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Thu Nov 8, 2012, 10:47 AM

Julian Castro: Texas may be a swing state in 6-8 years

Texas May Be a Swing State in 6-8 Years
San Antonio Mayor Julian Castro (D) said Texas will be competitive for Democrats in the next six to eight years, National Journal reports.

Said Castro: "Here in Texas, the Hispanic vote has been growing tremendously because Hispanics accounted for 65 percent of the population growth over the last decade. We're going to see more and more Democratic candidates get elected to local races, county races... At the statewide level, it's going to take a little bit longer."

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/11/08/texas_may_be_a_swing_state_in_6-8_years.html

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Reply Julian Castro: Texas may be a swing state in 6-8 years (Original post)
WI_DEM Nov 2012 OP
hamsterjill Nov 2012 #1
outsideworld Nov 2012 #2
Avalux Nov 2012 #20
cherish44 Nov 2012 #3
txdemsftw Nov 2012 #4
NewJeffCT Nov 2012 #5
JiminyJominy Nov 2012 #6
sammytko Nov 2012 #18
sadbear Nov 2012 #7
TTUBatfan2008 Nov 2012 #10
sadbear Nov 2012 #12
JiminyJominy Nov 2012 #8
Alekei_Firebird Nov 2012 #9
Robbins Nov 2012 #11
sadbear Nov 2012 #13
Robbins Nov 2012 #14
LukeFL Nov 2012 #16
sadbear Nov 2012 #19
Smuckies Nov 2012 #15
NYC Liberal Nov 2012 #17

Response to WI_DEM (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 11:00 AM

1. Castro is going to be biting at Perry's arse!!!!

I cannot wait! I cannot simply wait!!!! I am going to LOVE IT!!!!

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Response to WI_DEM (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 11:48 AM

2. Castro for president

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Response to outsideworld (Reply #2)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 04:14 PM

20. Right now he says no. Wants to stay Mayor of SA.

Of course that might change in the future, but as far as 2016 goes, he says he's not interested. Breaks my heart, I would like him to be governor first.

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Response to WI_DEM (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 11:52 AM

3. I would LOVE to see Castro as govenor of TX someday nt

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Response to WI_DEM (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 11:55 AM

4. Castro WILL be TX Governer

soon...we are shifting this state from RED to PURPLE to BLUE...

Most of our major cities are turning blue, it's the rural areas that are still bright red...and most of them (including my hometown) get their news from FOX and small biased newspapers.

But, I believe this state will change for the better. So, watch out TX haters!

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Response to WI_DEM (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 01:22 PM

5. He gave a great speech at the DNC

so, I think he's got VP potential for 2016.

Clinton-Castro?

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Response to WI_DEM (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 01:23 PM

6. As Mentioned

in the other thread, I live in Texas (live in burb but work in metro) and I just do not see us going purple until 2028 or so realistically.

I like Castro and his enthusiasm but I just don't see it.

Bill White (Houston's immensely popular mayor) spent $30m, worked the valley door to door, worked rural areas door to door, and did everything else under the sun to win Governor and got destroyed by Rick Dumbass Perry in the election.

This is such a large state with so many redneck type rural areas that this state is a long ways from becoming purple much less blue.

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Response to JiminyJominy (Reply #6)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 03:54 PM

18. I agree. Live south of San Antonio - red area sandwiched between the blue of S.A. and deeper s. tx

many of the rural hispanics around here vote republican or worse - DO NOT VOTE!

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Response to WI_DEM (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 01:25 PM

7. Texas WILL be a swing state in 2020.

Bank on it.

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Response to sadbear (Reply #7)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 01:31 PM

10. Doubt it, but...

It very well could be lost for the Republicans over the next 20 years. If they lose Texas as a stronghold, they'll never win another Presidential election.

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Response to TTUBatfan2008 (Reply #10)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 01:46 PM

12. In eight years, there will be more dead old white voters and more young Hispanic voters.

The Texas Democratic Party has embraced the Hispanic community and with President Obama's campaign as a model, we will get them to the polls in 2020. I'm not saying we will win it in 2020, but we will be competitive and republicans will have to spend money here for the first time in a long time.

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Response to WI_DEM (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 01:25 PM

8. Guess We'll See

we can agree to disagree. I don't see it.

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Response to WI_DEM (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 01:26 PM

9. TX spells the GOP's doom

The GOP simply cannot be playing defense in states like AZ, GA, and TX if they want to compete with the Democrats who have solidified the West, Rockies, Midwest, and Northeast firmly in the blue.

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Response to WI_DEM (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 01:33 PM

11. Castro

Don't be surprised to see him as VP candiate In 2016.

If there Is a white nominee who can can get the black vote out In high numbers with Castro as VP getting the hispanic vote In
high numbers Texas might be In play for 2016.

A ClintonCastro ticket In 2016 could be very strong In 2016 and could make Texas Competive.

In 1996 Bill Clinton got 44 percent of vote In Texas to Dole getting 49 percent of the vote but remember Dole did better with Blacks
than Romney did and hispancis weren't as strong a voting block In 1996 as they are now.So It's not a crazy thing to think.I didn't
mention 1992 since with Perot being from Texas It's hard to know who It would have gone to but Clinton only lost to Poppy Bush In
Texas by 4.

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Response to Robbins (Reply #11)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 01:50 PM

13. He'll have to run for governor in '14 and win.

Of course, if people think he may abandon us two years later, they may hesitate to vote for him. I think 2020 is a more reasonable prediction (2024 if we hold onto the White House in '16).

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Response to sadbear (Reply #13)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 01:54 PM

14. Well

As a now rising star he could be picked as siting mayor.He claims for now his ambition Is to get reelected mayor and not governor.
Even If he's still mayor you have to think rather It Is hillary or someone else he would be looked at for VP to help excite Hispanics.

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Response to sadbear (Reply #13)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 03:35 PM

16. Not really.. GOP was waiting for

Appropriate time to introduce Rubio and they did. So Rubio is now well known and consistently campaigned during the elections. I heard several right wing pundits talking about Rubio as possible candidate for VP nxt time around to attract Hispanic voters.

So, if we don't want GOP to "comernos los dulces" we better start putting this Castro gem out there in the open. Give him more notoriety and take him out from San Antonio to media outlets and dc gatherings.

Rubio will return stronger for the GOP - and it will be a collasol mistake to allow the GOP get away with it

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Response to LukeFL (Reply #16)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 04:10 PM

19. Putting a mayor on the ticket might backfire.

Kinda' like putting the Governor of Alaska on the ticket.

I think Bill Richardson could counter Marco Rubio quite well.

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Response to WI_DEM (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 02:14 PM

15. I definitely agree. TBH, I wouldn't count out Indiana, Montana, Arizona, and GA to swing as well. nt

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Response to WI_DEM (Original post)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 03:51 PM

17. The Dem electoral ceiling is rising, while the Republicans' remains where it is.

Previous GOP strongholds like VA and NC are now swing states. Other states like Arizona are slowly moving in that direction.

Democrats have an electoral base of 270 EV if you CO remains a blue state (261 without). The Republican electoral base is 205.



That's just solid, non-swing states, which means the Republican path to victory will remain very narrow as it has the last 2 elections.

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