Interesting thing about the Bloomberg "Outlier" poll

It shows Obama over Romney:

Obama - 53%
Romney - 40%
http://media.bloomberg.com/bb/avfile/rQyA68BW5P20

Which is not that far off from the Intrade %s each candidate currently pulls:

Obama - 53.6% likelihood of winning
Romney - 42.3% likelihood of winning
http://www.intrade.com/v4/markets/?eventId=84326

Yeah, I get that we're looking at different data sets.

Intrade says that is the election were run 100 times, Obama would win 53 times and lose 47 times.
Where as Bloomberg reports that if you ask 100 random people who they would vote for, 53 would say Obama, 47 would not.

Somehow, it makes me inclined to believe that Bloomberg is not as for out as some think.