Tue Jan 8, 2013, 06:25 PM
Drunken Irishman (27,668 posts)
Republicans face unexpected challenges in coastal South amid shrinking white vote
Obama won Virginia and Florida and narrowly missed victory in North Carolina. But he also polled as well in Georgia as any Democrat since Jimmy Carter, grabbed 44 percent of the vote in deep-red South Carolina and just under that in Mississippi ó despite doing no substantive campaigning in any of those states.
Much of the post-election analysis has focused on the demographic crisis facing Republicans among Hispanic voters, particularly in Texas. But the results across other parts of the South, where Latinos remain a single-digit minority, point to separate trends among blacks and whites that may also have big implications for the GOPís future.
The results show a region cleaving apart along new electoral fault lines. In the regionís center, clustered along the Mississippi River ó where Bill Clinton polled most strongly ó the GOP remains largely unchallenged and the voting divide between blacks and whites is deepening. Nearly nine of 10 of white voters in Mississippi, for instance, went for Republican nominee Mitt Romney this year, according to exit polls. About 96 percent of black voters in the state supported Obama.
Obamaís 2012 numbers in the Southeastern coastal states outperformed every Democratic nominee since Carter and significantly narrowed past gaps between Democratic and Republican candidates. The lone possible exception is Georgia in 1996, which gave Arkansas native Bill Clinton 45.8 percent in 1996; Obama fell 0.4 percent short of that mark in tentative 2012 results, but ongoing revisions could close the gap.
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Republicans face unexpected challenges in coastal South amid shrinking white vote (Original post)
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Response to Drunken Irishman (Original post)
Thu Jan 10, 2013, 11:54 PM
CBHagman (14,999 posts)
13. Somehow I missed this story.
Thank you for posting it. I've been hearing for two decades about the implications of changing demographics on the political make-up of the country, but I hadn't read anything new about the Southeast. Immigration and other factors (Retirement trends, perhaps?) really ought to be reshaping the South in one fashion or another.