2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumNo constitutional scholar here, yet I disagree with Toobin's (CNN) assessment of justices' comments.
SCOTUS' struggle with the severability issue is just as likely to result in pulling the mandate from the law and leaving the rest to Congress to find funding, or, if a good case is made for constitutionality of the mandate, leaving the law as written.
Robert's comments today highlighted the dilemma, yet I didn't take it as a give on a decision.
regnaD kciN
(26,035 posts)You're a committed layperson with strong opinions. You may be right or you may be wrong, but isn't what you say a little like saying "I'm no doctor, but I think your doctor's diagnosis is utterly wrong"...?
pinto
(106,886 posts)between my doc and I. And private.
This is a public discourse thing. We're all in it together, whatever our point of view.
Proud Liberal Dem
(24,355 posts)The fact that they may have to decide between overturning the law in toto or upholding it in its entirety is probably going to work in our favor IMHO- unless they don't care if they are seen negatively for destroying an entire body of (badly needed) reforms. They may ultimately decide that they can find some wiggle room in the constitution that makes the mandate permissible rather than deep-sixing the entire thing. I know that it's easy to be cynical about SCOTUS, particularly after Bush V. Gore and Citizens United and most of the conservative justices will likely vote to kill it (i.e. Scalia, Thomas) but Kennedy and possibly even Roberts might actually vote to uphold it in the end. My prediction: 5-4 or 6-3 to uphold the law in its entirety. Bookmarking for later.
pinto
(106,886 posts)We'll see.
Proud Liberal Dem
(24,355 posts)that Roberts would want the "distinction" of striking down ACA on his watch but, yeah, we'll see.........
JDPriestly
(57,936 posts)clause.
There is probably a good chance that the Court will decide to sever sections that they claim are unconstitutional.