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Wed Nov 7, 2012, 06:18 PM

Nate...does it get any better than this?

IMO...Best part of the article....

"But the Dick Morrises of the world aren’t going away either. In today’s polarized media landscape, one purpose is to inform, but another is to make the news consumer feel comfortable. Fox News will give lots of air time to pundits who just happen to lean Republican. MSNBC will do the same for liberals. Viewers who want to break out of partisan closed-feedback loops will need to try to discern which “experts” know what they’re talking about and which are just repeating what they think the partisan skew of the audience demands.

Because – and here’s our last point – it’s really about time that journalism stepped up its performance in this area. The politicians themselves adopted a quantification-heavy approach to their business long ago. In terms of voter analysis, microtargeting, and other techniques they’re far beyond what the media discusses. In the book “Moneyball,” Michael Lewis wrote how statistics revolutionized baseball. Well, the “Voterball” revolution is upon us, if it hasn’t already occurred."

http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/DC-Decoder/Decoder-Wire/2012/1107/Election-2012-Has-Nate-Silver-destroyed-punditry

Enjoy.

10 replies, 1085 views

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Always highlight: 10 newest replies | Replies posted after I mark a forum
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Arrow 10 replies Author Time Post
Reply Nate...does it get any better than this? (Original post)
Sophiegirl Nov 2012 OP
djnicadress Nov 2012 #1
Sophiegirl Nov 2012 #2
msanthrope Nov 2012 #3
Sophiegirl Nov 2012 #7
reflection Nov 2012 #8
msanthrope Nov 2012 #9
Sophiegirl Nov 2012 #10
scheming daemons Nov 2012 #4
faithfulcitizen Nov 2012 #6
boingboinh Nov 2012 #5

Response to Sophiegirl (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 06:55 PM

1. I'm comfused?

Nate got every state correct. the electoral count was O. 332. with fl. R.206. Nates num. O. 313 R. 225 why are his numbers off?

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Response to djnicadress (Reply #1)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 08:40 PM

2. They weren't.

That is the beauty of it. They'll be trying to figure out how he did it. I can't wait to see what nonsense they come up with.

Gnashing of teeth have already begun.

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Response to djnicadress (Reply #1)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 08:42 PM

3. Your concern is noted. Please feel free to share more of your concerns, and enjoy your stay. nt

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Response to msanthrope (Reply #3)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 09:51 PM

7. Wow

I wasn't being negative.

Thanks for the kindness!!

I WILL enjoy my stay, thank you very much!!

Your apology is accepted in advance.

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Response to Sophiegirl (Reply #7)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 11:54 PM

8. I'm not sure, I'm viewing on a tablet,

but I don't think he/she was replying to you, but rather the person above you.

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Response to Sophiegirl (Reply #7)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 11:55 PM

9. My dear, if you look in the upper right hand side of my post, you will see I wasn't replying to you.

So I sincerely apologize for your mistake.

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Response to msanthrope (Reply #9)

Thu Nov 8, 2012, 12:01 AM

10. No biggie.



I'm new...and learning the ropes.

But you shouldn't apologize for me. That's pretty condescending.

Just say'n


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Response to djnicadress (Reply #1)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 09:36 PM

4. 313-225 was the AVERAGE of his 10000 simulations

But 332-206 was the most frequent outcome, occurring in nearly 20% of those 10000 simulations.

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Response to scheming daemons (Reply #4)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 09:47 PM

6. thanks for an actual answer, I was wondering that myself.

Nate Silver needs his own show in the next election season! Thanks Nate!

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Response to Sophiegirl (Original post)

Wed Nov 7, 2012, 09:44 PM

5. Ironic: A "Christian Science" site talking about the importance of Facts

 

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