HomeLatest ThreadsGreatest ThreadsForums & GroupsMy SubscriptionsMy Posts
DU Home » Latest Threads » Forums & Groups » Main » Politics 2014 (Forum) » Old Dominion University/V...
Introducing Discussionist: A new forum by the creators of DU

Wed Jun 27, 2012, 09:22 AM

Old Dominion University/Virginia Pilot Poll: Obama leads by 7 in Virginia

More Virginia voters prefer President Barack Obama than Republican candidate Mitt Romney, but many consider themselves more conservative on economic issues than the president, according to a statewide poll by Old Dominion University and The Virginian-Pilot.

When asked whom they would vote for on Nov. 6, 49 percent of those surveyed said Obama, 42 percent chose Romney, 5 percent said they wouldn't vote for either and 3 percent were undecided or wouldn't say.

Obama's 7-percentage-point advantage is significant, said Jesse Richman, an assistant professor of political science at ODU who analyzed the poll results.

But Romney may be able to cut into that lead, Richman said, because voters said they consider their views on economic policy closer to the Republican candidate's.

Old Dominion University's Social Science Research Center, in consultation with The Virginian-Pilot, conducted phone interviews with 776 voting-age Virginians from May 16 through June 15. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points.

http://hamptonroads.com/2012/06/poll-virginians-conservative-prefer-obama

This is good to see! Yesterday the GOP leaning 'We Poll America' gave Romney a five point lead in Virginia.

6 replies, 1554 views

Reply to this thread

Back to top Alert abuse

Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
Replies to this discussion thread
Arrow 6 replies Author Time Post
Reply Old Dominion University/Virginia Pilot Poll: Obama leads by 7 in Virginia (Original post)
WI_DEM Jun 2012 OP
Dawgs Jun 2012 #1
scheming daemons Jun 2012 #2
Dawgs Jun 2012 #3
Hawaii Hiker Jun 2012 #6
Blue_Tires Jun 2012 #4
DCBob Jun 2012 #5

Response to WI_DEM (Original post)

Wed Jun 27, 2012, 10:45 AM

1. Interesting. WeAskAmerica came out with one yesterday that has Obama down by 5.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to Dawgs (Reply #1)

Wed Jun 27, 2012, 10:55 AM

2. WeAskAmerica isn't a real polling outfit

They are to polling what Fox News is to objective news.

They make Rasmussen look impartial.


Quoting or linking to a WeAskAmerica poll is like linking to newsmax for a news article.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to scheming daemons (Reply #2)

Wed Jun 27, 2012, 11:17 AM

3. Never said they weren't impartial.

But as long as Nate Silver and every other blog uses their poll, I will as well.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to scheming daemons (Reply #2)

Wed Jun 27, 2012, 04:38 PM

6. electoral vote site today BLASTED We Ask America

www.electoral-vote.com



"There were several polls from We Ask America today whose results seemed so out of line with other polls that it warranted more examination. For the presidency in Virginia, it had Romney +5%, when the most recent five polls had Obama up +3%, +5%, +4%, and +7%, with even Rasmussen showing it to be a tie. For the Virginia Senate race, We Ask America had George Allen up over Tim Kaine by +9%. The most recent five polls there have Kaine up by +2%, +1%, +6%, 0%, and +1%, respectively. Now things can change although nothing special has happened in Virginia lately. Kaine didn't invoke any zoo animals or anything like that. Now consider this story, admittedly from a left-of-center source, but there is no reason to doubt the specific facts it gives. It appears that We Ask America has deep ties to the Illinois Manufacturers' Association and the Republican Party.

It would be wonderful if all pollsters were completely honest and neutral, but we know from past experience this is not always the case. In 2009, Nate Silver found strong evidence that Strategic Vision was making up the numbers because they were not statistically random. He also raised serious issues about Research 2000, which was then working for Daily Kos, which dropped and sued it. None of this is to say that We Ask America is making up numbers, but the combination of numbers that are so far out of line with other pollsters combined with deep ties to the Republican Party, is very suspicious. For this reason, I am now regarding We Ask America as a partisan pollster. All We Ask America polls have been removed from the database.

There is nothing wrong with a pollster being partisan. Many pollsters are proud to say things like: "We have helped elect 52 Republicans to public office." That is good advertising. The problem with We Ask American is that it appears to be stealth partisan and the numbers look awfully fishy".

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to WI_DEM (Original post)

Wed Jun 27, 2012, 12:26 PM

4. kick

those results had to really rustle the jimmies of the brass at ODU and the Pilot

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink


Response to WI_DEM (Original post)

Wed Jun 27, 2012, 03:27 PM

5. If this is real Romney is toast.

Many though VA was lost cause earlier this year. Obama doesnt need VA but Rmoney surely does.

Reply to this post

Back to top Alert abuse Link here Permalink

Reply to this thread