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Sun Jan 27, 2013, 04:52 PM

2014 US Senate Election-Republicans guide to regaining control of the US Senate.

2013 MA Special- Brown-R has to run this year but he gets voted out again in 2014, Since Brown-R got into the US Senate in 2010 by a surprise, All of the Democratic Members of the US House (Markey-D,Capuano-D,and Lynch-D) were unwilling to give up their US House Seat in 2012 to unseat Brown-R, The opportunity went to Warren-D who was successful. Democratic candidates to challenge Brown-R in 2014, D. Patrick-D has other future ambitions, A Markey-D rematch, can Worcester area US Congressman unseat Brown-R, or is he afraid a Scott Brown type Republican can win his US House Seat.
2014
1)WV(OPEN-Rockefeller-D) Capito-R
2)SD(Johnson-D) Rounds-R
3)AK(Begich-D) Treadwell-R
4)IA(OPEN-Harkin-D) Branstad-R or Latham-R
5)MI(OPEN-Levin-D) Engler-R or Miller-R
6)LA(Landrieu-D) forcing her in a runoff, Landry-R or Cassidy-R or Fleming-R
Democrats are likely to hang onto IA(Braley-D), MI(Peters-D) and LA(Landrieu-D)
Republicans have to target
7)AR(Pryor-D) Darr-R
8)NC(Hagan-D) Ellmers-R
Democrats are likely to hang onto both of those seats.
9)CO(Udall-D) Suthers-R or Norton-R Seat is trending Democratic.
Republicans have to make sure Collins is the GOP nominee again in ME.

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Reply 2014 US Senate Election-Republicans guide to regaining control of the US Senate. (Original post)
NPolitics1979 Jan 2013 OP
Hard Assets Jan 2013 #1
mojitojoe Jan 2013 #2
BlueDemKev Jan 2013 #3
NPolitics1979 Jan 2013 #4
TroyD Jan 2013 #6
NPolitics1979 Jan 2013 #8
TroyD Jan 2013 #5
dmosh42 Jan 2013 #7

Response to NPolitics1979 (Original post)

Sun Jan 27, 2013, 04:58 PM

1. Republicans aren't welcome here in CO

 

They are going to get extremely endangered - thanks to two districts that will be trending blue - kicking out Coffmann and Gardner, perhaps a third in Tipton.

Udall will cruise through his re-election effort. Republicans will put up a sacrificial lamb, as usual.

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Response to NPolitics1979 (Original post)

Sun Jan 27, 2013, 06:03 PM

2. Never underestimate the GOPs ability to screw up 'sure thing' elections.

Indiana, South Dakota, Montana, Missouri, Wisconsin were all races that the Republicans were supposed to win handily. Instead they went with tea-bagger candidates and outright idiots and lost them all. They are just as capable of screwing it up in 2014.

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Response to mojitojoe (Reply #2)

Sun Jan 27, 2013, 08:05 PM

3. But remember, these are MIDTERMS...

...and we all know our party base is not the best at getting out to vote unless it's a presidential election. Remember (gulp!) 2010?

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Response to BlueDemKev (Reply #3)

Sun Jan 27, 2013, 09:26 PM

4. Looking at the Democratic held US Senate Seats up for grabs that Republicans have a fighting chance.

MA is based on what happens during the next six months- does Brown-R run in the July 2013 Special Election, can he win a hard fought general election against Markey-D with the help from Warren-D,Patrick-D,Frank-D,Capuano-D,McGovern-D,and the surviving members of Kennedy family, Joe and Vicky. If Brown-R does not run, Markey-D wins the special election by a wide margin. If Brown-R runs, the race becomes a Tossup, If Markey-D defeats Brown-R in the special-the 2014 MA US Senate Race moves into the Likely Democratic collumn, Brown's political career is over. If Brown-R wins the special election, 2014 MA US Senate Race will be a Tossup-depending on Vicky Kennedy,Deval Patrick,or Ed Markey running.
Open or Possible Open Seats in IL,IA,MI,NJ,SD,and WV
Democrats are going to hold onto IL and NJ.
IA-Democrats will have an easier time against King-R.
MI- Republican US Members Camp,Upton,and Rogers are committee chairs, The other Republican US Members are too Rightwing.
Republican pick up WV-Capito-R and SD-Rounds-R. -2D
Red States -AK,AR,LA,and NC.
Democrats hold onto AR-Pryor-D will have support from Bubba,Beebe,and Bumpers, Darr-R is weak compared to Huckabee,Hutchinson,and Boozman.
LA-Landrieu-D faces one of the Rightwing LA US House members.
NC-Hagan-D faces either Ellmers-R or McHenry-R.
AK -depends on who wins the GOP primary, if its Miller-R, Begich-D is strongly favored to win, If its Treadwell-R, the race will be a Tossup.
Democrats are strongly favored to win CO,MN,MT,NH,NM,OR,and VA.
Democrats are safe in DE and RI.
Republicans have to defend seats in GA,KY,ME,and MS.

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Response to BlueDemKev (Reply #3)

Mon Jan 28, 2013, 02:22 AM

6. Exactly!

There wouldn't be a Senator Johnson of Wisconsin if D's had gotten off their backsides and voted in 2010 like they did in 2012. Russ Feingold narrowly lost because so many people stayed home.

Same thing happened with Obama's former seat in Illinois, and in a couple of other places in 2010.

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Response to TroyD (Reply #6)

Mon Jan 28, 2013, 06:14 PM

8. 2014

Open Democratic held seats in Purple/Red states.
WV is going R(Capito) followed by SD(Rounds)
MI(Peters-D vs Engler-R/Schuette-R) will be worth watching along with IA(Braley-D vs Latham-R), In IA-Republicans might self destruct nominating King-R. MI is all about Democratic GOTV.
Democratic Incumbents running in Purple/Red States.
AK(Begich-D) is the number 1 target but survives if Republicans choose Miller-R over Treadwell-R.
AR(Pryor-D) defeats Darr-R by a single digit margin.
LA(Landrieu-D) faces Landry-R or Cassidy-R -She survives.
NC(Hagan-D) faces Thillis-R -She survives.
Democrats will hold onto CO,MN,MT,NH,NM,OR,and VA.
Lets hope Markey-D wins MA 2013 special. against Brown-R.

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Response to mojitojoe (Reply #2)

Mon Jan 28, 2013, 02:21 AM

5. South Dakota?

I don't think there was a Senate race in that state in 2012.

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Response to NPolitics1979 (Original post)

Mon Jan 28, 2013, 06:08 AM

7. They already have control of the senate with the failure of the filibuster reform!

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