2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNew Poll: Obama has a solid lead in New Hampshire (8-points)
The following results are based on 535 completed telephone interviews among a statewide random sample of registered voters in New Hampshire. Of the 557 interviews, 180 were among registered Republicans, 161 registered Democrats, and 194 undeclared voters. The interviews were conducted June 21 through 24, 2012.
The theoretical margin of error for the sample of 535 registered voters is plus or minus 4.2 percentage points, 95% of the time, on questions where opinion is evenly split.
Question wording and response:
If the election for US President were being held today between Barack Obama, the Democrat, and Mitt Romney, the Republican, for whom would you vote - Obama or Romney? (names rotated)
US President Obama Romney Undecided
NH registered voters 51% 43% 6%
Republicans (34%) 12% 82% 6%
Democrats (30%) 81% 14% 5%
Undeclared (36%) 62% 31% 7%
Men (49%) 44% 52% 4%
Women (51%) 58% 34% 8%
March 2012 48% 41% 11%
Among 417 registered voters in New Hampshire saying they will definitely vote in November, Obama leads Romney 49% to 46%, with 6% undecided.
http://americanresearchgroup.com/nhpoll/pres12/
Rosanna Lopez
(308 posts)For some reason RCP never includes American Research Group polls on its site. I noticed it during the Republican primaries.
Wonder why that is?
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)this is yet another swing state that Obama has a good lead in.
Raven
(13,864 posts)have a keen nose for phonies. Even my Independent and Republican friends can't stand Romney.