2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumObama up by 14 in New Mexico (PPP)
GObama!!
New Mexico is not going to be a swing state this year.
Barack Obama defeated John McCain by 15 points there in 2008, and the polling so far suggests a similar outcome is likely this fall. PPP's newest poll finds Obama ahead of Mitt Romney 54-40 in the state. That's changed little from when we polled the state in December and found Obama up 53-38.
Obama's overwhelming support from three groups that have received a lot of attention lately- women, Hispanics, and young voters- makes it very hard for Romney to be competitive in New Mexico. Obama's up 61-35 with women, 67-30 with Hispanics, and 56-35 with young voters.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/
FrenchieCat
(68,867 posts)As that would cover Hispanic voters, Women Voters and Southwest/West (New Mexico, Arizona, Colorado & Nevada) Voters.....
Depending on what their vetting reveals, she's probably going to be the one,
as there is no other politician out there that would gain Romney more votes.
I hope that the Obama campaign is aware of this possibility, and are vetting her
now as we speak themselves....
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)Although Susana Martinez is one of the most popular Governors in the country with 54% of voters approving of her to 38% who disapprove, her presence on the ticket- which she's pretty much ruled out anyway- wouldn't do much to make Romney competitive. A Romney/Martinez slate still trails Obama/Biden by a 53-42 margin.
book_worm
(15,951 posts)NM with her on a Romney ticket. Mitt is in so much trouble with latinos and in the southwest (AZ is close, too), that he will need to roll the dice. I think that Martinez very well could be the running mate.
Warpy
(111,145 posts)up until the minute the polls closed. It's a real pity they didn't talk to anybody but John Dendahl, the state's perennial GOP candidate for everything, they'd have gotten a completely different picture about just how angry the state had gotten with the theft of our votes in 2004 and Stupid's misadministration in general.
Because a combination of voter apathy and a right wing smear job of the whole Richardson administration, we got one GOP Rep in the southern part of the state and a horrible Texas teabagger governor. However, since then, Governor Teabagger has caught so much flack that she's kept a really low profile and people in the south are realizing why they threw Pearce out in 2008. I think they have a good chance of kicking him out again this year.
But no way do most people in this state want another GOP administration in Washington. Those bastards always cost us too much money.
Voice for Peace
(13,141 posts)iloveObama12
(421 posts)here i come!
DCBob
(24,689 posts)hardly.