While it's still many lifetimes (politically speaking) until the election, I'm struck by a few things here:
1) No states "lean Romney." Once you get past the GOP stronghold states, the states he needs are all either too close to call or breaking Obama's way.
2) There are no traditional Dem states that are tossups. There are at least 3 traditional GOP states that are tossups or leaning Obama (AZ, NC, VA). Even up against a polarizing president in an anemic economy, the GOP continues its march to minority status.
I'm feeling mighty confident about retaining the Oval Office. It'll be an uphill battle to retain or increase our numbers in the Senate, though, and even harder to retake the House. But both are possible, and the momentum's going our way.