538: ‘Missing’ White Voters Could Elect Trump. But First They Need To Register.

[Imperialism Inc.]

Last edited Fri Sep 30, 2016, 07:06 AM - Edit history (1)

It looks like Trump's inept campaign is failing to get their voters registered.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/missing-white-voters-could-elect-trump-but-first-they-need-to-register/
...
If Trump were able to activate merely one of every eight of these “missing whites” to vote for him, he would wipe out Obama’s 2012 margins in three states — Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania — and win both the Electoral College and the popular vote. If he were able to activate one of every five, he could add Virginia, Nevada, Iowa and New Hampshire:

...
But nothing like that has materialized. In the 15 months since Trump announced his run, net registration gains in heavily white, rural and GOP-leaning counties have been unremarkable.

...
The story is the same in Pennsylvania. Since May 2015, registrations have increased 4.9 percent in the 63 counties where a majority of potential voters are non-college-educated white people. But in the other four counties (Philadelphia, Delaware, Montgomery and Chester), registrations have risen 6.3 percent. Those four more-cosmopolitan counties combined for an Obama margin of 611,724 votes in 2012, nearly twice his statewide margin of victory.

...
So what’s going on? It could be that Trump is motivating slightly more new voters against him than for him. Or, perhaps more likely, it could be that white working class voters are out there to be activated, but Trump’s campaign and the Republican National Committee have waited until too late to build the analytics and ground infrastructure necessary to identify and register them. That’s where Clinton and the Democrats have excelled.

...

[MFM008]

1. they wont.

[The_Casual_Observer]

2. They are more afraid of jury duty than Hillary.

This is a big fear. Probably 90% of those idiots at trump events aren't registered and probably have never filed a tax return .

NO JOKE.

[shrike]

11. Absolutely right

I know a couple of local candidates who walked the precincts. They heard over and over, "I'm not registered to vote because I don't want to be called for jury duty."

[gelsdorf]

3. They support Trump

but are off the 'grid'
THAT will work for ya now, wont it!

[vdogg]

4. Silver needs to shut up and stop giving them ideas.

😀

[quaker bill]

6. true

however if they were ever going to do it, they needed to get started many months ago.

[Guy Whitey Corngood]

13. That's a fucked up attitude to have. All these people deserve to vote on

November 12th.

[NoGoodNamesLeft]

5. Many Trump supporters are just keyboard jockeys

Who can't pull themselves away from their computer long enough to register to vote.

[BlueMTexpat]

7. Shhh!

Hopefully, they won't realize this until it's WAY too late.

[grossproffit]

8. We're running a shuttle next Tuesday in Pinal co, AZ helping people get ID/licenses & reg to vote.

We're so pumped up.

There are many people that don't have state ID's or driver's licenses. This election is important enough for many to make sure they're on the books & registered to vote.

The deadline is 10/10 in AZ.

[Democat]

12. Thank you!

Future generations will appreciate what you did.

[smorkingapple]

9. This election SHOULD demolish any more R notions they can win with only whites

When they win OH and lose election, it's gonna be a sight to see.

[LiberalFighter]

10. Yes they need to register. Register for the wedding registry.