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Thu Nov 8, 2012, 09:02 PM

 

So what do the University of Colorado election 'experts' have to say about themselves?

Their model allegedly accurately predicted every election and they pointed to a Romney landslide.

6 replies, 671 views

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Reply So what do the University of Colorado election 'experts' have to say about themselves? (Original post)
limousineliberal Nov 2012 OP
still_one Nov 2012 #1
smorkingapple Nov 2012 #2
jody Nov 2012 #3
ProudToBeBlueInRhody Nov 2012 #4
JackN415 Nov 2012 #5
OldHippieChick Nov 2012 #6

Response to limousineliberal (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 09:04 PM

1. And where are the media? Crickets

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Response to limousineliberal (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 09:07 PM

2. Look at these assholes... lol...

http://polisci.colorado.edu/sites/default/files/Berry_Bickers_2012_Forecast.pdf

As figure 1 shows, the states we predict President Obama will carry include a
substantially reduced set than those he carried in 2008.
5
This is supported by the fact that no
states won by McCain are predicted to flip to Obama. What is striking about our state-level
economic indicator forecast is the expectation that Obama will lose almost all of the states
currently considered as swing states, including North Carolina, Virginia, New Hampshire,
Colorado, Wisconsin, Minnesota, Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Florida.
Three other states that might
be viewed as swing states— Michigan, New Mexico, and Nevada—are predicted to stay in
Obama’s column. Our forecast is that the President will receive 218 Electoral College votes,
putting him well short of the 270 needed to win reelection.


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Response to limousineliberal (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 10:04 PM

3. Any model outside science is just pure bull shit when it comes to predicting. Explaining the

 

cause of observed effects for various social and economic questions is just a handful of special cases manipulated with various pseudo statistical techniques to fool the ignorant and downright stupid.

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Response to limousineliberal (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 10:08 PM

4. Mea culpa

http://www.denverpost.com/recommended/ci_21953154

Basically they act like the voters made the wrong decision.

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Response to limousineliberal (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 10:09 PM

5. the stuff was debunk a while back. Only the RW kept on quoting it.

 

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Response to limousineliberal (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 10:17 PM

6. The only thing I saw Bickers say today in the Denver Post

was that his model was "wrong". Ya think???

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