when we polled Michigan last month, only 24% of voters said they considered him to be one of their own to 65% who said they did not.
Obama has decent approval numbers in the state, with 53% of voters giving him good marks to 43% who disapprove. The two candidates are getting about equal portions of their party bases, with Obama taking 85% of Democrats and Romney 86% of Republicans. Romney's up 47-45 with independents, but that's a sharp contrast from the 57-33 lead Scott Brown had with them in the Senate numbers we released yesterday.
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PPP: Obama beating Romney 55-39 in MA (Original post)
|Nuclear Unicorn||Jun 2012||#1|
|Rosanna Lopez||Jun 2012||#6|
Response to Liberal_Stalwart71 (Reply #2)
Wed Jun 27, 2012, 03:16 PM
WI_DEM (32,863 posts)
3. He's 16-points up and she's even. According to PPP Obama has a big lead among
independents who are undecided in the senate race, but those same independents think equally highly of both Warren and Brown.
Response to WI_DEM (Original post)
Wed Jun 27, 2012, 06:38 PM
Rosanna Lopez (308 posts)
6. Not a big enough lead
It's not actually a very big lead. Sure, it's enough to win with, but it's not the type of margin Obama won MA by in 2008.
In order to really send a statement, Obama needs to be leading Mittens by more than that.