Wed Nov 7, 2012, 04:51 PM
geek tragedy (66,519 posts)
Two pollsters worse than Gallup and Rasmussen: Suffolk and Mason-Dixon
Some pollsters got it right, others failed spectacularly. Gallup and Rasmussen are the low hanging fruit, nationally. But the state polls truly show who was merely incompetent and who was catastrophically bad.
1. Suffolk University Political Research Center.
They didn't fail so much because of their polls, but because of the hilariously bad interpretation they put into those polls. Specifically, on October 10, they awarded Virginia, Florida, and North Carolina to Mitt Romney.
The Suffolk University Political Research Center has determined Mitt Romney is a lock to win the battleground states of Florida, Virginia and North Carolina and will not conduct additional polls there during the final four weeks of the presidential election.
That's right--his firm's polls had Obama ahead in Florida (and Virginia) but called those two plus North Carolina as guaranteed wins for Romney.
2. Mason-Dixon: Showed Minnesota Presidential and Missouri Senate as toss-ups, and Florida a Romney blowout winner
As the presidential race tightens across the country, a new Star Tribune Minnesota Poll has found that it is narrowing here as well, with President Obama holding a 3-point lead and Republican Mitt Romney making gains in the state.
The results show McCaskill leading with 45 percentage points to Akin’s 43 points among likely voters. That’s within the poll’s 4-point margin for error, indicating a closer race than two earlier independent polls that showed McCaskill with wider leads.
Mitt Romney has maintained a solid lead over President Barack Obama in the latest Miami Herald/El Nuevo Herald/Tampa Bay Times poll of likely voters who favor the Republican by six percentage points.
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