Wed Jun 27, 2012, 07:20 AM

Obama Leads in Three Key Battlegrounds

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/06/27/obama_leads_in_three_key_battlegrounds.html

Obama Leads in Three Key Battlegrounds

A new Quinnipiac poll finds President Obama with leads in the important battleground states of Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania.

Florida: Obama 45%, Romney 41%

Ohio: Obama 47%, Romney 38%

Pennsylvania: Obama 45%, Romney 39%.

Said pollster Peter Brown: "If he can keep those leads in all three of these key swing states through election day he would be virtually assured of re-election."

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10 replies	Author	Time	Post
Obama Leads in Three Key Battlegrounds (Original post)	babylonsister	Jun 2012	OP
Nice to see, but caution is always valuable . . .	Rosanna Lopez	Jun 2012	#1
I would guess he can hold Ohio and Pennslyviana through the election	jimlup	Jun 2012	#2
Thats about as good as we could possibly hope for at the moment.	DCBob	Jun 2012	#3
Tomorrow	Rosanna Lopez	Jun 2012	#4
maybe thats why the voter purge is going on.....don't you think ?	april	Jun 2012	#5
Not to mention the effort to purge the DOJ itself.	rocktivity	Jun 2012	#6
YIPPEE!!!	bigwillq	Jun 2012	#7
I thought...	WI_DEM	Jun 2012	#9
That's the only poll that does matter!	bigwillq	Jun 2012	#10
I especially love those Ohio numbers--nine points.	WI_DEM	Jun 2012	#8

Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Wed Jun 27, 2012, 07:34 AM

Rosanna Lopez (308 posts)

1. Nice to see, but caution is always valuable . . .

The Florida number looks plausible - a 4-point lead.

The Ohio number I'm not sure about. A 9-point lead? That seems a little on the high side compared to other polls, and is higher than the margin Obama won by in 2008.

The Pennsylvania number of a 6-point lead also looks plausible with others that have been out lately, although it's a narrower margin than Obama won by in 2008, so it needs to be higher in order to make the lead comfortable enough. Afterall, this is the state where a Republican Congressman just admitted that they are going to basically try to fix PA for Romney through voter ID rules.

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Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Wed Jun 27, 2012, 07:37 AM

jimlup (4,061 posts)

2. I would guess he can hold Ohio and Pennslyviana through the election

Unless either or both are stolen from him.

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Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Wed Jun 27, 2012, 08:03 AM

DCBob (14,773 posts)

3. Thats about as good as we could possibly hope for at the moment.

Lets hope it holds.

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Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Wed Jun 27, 2012, 08:22 AM

Rosanna Lopez (308 posts)

4. Tomorrow

What I'm most on edge about is what the effect will be of tomorrow's Supreme Court health care ruling. Will it cause these good polling numbers to go down, or will it not have much effect?

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Response to babylonsister (Original post)

Wed Jun 27, 2012, 08:47 AM

april (1,148 posts)