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Godhumor

(6,437 posts)
Mon Aug 29, 2016, 01:18 PM Aug 2016

What the experts are saying about Emerson's methodology

Please note, this is not about the numbers presented, but the methodology behind the poll itself.

Let's start with Nate Cohn of the NYT Upshot:

Really glad we have another automated pollster jumping into the mix.

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/770272846446792704

If you're writing up polls that don't have any means to contact vtrs without a landline, you're wasting everyone's time--most of all, yours

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/770300214112579585

I do think that some private firms with have tons of resources/data can model LL-only samples well. But that's not Emerson, Gravis, etc

https://twitter.com/Nate_Cohn/status/770301961988177921

Harry Enten of 538:

First Tweet is in response to Nate Cohn's quip about automated pollsters:

@nate_cohn You sound about as glad as I did when I heard that Ronald McDonald was just a made up character .

https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/770273297716183040

IVR (or live phone) without a cell-phone component https://t.co/z7DawGpDaL

https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/770275857881501696
The link in the Tweet is to a clip from "The Other Guys" where The Rock and Sam Jackson leap to their deaths.


So yeah, probably not a great poll...

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What the experts are saying about Emerson's methodology (Original Post) Godhumor Aug 2016 OP
Thanks. I had looked at the 538 rating a bit ago and see it is a B and leans Republican riversedge Aug 2016 #1
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