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Fri Feb 1, 2013, 05:29 PM

2013 MA US Senate Race is now in the Lean/Likely Democratic collumn.

Brown-R has announced he will not run for the US Senate.
Markey-D is strongly favored to win the Democratic Primary over Lynch-D.
Republicans will nominate Healy-R.
Tisei-R or Weld-R are too liberal to win the Republican nomination.
Markey-D just cannot take any vacations.

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Response to NPolitics1979 (Original post)

Fri Feb 1, 2013, 09:46 PM

1. 'Tisei-R or Weld-R are too liberal to win the Republican nomination.'

This is MA. Republicans choose more moderate nominees than in other parts of the country (even if some of them lie about their true policies, eg. Romney).

If the GOP wants to have a chance at the seat, they will have to nominate a moderate and not a Tea Party extremist.

But can Weld run anyway? Not sure if he has the residency requirement since he just moved back to the state, right?

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Response to NPolitics1979 (Original post)

Mon Feb 4, 2013, 03:37 AM

2. 2013 MA US Senate Race-Democratic Primary. and 2014 MA Governors Race.

Markey- Frontrunner/establishment candidate- Capuano/Coakley voters.
Lynch- Blue Collar alternative- Capuano/Brown voters
Leone- Law and Order alternative- Coakley/Brown voters.
Taylor- Sacrificial Lamb alternative- Khazei/Pagulica voters.
In the general election.
Lynch or Leone voters have potential of voting for Kerry Healey.

Regarding the Governors Race-Coakley-D is not running but Brown-R is undecided, Potential candidates on the Democratic side includes Setti Warren and Steve Pagulica.

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Response to NPolitics1979 (Original post)

Mon Feb 4, 2013, 05:52 AM

3. Tisei has announced he will not run. Neither Weld or Healy have announced they will.

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Response to NPolitics1979 (Original post)

Mon Feb 4, 2013, 06:09 AM

4. The Boston Herald is angry with Brown

Seems like he may have alienated some of his supporters by backing out and leaving them high & dry.

http://bostonherald.com/news_opinion/columnists/holly_robichaud/2013/02/our_honeymoon_scott_brown_just_ended

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Response to TroyD (Reply #4)

Mon Feb 4, 2013, 07:41 AM

5. This means he won't be a shoe in for MA Gov.

GOP Primary- Favored or Tossup against Baker.
GOP Ticket will either be Brown/Polito- the modern Cellucci/Swift or Romney/Healey. Baker/Tisei.
Democratic Nominee will be either Grossman or Capuano or Berwick or Pagulica.
DEM Ticket- Grossman/Bump (the establishment), Capuano/S. Warren(progressive establishment), or Berwick/Pagulica are the fiscal conservative democratic alternative or wildcard Lynch/Leone- the social conservative democratic alternative. Lynch or Leone will have no other options for higher office. Both US Senate seats will be held by Warren/Markey then will be succeeded by Joe K Jr. and Setti Warren. Leone cannot run for AG because of Coakley.

Grossman or Capuano defeats Baker but is in a Tossup against Brown.

For the US Senate 2013/2014
Markey-D vs Healey-R.
If Healey-R were to have a surprise win.
Will we see a Patrick-D vs Healey-R rematch (2006 MA Governors Race) assuming Markey-D does not want to seek a rematch.

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Response to NPolitics1979 (Original post)

Mon Feb 4, 2013, 07:59 AM

6. GOP revises odds of Senate majority after losing Scott Brown

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Response to NPolitics1979 (Original post)

Tue Feb 5, 2013, 06:12 AM

7. The Boston Herald & the GOP have been 'traumatized' by Brown's decision!



I realize that the Herald has been utterly traumatized by the withdrawal of former Senator McDreamy, but the idea that all the Massachusetts Republican party needs to revive its hopes is to conjure up the magic name of...Romney!...is a call for an intervention of the most vigorous sort. By all means, let's gauge Ann's interest in getting out there and meeting You People again. Or let's see if the family's mad Bene Gesserit mind-skillz truly have the ability to warp the minds of the unwary.



http://www.esquire.com/blogs/politics/Gobshites_Talking_Football

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