the prediction markets have reacted swiftly to the fbi/email news:

[unblock]

... and the verdict is...





http://predictwise.com/





hillary's still at 90% likely to win!

[Farmgirl1961]

1. It depends on how long this stays as a top news story...

n/t

[still_one]

2. This is very precarious. Market predictor is NOT a good indicator

Here are headlines right now:

http://www.cnn.com/

Unless this is stopped now by the campaign, I am afraid this is over for us

[Charles Bukowski]

5. Careful

you might snap a wrist with all that hsnd-wringing you're doing.

[still_one]

8. It isn't ME. The MSM is plastering this all over the place. Whether it is true or not

if you don't think that this has to be handled immediately by the campaign, then I suggest you are being naive

[DarthDem]

7. "Over for Us"?

Are you serious?

You really, really, really, really need to calm down.

[still_one]

10. The headlines all over the MSM are spewing this bullshit. Whether it is true or not is

not the case, unless the campaign pushes back on this immediately

[DarthDem]

15. You Said That Already

How is your quite visible panic helping what you view to be such a dire situation? Is this how you react to daily crises? OH MY GOD WE'RE OUT OF MILK!!!!!!!! OHIO AND IOWA ARE GONE FOR US!!!!!!!!!!! WHERE'S MY FAINTING COUCH???

Calm down.

[still_one]

18. FFS, you don't like my comments, don't read them

[DarthDem]

19. It's Actually Important . . .

. . . to rebut your unreasoning panic. I know it won't have any effect on you, but it may help others whom you are intentionally or unintentionally attempting to influence. Sorry if that annoys you.

[still_one]

20. I hope you are right, but I suspect facts won't matter in this case, since every

right wing wacko is been presented all over the media spewing their bullshit, and of course the media is using the Chuck Todd method of journalism, "it isn't the job of the media to correct any falsehoods."

[unblock]

9. thing is, people have already been hearing a lot about emails. this is just more of the same.

as long as it's emails, emails, email it's not going to change much at this point.

unless they're able to find an excuse to start repeating indictment, indictment, indictment, it's not going to affect much.

remember, hillary being investigated is not news, especially with uncertain or unclear results.

[anneboleyn]

13. But, now it is "FBI REOPENING CASE" that is being repeated by msm. That's the problem.

[unblock]

14. most people aren't so in the weeds. they likely think the investigation is ongoing anyway.

[misterhighwasted]

3. Whew..it'll be a close one folks!

[Dawson Leery]

4. We need more on Trump, NOW!

[Joe941]

6. Stock markets are tanking!

[agnostic102]

11. uh

this happend like an hour or two ago. its barely 11 here on the west coast in the morning. Just found out about this morning. im getting phone calls left and right from bernie supporters that are pissed!!! im in shock right now. how the hell could this happen?

[DarthDem]

17. LOL

Thanks for your concern. Hope you successfully deal with those left-and-right phone calls.

[PeteSelman]

12. It's a little early for this.

The news just hit.

Let's see what happens going forward.

[unblock]

16. part of the point of predictive markets is that they can react faster than polling.

the logic is, if you really think Hillary's chances are damaged after this, i.e., less than 90%, then you can go make some money on it by betting on trump and selling tomorrow, say, and profit as his chances go from 10% to 15% or whatever.

the fact that the markets aren't moving means that people don't think there's profit to be made on such a bet.

[PeteSelman]

22. Ok, let's hope that it stays steady then.

The media will blow this out of proportion toot sweet.

[andym]

21. Actually that's a good source to watch over the next few days. nt.