PPP: Obama leads by 8 in Oregon
Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney just 50-42 in Oregon, a state that he won by 16 points in 2008 and where he led by 12 points in PPP's last poll, taken almost exactly a year ago.
The main reason the state's so close is that independents have really turned against Obama, and they support Romney by a 52-30 margin. But Oregon's still a pretty strongly Democratic state and with the party base unified around Obama at 86-8 it allows him to maintain a decent sized overall lead. Obama's also getting more support across party lines than Romney is, taking 11% of the Republican vote.
Oregon voters express only tepid approval for Obama's performance in office, with 49% of voters approving of him to 46% who disapprove. But Romney's lack of popularity makes it hard for him to pull closer in the state. Just 37% of voters have a favorable opinion of him to 51% with a negative one.
Obama's approval in Oregon is remarkably unchanged over the last year. In June of 2011 his approval spread was 49/45, and his current 49/46 is basically the same. Romney's favorability numbers have improved slightly from 31/47 to their current 37/51 level.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/
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