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Peacetrain

(22,875 posts)
Fri Feb 6, 2015, 08:58 PM Feb 2015

Chris Christie will not be GOP nominee: Nate Silver

Scott Walker would make George Bush look like a saint... I do not care who the Democrats run.. they will be 1,000 % better than Scott Walker..



http://finance.yahoo.com/news/clinton-has-a-78--of-winning-democratic-nomination--nate-silver-151120593.html

Nate Silver, author of The Signal and the Noise and editor-in-chief of FiveThirtyEight is 78% sure Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic Party candidate, despite the fact that she has yet to even announce she's running. "She’s as sure as any non-incumbents ever been," he says. He puts Senator Elizabeth Warren in at 7% odds and Vice President Joe Biden in at 4%.

Top White House official and campaign veteran Mandy Grunwald, left the White House this week to work for Ready for Hillary Super PAC further fueling rumors that Clinton is joining the race.

Potential Republican candidates find a much more crowded pool with a large number of Senators, Governors and Congressmen already vying for the top spot. While the odds are ever changing, Silver puts Florida Governor Jeb Bush in a tie for front-runner with Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker. He believes they each have a 25% chance of winning the nomination.

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Chris Christie will not be GOP nominee: Nate Silver (Original Post) Peacetrain Feb 2015 OP
that's fucking terrifying. PeaceNikki Feb 2015 #1
Nothing worse than an over-confident authoritarian. postulater Feb 2015 #13
Truth in advertising laws should force Scotty to change his name to Half-Century Man Feb 2015 #2
Nominating HRC would guarantee a Republican president in 2017. Vincardog Feb 2015 #3
Any real evidence of that, or is this just more useless DU pontification? Tarheel_Dem Feb 2015 #5
HRC was a "Goldwater Girl" the definition of Republican. Vincardog Feb 2015 #7
But, she wasn't in late 40's when she made the switch like someone else who shall remain nameless. Tarheel_Dem Feb 2015 #8
I named. onehandle Feb 2015 #10
Good on you. Coke & a smile on the way.------->>>>>>>> Tarheel_Dem Feb 2015 #19
HRC is a CORPORATIST and a war monger. Vincardog Feb 2015 #18
Warren: "Destroying ISIS should be 'No. 1 priority' " Tarheel_Dem Feb 2015 #20
Elizabeth Warren is almost as old as Hillary and was a Republican for decades longer than her. onehandle Feb 2015 #9
The Party has been shoved so far to the right, only has-been Repukes are viewed as electable. blkmusclmachine Feb 2015 #15
Actually not quaker bill Feb 2015 #16
I dont think that's true. Warren DeMontague Feb 2015 #22
I predicted the same thing the other day. Thanks for the confirmation Nate. Tarheel_Dem Feb 2015 #4
Not going to be Walker. Never was going to be Christie. Was always going to be Hillary. onehandle Feb 2015 #6
I guess Jeb bush will be finding all things Rosa Luxemburg Feb 2015 #11
I will support the democrat nominee MFM008 Feb 2015 #12
Rick Scott Walker Texas Ranger Vic Tree Feb 2015 #14
Duh. McCamy Taylor Feb 2015 #17
The headline is a little misleading Silver did not say bigdarryl Feb 2015 #21

Half-Century Man

(5,279 posts)
2. Truth in advertising laws should force Scotty to change his name to
Fri Feb 6, 2015, 09:05 PM
Feb 2015

ALEC Walker.

Hope the John Doe investigations sink this turd.

Tarheel_Dem

(31,232 posts)
5. Any real evidence of that, or is this just more useless DU pontification?
Fri Feb 6, 2015, 09:27 PM
Feb 2015
Young Voters Plan to Vote in 2016 and most back HIllary Clinton

<Young Democrats across all demographics pick Clinton to be the party’s next nominee, according to the survey. More than half — 57 percent — of the Democrats surveyed prefer Clinton, compared with 10 percent who choose Vice President Joe Biden and another 10 percent who want Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren. At 19 percent, a large chunk are still undecided.

More than three-quarters millennials say they are at least “very likely” to vote in the 2016 presidential election, a level of enthusiasm that has the potential to dwarf previous turnouts from young people in past elections.

In all, 77 percent 18 to 34-year-olds are “absolutely certain” or “very likely” to vote in 2016, according to the survey. Another 14 percent said they will “possibly” vote, bringing the total up to 91 percent. Just 8 percent say they are not likely to vote, while 1 percent is undecided.>

http://www.democraticunderground.com/10026182275

Tarheel_Dem

(31,232 posts)
20. Warren: "Destroying ISIS should be 'No. 1 priority' "
Sun Feb 8, 2015, 02:49 PM
Feb 2015
Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) on Wednesday said that the Obama administration should make defeating the Islamic State in Iraq and Syria (ISIS) its top priority.

"ISIS is growing in strength. It has money, it has organization, it has the capacity to inflict real damage. So when we think about a response we have to think about how to destroy that," Warren told Yahoo's Katie Couric.
Warren agreed that "time is of the essence."

"We need to be working now, full-speed ahead, with other countries, to destroy ISIS. That should be our No. 1 priority," she said in a wide-ranging interview promoting her latest book, A Fighting Chance.

"The terrorists have moved, and we have to move in response," she said, adding part of that "means we're going to have to change in fundamental ways how we monitor our citizens when they go abroad."


http://thehill.com/policy/international/216559-warren-destroying-isis-should-be-our-no-1-priority

Sounds kinda hawkish to me, but she was damn near 50 before she jumped off the Republican bandwagon, so I guess it shouldn't be surprising. This is probably why she has already endorsed Hillary.

onehandle

(51,122 posts)
9. Elizabeth Warren is almost as old as Hillary and was a Republican for decades longer than her.
Fri Feb 6, 2015, 09:54 PM
Feb 2015

Yet I love them both.

quaker bill

(8,224 posts)
16. Actually not
Sat Feb 7, 2015, 09:46 AM
Feb 2015

It only assures a republican president in 2021. But then pretty much any Dem winning in 2016 assures a republican win in 2020. It is just how this stuff works.

Hillary will get a term if she wants one.

Warren DeMontague

(80,708 posts)
22. I dont think that's true.
Sun Feb 8, 2015, 08:01 PM
Feb 2015

I'd like to see her actually lead instead of adopt an endless series of "safe", poll-tested campaign positions, but I do think she has the possibility of being a very strong, electable candidate.

onehandle

(51,122 posts)
6. Not going to be Walker. Never was going to be Christie. Was always going to be Hillary.
Fri Feb 6, 2015, 09:30 PM
Feb 2015

Nobody can beat her.

 

bigdarryl

(13,190 posts)
21. The headline is a little misleading Silver did not say
Sun Feb 8, 2015, 03:51 PM
Feb 2015

Christie will not be the nominee he just gives him a 5% Chance right now.Anything can happen with the GOP clown car but I live in NJ and even New Jersey residents don't want to see him run he's only got a 38% approval rating the only ones proping him up is the media

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