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boston bean

(36,218 posts)
Mon Jul 6, 2015, 08:41 PM Jul 2015

Hillary Clinton Remains Most Democrats' Top Choice

Nearly three months after Hillary Clinton announced her candidacy, she remains the favored choice of most Democratic voters, a new HuffPost/YouGov poll finds.

Fifty-four percent of voters who are Democrats or lean toward the party say they'd prefer to see Clinton as the Democratic nominee in 2016, while 30 percent would rather nominate someone else. In April, 56 percent had named her as their preferred nominee. Fifty-four percent of those voters in the new poll also say that they'd definitely vote for her, virtually unchanged from the 52 percent who previously said the same.

Seventy-seven percent of Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters say they would be "enthusiastic" or "satisfied" to have Clinton as their nominee, a slight dip from the 85 percent who said the same in April.

But she still fares better on that measure than Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), who's established himself as Clinton's liberal alternative and her foremost -- if still lagging -- rival for the Democratic nomination in states like New Hampshire.


http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2015/07/06/hillary-clinton-primary-poll_n_7738948.html
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Hillary Clinton Remains Most Democrats' Top Choice (Original Post) boston bean Jul 2015 OP
Thanks for the reminder. Get it out of your system because you might be running out of Ed Suspicious Jul 2015 #1
43+ points ahead. Obama was 10 points behind at this time in 2007. Barely won. onehandle Jul 2015 #2
I'm in the Bernie Sanders wing of the party, not in the "Not Hillary" party, thank you very much. Ed Suspicious Jul 2015 #7
And vice versa... Don't go playing all victim, you came in and threw the first punch boston bean Jul 2015 #8
You win. Ed Suspicious Jul 2015 #10
win what? boston bean Jul 2015 #11
What party - isn't he still calling himself an Independent? George II Jul 2015 #22
Not sure, but that poll shows there is little difference in her polling from boston bean Jul 2015 #4
This message was self-deleted by its author brooklynite Jul 2015 #23
Probably around March 1 next year when there will no longer be anyone to "hold off" George II Jul 2015 #20
K & R Iliyah Jul 2015 #3
Just rec it up! You can't get hidden for that! LOL boston bean Jul 2015 #6
Hillary is campaigning hard and she has a strong record to back up her campaign Thinkingabout Jul 2015 #5
Absolutely! boston bean Jul 2015 #9
There seems to some small erosion in her support. Comrade Grumpy Jul 2015 #12
It would not be a surprise if Sanders' numbers shoots up after the debates Man of Distinction Jul 2015 #13
Were you actually around in 2008? NanceGreggs Jul 2015 #26
Thanks boston bean! Cha Jul 2015 #14
for now ibegurpard Jul 2015 #15
K & R SunSeeker Jul 2015 #16
Bernie's been running a few weeks, Hillary has been running for a decade fbc Jul 2015 #17
Hillary polling in swing states is showing a very disturbing trend. Bonobo Jul 2015 #18
As stand alone data points, they're meaningless - Obama is President and his ratings are similar. George II Jul 2015 #21
Trend are, indeed, what really matters: brooklynite Jul 2015 #24
So if things change RoccoR5955 Jul 2015 #19
This message was self-deleted by its author 1000words Jul 2015 #25
There's nothing like FACTS ... NanceGreggs Jul 2015 #27
You left out that the polls are skewed. nt boston bean Jul 2015 #29
I believe that these polls are skewed bob4460 Jul 2015 #28

Ed Suspicious

(8,879 posts)
1. Thanks for the reminder. Get it out of your system because you might be running out of
Mon Jul 6, 2015, 08:44 PM
Jul 2015

opportunities. Senator Sanders is on the rise in the polls. How long can Clinton hold him off?

onehandle

(51,122 posts)
2. 43+ points ahead. Obama was 10 points behind at this time in 2007. Barely won.
Mon Jul 6, 2015, 08:47 PM
Jul 2015

If this election can be delayed until 2018, the 'Not Hillary' Party might have a chance.

boston bean

(36,218 posts)
8. And vice versa... Don't go playing all victim, you came in and threw the first punch
Mon Jul 6, 2015, 08:53 PM
Jul 2015

in a nothing but POSITIVE Hillary thread.

Response to boston bean (Reply #4)

boston bean

(36,218 posts)
6. Just rec it up! You can't get hidden for that! LOL
Mon Jul 6, 2015, 08:49 PM
Jul 2015

I mean that in all sincerity!

Not as a slight on your post!

 

Comrade Grumpy

(13,184 posts)
12. There seems to some small erosion in her support.
Mon Jul 6, 2015, 09:19 PM
Jul 2015

"Clinton's favorability rating, which peaked during her tenure as secretary of state, took a downward turn after she shifted back into candidacy mode. She's now viewed more unfavorably than favorably nationwide, although Democrats continue to rate her highly. Political analysts have also pointed to an increasing faction of voters who view her as dishonest or untrustworthy in the aftermath of controversies surrounding her State Department emails and the finances of the Clinton Foundation.

"That could pose a problem for Clinton in the general election. Only 42 percent of all voters say they'd at least consider voting for her, down from 50 percent in April.

"But that doubt doesn't seem to be affecting her base. More than half of Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters say they'd rather have her than any other candidate. Just 23 percent of those who'd prefer another nominee, or about 7 percent of Democratic voters overall, cite her character as the main reason they're concerned about nominating her."

And this:

"Seventy-seven percent of Democratic and Democratic-leaning voters say they would be "enthusiastic" or "satisfied" to have Clinton as their nominee, a slight dip from the 85 percent who said the same in April.

"But she still fares better on that measure than Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), who's established himself as Clinton's liberal alternative and her foremost -- if still lagging -- rival for the Democratic nomination in states like New Hampshire."

Then there's this on the recognition factor:

"Sanders remains far more of an unknown quantity than Clinton, with nearly one-third of the Democratic Party's voters not sure what to make of him. He also attracts more dissension: Although Democrats are more likely than not to say they'd be happy with either candidate, 20 percent say they'd be "dissatisfied" or "upset" to have Sanders as their nominee, compared with just 14 percent who say the same of Clinton."

----------

It would be a huge upset if Sanders can knock off the Clinton machine.

 

Man of Distinction

(109 posts)
13. It would not be a surprise if Sanders' numbers shoots up after the debates
Mon Jul 6, 2015, 09:26 PM
Jul 2015

after the Summer of Sanders.

I've always thought Clinton's support throughout the years was soft, and like in 2008, it remains soft, and looking for someone who's an upstart like Obama was, but they are looking for authenticity, and Bernie has the creds and very consistent with his policies/issues. People are looking for someone to TRUST, and if they can believe in Bernie, then he can win.

Republicans can't even win, and they have no clear frontrunner. It's like spinning a wheel of fortune, and you'd have to hope for the best.

NanceGreggs

(27,813 posts)
26. Were you actually around in 2008?
Tue Jul 7, 2015, 12:29 AM
Jul 2015

One could hardly describe HRC's support as "soft". Obama besting her for the nomination was hard-fought, and hard-won.

Hillary's poll numbers speak to the fact that her support is anything but soft, back in '08 or now.

 

fbc

(1,668 posts)
17. Bernie's been running a few weeks, Hillary has been running for a decade
Mon Jul 6, 2015, 11:36 PM
Jul 2015

It's still name recognition at this point. That will change.

Bonobo

(29,257 posts)
18. Hillary polling in swing states is showing a very disturbing trend.
Mon Jul 6, 2015, 11:38 PM
Jul 2015

And trends, as anyone who watches politics knows, are what really matters.

https://img.washingtonpost.com/wp-apps/imrs.php?src=&w=1484

George II

(67,782 posts)
21. As stand alone data points, they're meaningless - Obama is President and his ratings are similar.
Mon Jul 6, 2015, 11:48 PM
Jul 2015

It's what how she's doing against her competition, both Democratic (or "Independent&quot and Republican.

On all fronts she's kicking ass.

brooklynite

(94,333 posts)
24. Trend are, indeed, what really matters:
Mon Jul 6, 2015, 11:55 PM
Jul 2015


That relatively straight line you see for Hillary -- at about 60% -- including the period when Sanders started going up -- is what they call a "trend".
 

RoccoR5955

(12,471 posts)
19. So if things change
Mon Jul 6, 2015, 11:41 PM
Jul 2015

And Mrs. Clinton is NOT the nominee, and Sanders is, will you supporters of Mrs. Clinton stand behind Sanders?
Just wondering.

Response to boston bean (Original post)

NanceGreggs

(27,813 posts)
27. There's nothing like FACTS ...
Tue Jul 7, 2015, 12:33 AM
Jul 2015

... to bring out the but, but, but crowd.

But it's too early, but it's all gonna change, but it's just name recognition, but it's all meaningless at this point, but Bernie hasn't gotten his message out there yet, but ... but ... but.

bob4460

(235 posts)
28. I believe that these polls are skewed
Tue Jul 7, 2015, 02:23 AM
Jul 2015

To the over 50 crowd,who have land line,a lot of the people UNDER 50 do not have landlines any more.So they are not represented in the polls and that is where the real support is.Older Americans mostly watch MSM News.

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