Thu May 31, 2012, 10:15 AM

hedgehog (30,574 posts)

It occurred to me that this election may well turn on possible events this summer:

- a bad hurricane and the quality of Federal response

- whatever happens in Syria

- what happens to the economy in the Eurozone

- a major scandal in the Catholic Church, especially among American clerics

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12 replies	Author	Time	Post
It occurred to me that this election may well turn on possible events this summer: (Original post)	hedgehog	May 2012	OP
If the Dow takes a dive, or there's a double-dip, or Israel bombs Iran . . .	leveymg	May 2012	#1
I expect a close race, period! I never thought it would be anything but close.	Liberal_Stalwart71	May 2012	#2
I don't, unless something changes or there's an unforeseen calamity.	leveymg	May 2012	#3
Well, the latest numbers on the economy aren't good. I'm keeping my fingers cross that this	Liberal_Stalwart71	May 2012	#10
The Dow will drop - the House Republicans will see to it by sabotaging the debt ceiling approval.	summerschild	May 2012	#4
that could work for us -	hedgehog	May 2012	#6
It won't stay down.	JoePhilly	May 2012	#11
Anne Rmoney's sister-wives are tired of being kept behind the curtain...n/t	monmouth	May 2012	#5
How would a hypothetical Catholic Church scandal (isn't there already a long-standing one)	Proud Liberal Dem	May 2012	#7
Right now Dolan is leading a push to get Catholics to vote for Romney	hedgehog	May 2012	#8
Yet Catholics have an issue with the Romney-backed Ryan Budget	Proud Liberal Dem	May 2012	#9
I can't picture any of those events affecting our election.	BlueIris	Jun 2012	#12

Response to hedgehog (Original post)

Thu May 31, 2012, 10:38 AM

leveymg (26,788 posts)

1. If the Dow takes a dive, or there's a double-dip, or Israel bombs Iran . . .

any of these could lead to a far closer race than most of us seem to expect.

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Response to leveymg (Reply #1)

Thu May 31, 2012, 10:55 AM

Liberal_Stalwart71 (14,169 posts)

2. I expect a close race, period! I never thought it would be anything but close.

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Response to Liberal_Stalwart71 (Reply #2)

Thu May 31, 2012, 11:00 AM

leveymg (26,788 posts)

3. I don't, unless something changes or there's an unforeseen calamity.

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Response to leveymg (Reply #3)

Thu May 31, 2012, 06:50 PM

Liberal_Stalwart71 (14,169 posts)

10. Well, the latest numbers on the economy aren't good. I'm keeping my fingers cross that this

is just a blip.

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Response to hedgehog (Original post)

Thu May 31, 2012, 11:10 AM

summerschild (321 posts)

4. The Dow will drop - the House Republicans will see to it by sabotaging the debt ceiling approval.

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Response to summerschild (Reply #4)

Thu May 31, 2012, 12:55 PM

hedgehog (30,574 posts)

6. that could work for us -

if we can pull back the curtain to show up the Republicans choosing party over country!

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Response to summerschild (Reply #4)

Thu May 31, 2012, 06:59 PM

JoePhilly (16,303 posts)

11. It won't stay down.

Its had a small pull back each summer since Obama took office. If its above 12k in August, Obama is fine. It should be about 12,700 by November.

UE should be under 8% by then as well.

I also think Obama is holding some cards for October.

The GOP needs the country to collapse ... and it is not going to happen.

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Response to hedgehog (Original post)

Thu May 31, 2012, 12:52 PM

monmouth (21,078 posts)

5. Anne Rmoney's sister-wives are tired of being kept behind the curtain...n/t

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Response to hedgehog (Original post)

Thu May 31, 2012, 12:56 PM

Proud Liberal Dem (11,837 posts)

7. How would a hypothetical Catholic Church scandal (isn't there already a long-standing one)

affect the race?

Hurricane? Unless you think that President Obama is as *competent* as Bush was, I wouldn't worry.

Syria? How exactly might what is going on there affect the race? Foreign policy is not going to play in the Republican's favor this year IMHO and they just complain about everything he does no matter what it is. They wanted him in Libya but then they started talking about withholding funds and/or impeaching him when he did.

The only one of those things that could really affect the race is the economy IMHO, which could become problematic if things get worse in Europe and it bleeds into our economy. Of course, things could always get better too, so.............

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Response to Proud Liberal Dem (Reply #7)

Thu May 31, 2012, 12:59 PM

hedgehog (30,574 posts)

8. Right now Dolan is leading a push to get Catholics to vote for Romney

If he tips the vote a few percent in the right districts, he could tip the election. If he's hit with a scandal, it may cut his influence.

I'm hoping Obama has had time to shake up FEMA. ( I'm hoping even more we don't get a chance to find out!)

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Response to hedgehog (Reply #8)

Thu May 31, 2012, 01:12 PM

Proud Liberal Dem (11,837 posts)

9. Yet Catholics have an issue with the Romney-backed Ryan Budget

As far as FEMA is concerned, I would like to think that President Obama chose somebody significantly more qualified than "Brownie" was. I believe that we've had a few natural disasters that FEMA had to handle since President Obama took office and AFAIK they were handled fine, weren't they (that might be why I don't remember hearing about them)?

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Response to hedgehog (Original post)

Fri Jun 1, 2012, 03:37 AM

BlueIris (29,135 posts)

12. I can't picture any of those events affecting our election.

I can foresee at least one major legal event doing a lot of damage.

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